Fantasy Football Busts: Zack Moss, D’Andre Swift, Alvin Kamara (2024)

Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football players below our experts are avoiding. Watch out for these fantasy football busts on draft day.

RB Dead Zone Running Backs to Avoid

When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average.

Zack Moss (CIN)

Moss parlayed his starting stint last year with the Colts into a possible starting gig with the Bengals. In the seven games he started and played at least 50% of the snaps, he finished with 21.1 touches and 98.5 total yards per game. Moss should handle the early downs in Cincinnati this season after ranking 15th in missed tackles forced per attempt and 18th in yards after contact per attempt last year (per Fantasy Points Data). Chase Brown could eat into his pass game work as Moss was only 41st in yards per route run and 48th in targets per route run. Even if his passing game usage is capped, being the early down back on one of the league’s best offenses still puts him in the RB2/3 conversation.
– Derek Brown

Alvin Kamara (NO)

Alvin Kamara retained his every-down role last year despite the team drafting Kendre Miller. Miller spent most of his rookie season on the injury report, so we’ll see if Kamara can hold him off in 2024, but at least expect Kamara to be a workhorse (maybe not a bellcow). Last year, Kamara was tenth in opportunity share, eighth in weighed opportunities, and ninth in red zone touches. While Karmara’s rushing prowess took another massive hit (40th out of 49 qualifying backs in missed tackles forced per attempt per Fantasy Points Data), his receiving chops remained strong. Last year, out of 60 qualifying backs, he ranked first in target share (18.1%) and sixth in yards per route run. Kamara might not have the same bounce in his step as he did during the Drew Brees era, but his pass game and high-leverage usage in 2024 should keep him firmly planted as a top 24 running back in rankings.
– Derek Brown

D’Andre Swift (CHI)

Swift landed in Chicago, securing the bag in free agency. I know we often follow the money for running backs, but I have worries about investing heavily in Swift for 2024. Last year, Chicago utilized a full-blown committee, with Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson, and D’Onta Foreman all having their moments of glory in 2023. Swift should be the leadback for the Bears this season, but his 2023 season wasn’t nearly as impressive as it might seem on the surface. After monster games in Weeks 2 & 3, he proceeded to average only 16.8 touches and 72.4 total yards the rest of the season as the RB25 in fantasy points per game. He also ranked only 40th in yards after contact per attempt and 30th in missed tackles forced per attempt. He is an RB2/3 this season.
– Derek Brown