The 2024 NFL regular season is almost here. Fantasy players are trying to squeeze in a final few drafts. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is drafting players at a value.
Let’s look at six of my favorite draft values based on MyFantasyLeague ADP for redraft leagues.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Fantasy Football Draft Values For MFL Leagues
Jared Goff (QB – DET)
- MFL ADP – QB16
Goff was the QB7 in 2023, averaging 17 fantasy points per game, a higher average than several big-name quarterbacks, including Tua Tagovailoa and Joe Burrow. More importantly, the veteran will play only three games outdoors in 2024, including only one over the first 15 weeks of the season. He averaged 2.1 passing touchdowns and 19.9 fantasy points per game in 12 contests in a dome last year. By comparison, Goff averaged one passing touchdown and 13.3 fantasy points per game in the five contests outside. He has top-eight upside.
James Conner (RB – ARI)
- MFL ADP – RB19
The knock against Conner is his injury history, having missed four games in back-to-back seasons. He has never finished lower than the RB10 since joining Arizona on a points-per-game basis in half-point PPR scoring. Last year, the veteran had the fourth-highest explosive run rate (6.3%) and the third-highest missed forced tackle per rushing attempt among running backs with at least 150 attempts (per Fantasy Points Data). While the Cardinals spent a third-round pick on Trey Benson, the rookie won’t replace Conner as the starter in 2024.
Chase Brown (RB – CIN)
- MFL ADP – RB35
Some believed Zack Moss would replace Joe Mixon as the lead back in Cincinnati earlier this offseason. However, Brown has been the talk of training camp and could take the starting role away from the veteran sooner than later. Brown had a higher explosive run rate (9.1% vs. 3.1%) and yards after contact per attempt (3.09 vs. 2.29) than Moss did in his five games without Jonathan Taylor last year (per Fantasy Points Data). While fantasy players should expect both running backs to have a meaningful role, Brown has significantly more upside.
Malik Nabers (WR – NYG)
- MFL ADP – WR20
While the Giants have one of the least appealing passing attacks, Nabers is my favorite WR1 target when using a Zero-WR draft build. Following Darren Waller’s retirement, the former LSU star will be the focal point of the team’s passing attack. Meanwhile, he ranked first in the NFL Draft class in yards per route run (3.64) among wide receivers with at least 20 targets last season (per PFF). Nabers has made several highlight-reel receptions during camp. He should challenge Marvin Harrison Jr. for the league leaders in targets among rookies.
Christian Kirk (WR – JAC)
- MFL ADP – WR36
The last time Kirk was Trevor Lawrence’s go-to wide receiver, he ended the year as the WR11, averaging 11.8 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, the veteran was the WR16, averaging 11.7 fantasy points per game from Week 2 through Week 12, despite Calvin Ridley seeing a 20% target per route run rate during those contests last year (per Fantasy Points Data). With Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas Jr. challenging defenses downfield, expect Kirk to see plenty of easy targets in the middle of the field.
Jake Ferguson (TE – DAL)
- MFL ADP – TE9
My draft plan at tight end this year is to draft and stud in the first few rounds or wait to pick Ferguson. He was the TE9 in his first season as the starter, averaging 10.4 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. More importantly, Ferguson was the clear-cut No. 2 guy, ranking second on the team in receptions (71), targets (102), and receiving yards (761) in 2023. He should have a larger role this upcoming season after the Cowboys lost Michael Gallup and Tony Pollard in the offseason.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.
