Fantasy Football Busts: Kyren Williams & George Kittle (2024)

Thankfully, the 2024 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year, fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential.

Fantasy Football Busts: NFC West

ADP via FantasyPros

Fantasy Football Bust Candidates

Kyren Williams (LAR): ADP 15.7 | RB7

Los Angeles had the top two waiver wire additions last season in Puka Nacua and Williams. The former Notre Dame star was the RB6, averaging 19.9 half-point PPR fantasy points per game, averaging five yards per rushing attempt. However, he was an RB1 because of volume and not his talents. Williams ranked 20th in yards after contact per attempt, 18th in missed forced tackle rate, and 26th in explosive run rate among running backs with at least 100 rushing attempts in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data).

Unfortunately, the third-year player has struggled with injuries in his career, missing seven games as a rookie and four contests last year with a high ankle sprain. Furthermore, he suffered a fractured hand in the playoffs and a foot injury in the offseason. Meanwhile, the coaching staff has high expectations for Blake Corum. He will cut into Williams’ 25 touches per game average over the six final regular season games. While he is still an RB1, the third-year player comes with significant risk.

George Kittle (SF): ADP 61.7 | TE6

Kittle was the only tight end with over 1,000 receiving yards last season (1,020). He also ranked second in receiving touchdowns (six) among tight ends, finishing behind only Sam LaPorta. However, the veteran finished as the TE5, averaging 10.7 half-point PPR fantasy points per game in 2023. Unfortunately, it was his lowest fantasy points per game average since his rookie year. More importantly, Kittle’s fantasy points per game average has declined for six consecutive years despite seeing an uptick in receiving touchdowns over the past few seasons.

After totaling 14 receiving scores over the first four seasons of his career, the veteran has had at least six in three straight years. Yet, it hasn’t helped his fantasy production. Furthermore, Kittle’s fantasy points per route run average declined by nearly 10% from the 2022 season to last year. Fantasy players should expect Kittle’s ADP to take off if the 49ers trade away Brandon Aiyuk without receiving a meaningful wide receiver back in the deal. Yet, he shouldn’t get drafted higher than the TE6 after a potential trade.