Thankfully, the 2024 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year, fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Fantasy Football ADP Busts: AFC South
Fantasy Football Bust Candidates
Stefon Diggs (HOU): ADP 37.7 | WR19
There are few players I will refuse to draft anywhere near their ADP this year, with Diggs at the top of that list. The veteran wide receiver’s draft cost is rising when it should be sinking. He has had late-season struggles in back-to-back years. Diggs was the WR47 over the final eight games last season, averaging only 7.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game and 0.41 fantasy points per route run, both lower averages than Noah Brown (per Fantasy Points Data).
I would consider giving the former superstar another chance in 2024 if he was still Josh Allen’s No. 1 wide receiver. Diggs saw a 27.5% target share, a 28% target per route run rate, and a 27.5% receiving yards market share last season with the Buffalo Bills (per Fantasy Points Data). Unfortunately, the veteran won’t see similar numbers this year, with Nico Collins and Tank Dell coming off impressive 2023 performances. Diggs should clearly be the third Texans receiver drafted and a late-sixth-round pick.
Evan Engram (JAX): ADP 71.3 | TE8
Engram surprised many when he finished as the TE2 last season, averaging 10.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. The veteran had 114 receptions on 143 targets for 963 receiving yards and four touchdowns, setting career highs in receptions, targets, and yards while posting the second-best touchdown mark of his career. Furthermore, he came three receptions short of breaking Zach Ertz‘s record for most catches by a tight end in a season (116 in 2018). However, Engram’s production drastically changed when Christian Kirk was injured.
The veteran was the TE12, averaging 7.5 targets and 7.5 fantasy points per game in the 11 contests with Kirk healthy. By comparison, Engram was the TE1, averaging 10.2 targets and 15.2 fantasy points per game in the six contests without the veteran wide receiver, scoring 18.7 or more in half the matchups. His 2023 production was largely because of target volume. However, Engram won’t see anywhere near the 143 targets he got last year after the Jaguars added Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas Jr.
- Busts & League Winners AFC: East | North | South | West
- Busts & League Winners NFC: East | North | South | West
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.