Fantasy Football Values: Nico Collins & Anthony Richardson (2024)

Thankfully, the 2024 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year, fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential.

ADP Values, Busts & Sleepers: AFC South

ADP via FantasyPros

ADP Values

Nico Collins (HOU): ADP 30.7 | WR15

The former Michigan star was a popular third-year breakout candidate last year and one of my favorite draft targets. Collins was a fantasy stud, ending the season as the WR9, averaging 14.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. He had a higher fantasy points per game average than Puka Nacua (14.5), Mike Evans (14.3) and A.J. Brown (13.9). While fantasy players won’t get him in the double-digit rounds like in 2023, the former Michigan star is still a value at his current ADP.

Collins led the Texans in receptions (80), targets (109), receiving yards (1,297), and touchdowns (eight) last year. While he will have target competition, Collins is Houston’s clear-cut No. 1 receiver. Tank Dell is coming off a massive leg injury, while Stefon Diggs is on the wrong side of 30 and has had back-to-back years with late-season struggles. More importantly, Collins had a significantly higher yards per route run rate (3.37) than Dell (2.40) and Diggs (2.06) in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data).

Anthony Richardson (IND): ADP 49.7 | QB6

Unfortunately, fantasy players only got a glimpse of Richardson’s upside as a rookie. The talented quarterback is an injury risk but offers league-winning and overall QB1 upside if he can stay healthy. Last year, Richardson was the QB11 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 18.2 fantasy points per contest. Yet, he left two games early with injuries. Richardson averaged 25.3 fantasy points, 211.5 passing yards, 1.5 touchdowns, 48 rushing yards, and a touchdown in the two games he finished as a rookie.

Furthermore, he scored 17.7 fantasy points in Week 2 on only 10 passes and three rushing attempts before leaving with a concussion. The former Florida star has Lamar Jackson-like rushing upside. Richardson was on pace for 816 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns in 17 games as a rookie based on his two healthy performances. The Colts improved his receiving core and offensive line in the offseason. While Jonathan Taylor might limit his goal-line rushing production, Richardson could have a sophomore-year breakout season.