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Fantasy Football Draft Advice: DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze

If you’re a die-hard fantasy football player you’ve likely heard discussion of ambiguous backfields: NFL teams where it is unclear heading into the season who will serve as the team’s lead rusher. Targeting an ambiguous backfield in fantasy comes with risk but also high potential reward, as picking the right member of an ambiguous backfield can give you a team’s RB1 at a huge discount.

Today, I’m going to talk about ambiguous receiver rooms. Although they’re not quite as common as ambiguous backfields, a very similar principle can be applied to NFL teams with multiple talented receivers in an unclear pecking order. Teams with ambiguous receiver rooms that are expected to have productive offenses are often a great source of value and upside for savvy fantasy managers.

Heading into the 2024 fantasy football draft season, three teams stand out as fitting this bill perfectly: Packers, Texans, Bears.

2024 FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFT KIT

Ambiguous Wide Receiver Situations

With talented young quarterbacks and lots of weapons, these teams are going to score plenty of receiving fantasy points… we’re just not sure who will do the scoring. But that ambiguity, and the risk that comes with it, has pushed down average draft positions (ADPs) for these players. For fantasy managers willing to embrace ambiguity, this is a huge opportunity. In this article, I will give my pick for the best (and worst) values at cost from each of these teams. Let’s get started!

Chicago Bears

DJ Moore vs. Keenan Allen vs. Rome Odunze

Best Pick: All Three (DJ Moore, ADP: WR21; Keenan Allen, ADP: WR30; Rome Odunze, ADP: WR42)

Hear me out. With the Texans and Packers, specific players are being undervalued and overvalued based on their combinations of projected roles and talent. But that’s not the case for this trio of Chicago receivers. Moore, a dominant receiver in his prime, deserves to be the first of the three off the board.

Allen is a route-running savant but also 32 years old with a lengthy injury history. He feels at home as a high-end WR3 in ADP. Odunze is likely to be the odd man out in 2-WR sets, at least to start the season, but has an immense ceiling worth betting on as your WR4.

Put that all together and this ambiguous wide receiver room is the one that compares the best to the classic theory of ambiguous running back rooms. It’s still not a perfect analogy, as all three can be on the field at once. It’s possible Caleb Williams simply spreads the ball around and all three provide solid but unspectacular finishes.

More likely, however, is that one player emerges as this offense’s true No. 1 WR, thanks to some combination of talent, gameplan and injury. And that one player will be a huge asset to fantasy teams.

With that in mind, my suggestion is to attack this wide receiver room in drafts, but don’t force it with any particular player. If Moore is the top player on your board in the early fourth round, great. If Allen falls past his ADP due to injury concerns, awesome. If your league is scared of rookies and Odunze slips, gobble him up. All three have very fair draft prices, and you simply can’t go wrong betting on talented players in what should be a highly productive offense.

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