Thankfully, the 2024 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year, fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Fantasy Football ADP Sleepers: AFC South
Fantasy Football Sleepers to Target
Tyjae Spears (TEN): ADP 105.3 | RB35
Many had high hopes for Spears heading into the offseason. Unfortunately, his fantasy value took a significant hit when the Titans signed Tony Pollard in free agency. However, the coaching staff has raved about Spears all offseason, saying he and Pollard are interchangeable co-starters. Yet, the former Tulane star is one of my favorite mid-round running back draft picks this year. Spears was the RB35 as a rookie, averaging 7.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite seeing only 8.9 touches per contest.
While Pollard won’t completely disappear into the background, don’t be surprised if Spears becomes the lead running back in Tennessee. The second-year player had the fifth-best explosive run rate (7%) and the ninth-best yards after contact per rushing attempt average (2.92) among running backs with at least 100 attempts last season (per Fantasy Points Data). Furthermore, he averaged 10.1 fantasy points per game in the six contests with at least seven rushing attempts as a rookie. Spears could be a massive steal.
Trevor Lawrence (JAX): ADP 125.7 | QB17
Lawrence was a popular third-year breakout candidate heading into last season after the Jaguars had acquired Calvin Ridley. The former No. 1 overall pick was the QB7 in 2022, averaging 17.4 fantasy points per game. He had 4,113 passing yards, 25 touchdowns, and only eight interceptions. Furthermore, the former Clemson star averaged 3.5 fantasy points per game on the ground that year. Unfortunately, Lawrence regressed, ending the 2023 season as the QB12, averaging 16.4 fantasy points per game with a 21-14 touchdown to interception ratio.
Yet, the former No. 1 overall pick was a few bad breaks away from having the breakout year many expected. Ridley led the NFL with 24 end zone targets. However, the veteran finished fifth in end zone touchdowns (seven) because of drops and poor footwork (per Fantasy Points Data). More importantly, Lawrence struggled without Christian Kirk. He was the QB13 with the veteran receiver healthy. By comparison, Lawrence was the QB20 without Kirk on the field. He is one of my favorite post-hype sleepers.
- Busts & League Winners AFC: East | North | South | West
- Busts & League Winners NFC: East | North | South | West
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.