Y’all know what time it is! As always, you can find our full database of injury updates at sportsmedanalytics.com and can hit us up any time on Twitter/X @SportMDAnalysis. Now let’s get to it. Here are fantasy football injury updates to know for your upcoming fantasy football drafts and the start of the NFL regular season.
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Fantasy Football Injury Report
Hollywood Brown
Sitting Week 1 was always the most likely outcome here, so shouldn’t be considered a setback. Comments, in addition to prior WR examples, suggest that Week 2 is a realistic target. Data does support a rapid return to high performance level with low re-injury risk upon return. Would be surprised to see him out past Week 3.
Very limited info available on this one, but all comments and signs point to very mild severity. Early-week practice status will confirm or refute that, but we’d expect Tyreek to be a full participant with low impact on his Week 1 performance if the reports are accurate.
Do not consider the PUP designation a setback. It’s relatively common to go slow with young, highly drafted RBs off of a major surgical injury. Data projects a Week 5 return as very realistic. Young RBs typically see a 4 game ramp up in touches, and Brooks projects to hit his ~90% efficiency point at ~Week 8. He profiles very similarly to Breece Hall from 2023, who put up 130 ypg and 1 TD/g during the last 5 weeks of the season.
Has returned to practice, which is of course reassuring. The timeline confirms a mild severity issue. Data projects 90+% efficiency Week 1, but with a mild dip in touches. Given his history of hamstring issues, he does present a 20% elevated re-injury risk over the first half of the season.
Likely playing Week 1 at 100%. Bursa injuries are annoying, sometimes painful, but generally not unstable. Typically, they can be played through even if they flare up. Wouldn’t drop his value based on this.
Likely playing Week 1 at 100%. CMC is not yet at the RB age cliff, so we don’t see this as a major warning sign of things to come. However, pre-season calf injuries do pose a mild re-injury risk, which makes CMC slightly riskier than Breece or Bijan amongst the early RBs.
Reports suggest that “arm soreness” was a convenient way to avoid controversy when Watson wanted to sit out of the pre-season. Post-surgical data from this injury favors playing Week 1 at 100%, although it’s somewhat unclear what a 100% version of Watson really looks like. Typically see a low re-injury risk as well.
Burrow’s injury history is long, but there’s not really an anatomic red flag or weak link that suggests he’s at a high likelihood of getting injured again. Data from acute repair of wrist ligaments (meaning shortly after the injury occurred) with modern implants (such as the Internal Brace) suggest a high likelihood of a strong comeback if healthy. This of course will depend heavily on the status of his O-line, as with any pocket-based QB.
Timeline confirms a mild severity issue. Expect strong mobility Week 1, but plantar fascia injuries do pose a risk of flaring up in-season. Given Herbert’s extreme durability history, in addition to the ability to manage symptoms with injections in-season, we’d suspect a low likelihood that he actually misses games. If this flares up in-season, the deficit will likely show up in his rushing production more than anything else.
Reports are relatively convincing that he is progressing as well as could be expected. Data suggests Week 1 is a possible return date, but Week 2-3 is more likely. Typically WRs would see performance hits and re-injury risks through ~Week 6.
On PUP. Wouldn’t expect Hock to return by Week 5. Data favors mid-October or early-November as most likely. Pass-catchers tend to see ~15% efficiency dip initially. His last 6 games of ’24 project to show his 90% return to pre-injury form.
Likely playing Week 1. Data suggests 90+% efficiency, but decreased touches and a 15% re-injury risk.
On PUP. Week 5 return would be surprising here. Major efficiency dips of 25+% are projected based on RB multi-ligament knee surgery data. Re-injury in this case could end his career, so we’d expect a slow return and long ramp up.
Asymmetry is a major risk factor for injury, and Watson was reportedly dealing with a side-to-side hamstring strength difference of 20+%. He says he’s down to <10% now, which bodes very well for his ’24 play.
And that’s a wrap, but just for the moment. We’ll be back soon with another injury report, but feel free to hit us up on Twitter/X or sportsmedanalytics.com any time before then!
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