Fantasy Football Injuries: TJ Hockenson, Jonathon Brooks, Kyle Pitts, Javonte Williams

And we’re back!

We’re pumped to welcome you to our weekly injury report collaboration with FantasyPros. For those we haven’t met yet, I’m Deepak Chona, MD – orthopedic sports surgeon and founder of SportsMedAnalytics (SMA). Our aim with SMA is to merge clinical experience, medical data, and internally developed algorithms to bring you the industry’s leading data-driven NFL injury analysis.

We love what we do, but we wouldn’t be doing it without your support. So we thank you very much for everything you’ve given us and look forward to keeping it rolling.

As always, you can find our full database of injury updates at sportsmedanalytics.com and can hit us up any time on Twitter/X @SportMDAnalysis. Now let’s get to it. Here are our fantasy football injury updates on all the ailments to know as you prepare for your fantasy football draft. Below we dive into a few notable fantasy football injuries.

Fantasy Football Injuries

TJ Hockenson

Rumors have circulated that Hockenson may be back earlier than expected, but the data favors a mid-October return as the most likely scenario. As a high-level (~80th percentile) athlete, his performance dip projects as only ~15%, but it will likely be greater if he rushes the return. Of note, Hockenson does carry an elevated risk of minor injury during the first 6 weeks of his return.

Jonathon Brooks

Data favors a post-ACL comeback similar to ’23 Breece Hall. Comments suggest a Week 3-4 return as most likely, but young RBs also tend to average ~4 games to ramp up their touches. Efficiency dips ~15-20% initially, with his 90% point projected for Week 8. Similar to Hockenson, Brooks will carry a ~15% increased risk of minor injuries (e.g., hamstring strains) for his first 6 games back. An overall strong second half is projected.

Kyle Pitts  & Javonte Williams

Both dealt with multi-ligament knee injuries last offseason. These are massive hits that tend to cause 20-30% performance dips and major limitations in year 1 of the return. As young, elite athletes, both are projected to return to pre-injury form by the start of ’24. Look for major rises if they can stay healthy.

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