In fantasy football, managers seek consistency within an inconsistent game. With QB being a premier fantasy position, selecting one in a season-long format is ample to the outlook of a lineup. Below are tiers of fantasy QBs based on consistency in fantasy point production from 2021-2023. All average draft positions (ADPs) listed refer to FanatsyPros’ consensus ADP rankings. The table below outlines the statistics used. For more info on standard deviation, click here.
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Quarterback Consistency Production From 2021 to 2023
C.J. Stroud (QB – HOU) | ADP: 46.0
C.J. Stroud stormed onto the fantasy scene in 2023. While his sample is small, his 275.0-point performance in his rookie year places him sixth in season average in this group. He is flush with targets in Houston with the likes of Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs.
Anthony Richardson (QB – IND) | ADP: 50.0
NFL fans got merely a taste of what Anthony Richardson was capable of last season. He scored seven touchdowns in just four games. He will play behind arguably the best offensive line in football and has a cannon to distribute the ball to Michael Pittman and rookie Adonai Mitchell.
Jordan Love (QB – GB) | ADP: 72.7
It is no secret Jordan Love sat behind Aaron Rodgers in 2021 and 2022. Last season, in his first year as a starter, Love finished as the QB5. He was second in touchdown throws to Dak Prescott and ranked fifth overall in attempts. Love has a quartet of young, talented receivers in Green Bay.
Quarterback Consistency Stats (2021 – 2023)
| Name | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Games Played | Total | Average/Season | Average/Game | Standard Dev/Season |
| Josh Allen | 402.6 | 395.5 | 392.6 | 50 | 1190.7 | 396.9 | 23.81 | 5.14 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 361.7 | 416.9 | 280.2 | 50 | 1058.8 | 352.9 | 21.18 | 68.77 |
| Jalen Hurts | 312.2 | 378 | 356.8 | 47 | 1047 | 349.0 | 22.28 | 33.59 |
| Justin Herbert | 380.8 | 280.3 | 233.7 | 47 | 894.8 | 298.3 | 19.04 | 75.18 |
| Dak Prescott | 320.6 | 198.6 | 342.8 | 45 | 862 | 287.3 | 19.16 | 77.64 |
| CJ Stroud | – | – | 275 | 15 | 275 | 275.0 | 18.33 | – |
| Joe Burrow | 314.2 | 350.7 | 147.2 | 42 | 812.1 | 270.7 | 19.34 | 108.50 |
| Lamar Jackson | 240 | 236.1 | 331.2 | 40 | 807.3 | 269.1 | 20.18 | 53.82 |
| Jared Goff | 194.5 | 283.8 | 289.1 | 48 | 767.4 | 255.8 | 15.99 | 53.15 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 199 | 295.6 | 262.5 | 50 | 757.1 | 252.4 | 15.14 | 49.09 |
| Kirk Cousins | 300.3 | 291.6 | 149.7 | 41 | 741.6 | 247.2 | 18.09 | 84.55 |
| Russell Wilson | 242.8 | 225.3 | 256.9 | 44 | 725 | 241.7 | 16.48 | 15.83 |
| Derek Carr | 257 | 219.1 | 241.1 | 49 | 717.2 | 239.1 | 14.64 | 19.03 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 180.9 | 230.9 | 270.4 | 43 | 682.2 | 227.4 | 15.87 | 44.85 |
| Matthew Stafford | 329.7 | 108.4 | 243.1 | 41 | 681.2 | 227.1 | 16.61 | 111.52 |
| Justin Fields | 126.8 | 296 | 230.2 | 40 | 653 | 217.7 | 16.33 | 85.29 |
| Kyler Murray | 300.5 | 200.5 | 146.4 | 33 | 647.4 | 215.8 | 19.62 | 78.18 |
| Geno Smith | 54.3 | 303.9 | 226.8 | 36 | 585 | 195.0 | 16.25 | 127.80 |
| Baker Mayfield | 180.9 | 121.4 | 274.1 | 43 | 576.4 | 192.1 | 13.40 | 76.97 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 332.8 | 239.2 | 0 | 34 | 572 | 190.7 | 16.82 | 171.63 |
| Daniel Jones | 167 | 289 | 57 | 33 | 513 | 171.0 | 15.55 | 116.05 |
| Jordan Love | 21.1 | 11.7 | 319.1 | 27 | 351.9 | 117.3 | 13.03 | 174.83 |
| Gardner Minshew | 33.7 | 36.8 | 196.2 | 25 | 266.7 | 88.9 | 10.67 | 92.94 |
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