When Fantasy football experts put together their redraft rankings, several factors determine how they rank each player. However, that doesn’t mean how the experts think the upcoming season will go. For example, an expert’s top-12 wide receiver rankings aren’t necessarily how they feel wide receivers will finish in 2024.

The rankings include upside, floor, injury risk, and more. Instead of providing my top-12 wide receiver rankings for the upcoming season, I will look into my fictional crystal ball and predict how the top-12 wide receivers will finish the 2024 fantasy football season.

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Predicting the Top-12 Wide Receivers

WR1 – Justin Jefferson (MIN)

Unfortunately, Jefferson missed seven games and left two others early last season because of injury. Yet, he was the WR1 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 20 half-point PPR fantasy points per contest in eight healthy matchups. The superstar has never finished lower than the WR8 on a points-per-game basis in any year of his career. Furthermore, he has averaged 98.3 receiving yards per game in his career, the highest average in NFL history. While Sam Darnold isn’t an ideal starting quarterback, Jefferson can still finish as the WR1 this year.

WR2 – CeeDee Lamb (DAL)

While Lamb hasn’t been at training camp while the two sides work out a long-term contract, fantasy players shouldn’t be concerned with his absence. The superstar was the WR1 last year, averaging 19.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite the slot start. He set career highs in receptions (135), targets (181), receiving yards (1,749), and touchdowns (12). The Cowboys did little to replace Michael Gallup and Tony Pollard in the offseason. Assuming Lamb suits up in Week 1, the superstar is all but a lock for a top-two finish.

WR3 – Ja’Marr Chase (CIN)

Chase set career highs in receptions (100) and targets (145) in 2023 despite Joe Burrow missing nearly half the year with injuries. Hopefully, both superstars can stay healthy because they are the top combo in the league. While Chase is holding in as the Bengals work towards a long-term extension, fantasy players should expect the former LSU star to be ready for Week 1. The veteran has never finished lower than the WR13 in half-point PPR scoring. Don’t be surprised if he has a career season in 2024.

WR4 – Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET)

The former USC star finished as the WR8 in 2022 and the WR3 last year, averaging 15.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game over those two years. Furthermore, St. Brown is coming off the best season of his career, setting career highs in several categories, including receiving touchdowns (10). More importantly, he is the focal point of the Lions’ passing attack, posting the sixth-highest target share (27.9%) and the fourth-highest target per route run rate (30%) among wide receivers with at least 70 routes in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data).

WR5 – Tyreek Hill (MIA)

Some are concerned Hill might start to regress after turning 30 years old in the offseason. Furthermore, the veteran had some injuries at the end of last year. However, the superstar was the WR2 in 2023, averaging 19.8 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. He scored 20.3 or more fantasy points in 75% of the games before getting hurt in Week 14. Hopefully, Jaylen Waddle can rebound after an injury-riddled 2023 season. Yet, Hill was the WR3 in 2022 despite Waddle finishing as the WR13.

WR6 – Garrett Wilson (NYJ)

Fantasy players had high hopes for Wilson after the Jets traded for Aaron Rodgers. Unfortunately, Rodgers suffered a torn Achilles four snaps into the season. Wilson was the WR32 last year, averaging only 9.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game with awful quarterback play. However, fantasy players should expect him to finally break out in 2024, with Rodgers returning and the team massively improving their offensive line while making limited additions to their receiving core. Wilson could become Rodgers’ new Davante Adams and lead the NFL in targets.

WR7 – Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI)

Harrison was unstoppable at Ohio State, totaling at least 67 receptions for 1,211 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns in back-to-back seasons despite losing C.J. Stroud to the NFL. The rookie should see a massive target share as Kyler Murray’s No. 1 wide receiver. Arizona will have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, putting pressure on the offense to put up points to stay in games. While saying Harrison will be the overall WR1 as a rookie is a hot take, no one should be surprised if that happens.

WR8 – A.J. Brown (PHI)

The veteran has been an elite WR1 since joining the Eagles, ending the 2022 season as the WR5 and the WR7 in 2023 in half-point PPR scoring. Brown has set a career-high in receptions and targets in 2022 (88-146) and 2023 (106-158). Furthermore, the superstar finished top five in receiving yards and top six in air-yardage share in both years with Philadelphia (per Fantasy Points Data) despite playing alongside DeVonta Smith. Brown should remain the focal point of the offense under new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore.

WR9 – Deebo Samuel (SF)

While the 49ers have an offense loaded with weapons, Samuel could have a top-10 finish even if Brandon Aiyuk remains in San Francisco. The veteran was the WR9 on a points-per-game basis in 2023, averaging 14.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Samuel has significant upside if Aiyuk gets traded or if Christian McCaffrey misses time. He led all wide receivers in rushing attempts (37) and touchdowns (five) last year. Reportedly, the veteran has had an outstanding training camp and could have a career season.

WR10 – Drake London (ATL)

Unfortunately, London has struggled in the NFL because of awful quarterback production, catching every career pass from Marcus Mariota, Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heinicke. Thankfully, London won’t have that problem again with Kirk Cousins and Michael Penix Jr. on the roster. The former USC star has averaged 8.6 half-point PPR fantasy points per game in his career despite a 2.6% touchdown rate. Cousins has produced multiple top-12 wide receivers in his career, including two in the same season twice. Expect London to earn his first WR1 finish in 2024.

WR11 – Nico Collins (HOU)

Collins was a popular third-year breakout candidate last year, ending the season as the WR9, averaging 14.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. While he will have target competition, the former Michigan star is Houston’s clear-cut No. 1 receiver. Tank Dell is coming off a massive leg injury, while Stefon Diggs is on the wrong side of 30 and has had back-to-back years with late-season struggles. Furthermore, Collins had a significantly higher yards per route run rate (3.37) than Dell (2.40) and Diggs (2.06) in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data).

WR12 – Malik Nabers (NYG)

Many will call having Nabers finish as a WR1 a hot take because of Daniel Jones and Drew Lock. However, the former LSU star has been unbelievable during training camp and the preseason despite awful quarterback play. The rookie will be the focal point of the Giants’ passing attack following Darren Waller’s retirement. Jaylen Waddle was the WR16 as a rookie, averaging 8.8 targets and 12.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite poor quarterback production. Nabers should put up slightly better numbers in his rookie year.

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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.