Fantasy Football Outlook: Keon Coleman, Brian Thomas Jr., Marvin Harrison Jr. (2024)

NFL training camps have opened, and the heart of fantasy football draft season is just ahead. FantasyPros analysts Derek Brown, Andrew Erickson, Pat Fitzmaurice and Mike Maher begin a series of preseason roundtables by discussing the most compelling training camp battles, rookies with uncertain 2024 outlooks, play-callers in new places and more. Here is this week’s full fantasy football roundtable. Below we dive into a few notable fantasy football players and their outlook for 2024.

Fantasy Football Roundtable

Is there a rookie who gives you mixed feelings? Why are you on the fence? What is the best-case/worst-case outcome for that player in Year 1?

Keon Coleman (WR – BUF)

Derek Brown: Since I dove into his talents as a prospect, I have stated Keon Coleman was being overrated by the draft community. That belief has continued into fantasy draft season. Coleman should fill a role for the Bills, but it’s difficult to see him as a smash value. I don’t agree with the consensus he should be the highest-ranked or first-drafted wide receiver from this offense.

It’s tough for me to buy in with Coleman after he ranked 79th or lower in his final two collegiate seasons in yards per route run and receiving grade, per PFF. The best-case scenario I can envision for him is he runs hot with touchdowns and finishes the year as a borderline WR3/WR4. Still, I can equally see him being this year’s Quentin Johnston and failing even to produce Flex-worthy numbers for fantasy squads.

Andrew Erickson: Anytime anybody mentions this guy, they talk about how “raw” he is. But Coleman also has a path to becoming the potential No. 1 WR attached to Josh Allen. The range of outcomes is extremely large with the former FSU receiver.

Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX)

Pat Fitzmaurice: The Jaguars’ top draft pick is surprisingly affordable for a first-rounder who stands 6-foot-3, has 4.33 speed and produced 1,177 yards and 17 TDs last year at LSU. But Thomas was a one-year wonder in college. It’s hard to tell how much of his 2023 success should be attributed to playing with Heisman Trophy-winning QB Jayden Daniels and sensational WR Malik Nabers.

It’s not hard to imagine Thomas as a co-equal with Jaguars WR Christian Kirk this season and a future WR1. But nor is it hard to imagine Thomas having the sort of season we’re used to seeing from, say, Marquez Valdes-Scantling.

Marvin Harrison Jr. (WR – ARI)

Mike Maher: Now, I’m cheating a little bit here. I don’t have a ton of concerns about Harrison as a player or prospect. But I have mixed feelings about his current ADP. He’s going off the board at 17 overall in half-PPR leagues, according to FantasyPros’ consensus ADP. He’s as high as 15 on Sleeper. That feels like we’re drafting a rookie at his absolute ceiling, which is where I get a little nervous.

The assumption everywhere is Harrison will be the locked and loaded WR1 in the Arizona offense and will immediately be QB Kyler Murray‘s favorite target. It’s a fair assumption, but we’re banking on a lot to go right at that ADP. The problem with this ADP is that the absolute best-case scenario is Harrison breaks out and turns out to be a reasonable pick in the early second round of drafts. But again, that’s the best-case scenario. If there are any rookie growing pains at all, missing on a pick this high can sink your fantasy season.