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Fantasy Football Draft Values: Mike Evans, Tank Dell, Taysom Hill

Harkening back to my Sesame Street musical roots:

“One of these things is not like the other

One of these things doesn’t belong

Can you tell which thing is not like the other

By the time I finish this song?”

Now, I can officially check that off my bucket list, as I used that as an introduction to an article. Good job, me.

Ahem.

Several things are unlike the other when comparing predraft fantasy football rankings from RTSports to FantasyPros’ expert consensus rankings (ECR). Don’t get me wrong — we all have different valuations and opinions on players. Examining the differences is where the fun lies. That said, let’s attempt to benefit from pointing out several players currently slotted much higher in ECR versus the RTSports default list. Opportunity lies for those who can identify value later on.

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Fantasy Football Draft Values: RTS Leagues

Wide Receivers

The poster boy for consistency amongst wideouts over the last decade, Mike Evans has crested the 1,000-yard mark each season since his rookie year in 2014. The unquestioned alpha dog atop the Tampa Bay depth chart, Evans enjoyed a resurgence with Baker Mayfield under center last year, compiling his best statistical season (79/1,255/13) since 2016, finishing as the WR4 on the year.

With Mayfield inked to a long-term extension and the band back together, all expectations and projections have Evans approaching totals around his five-year rolling average — about 76 receptions for 1,120 yards and eight touchdowns (courtesy of Andrew Erickson).

Fully endorsing any wideout on the wrong side of 31 is a tricky endeavor, but we are confident Evans has several productive seasons left and showed little signs of slowing down. Since his trademark isn’t speed but rather contested catches over defenders and red-zone targets, it is safe to assume that if Evans did have any sort of dropoff, it would be incremental rather than cataclysmic. RTSports isn’t willing to take the same chance and instead ranks him behind fellow Buccaneers Chris Godwin, Amari Cooper and Cooper Kupp.

Pivoting to Dell — we can understand a healthy amount of trepidation with our WR29 ranking. Dell was already recovering from a season-ending fibula fracture suffered in the first quarter of Week 13 before news broke in late April he had been shot during a bar shooting. Thankfully (to channel my inner Monty Python’s Black Knight), it was just a flesh wound, and the bullet caused no structural damage. Now fully recovered, Dell is looking to cement himself as an upside play in one of the league’s most explosive offenses.

Dell won’t see the same volume as others around him in average draft position (ADP) and instead relies upon maximizing his efficiency per touch. During the preseason, he played behind both Nico Collins and newly acquired Stefon Diggs. He will need to contend further for targets with Joe Mixon and Dalton Schultz. A top-15 option in yards per route and average depth of target (aDOT), Dell is a firecracker capable of big chunk plays when necessary.

We can understand a capped target share causing him to tumble down the predraft rankings somewhat, but in our estimation, he has a much higher ceiling than other players placed ahead of him on RTSports, such as Brandon Aubrey (yep, the kicker for Dallas), Chase Brown and Blake Corum. Put some respect on Dell’s name.

Tight Ends

Taysom Hill fell outside of RTSports’ top-100 players in this instance, so I referenced his positional ranking instead.

I can’t in good conscience reference Hill without giving a nod to Jeff Mans over at FantasyGuru, who had one of the funniest rants I’ve ever heard earlier this week about Hill. Well worth checking it out on the SiriusXM app if you’re a subscriber needing a laugh.

Hill is a tricky player to discuss since New Orleans uses him in various roles and different host sites offer varied positional eligibility for him. However, since they are offering tight-end eligibility here and given the territory he is competing with is littered with virtual unknowns or coin-flip options, at best, his upside trumps theirs.

Hill is by no means a weekly starter, but an upside stash in deeper formats, in the hopes the Saints may plug him into a different role, such as backup RB to Alvin Kamara or as an emergency QB, should something happen to Derek Carr.

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