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Fantasy Football Busts: Aaron Jones & Keenan Allen (2024)

Thankfully, the 2024 fantasy football season is just around the corner. Each year, fantasy players want to construct their team with a proper mix of good-value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential.

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Fantasy Football Bust Candidates

Aaron Jones (MIN): ADP 55.7 | RB18

Jones was outstanding for DFS players and bettors during the NFL playoffs. He was the RB2 in the postseason on a points-per-game basis, averaging 113 rushing yards, 1.5 touchdowns, and 23.4 half-point PPR fantasy points per contest against two talented defenses. The veteran running back had at least 108 rushing yards and 16.6 or more fantasy points in both playoff matchups. However, fantasy players should be more concerned with Jones missing six games and leaving two others early during the regular season than his playoff success.

Unfortunately, the veteran running is coming off the worst fantasy season of his career since his rookie year. Jones set career lows in yards per rushing attempt (4.5) and breakaway run rate (18.6%), per PFF. Furthermore, he had a lower missed tackle forced per rushing attempt rate (16%) than Royce Freeman (per Fantasy Points Data). Jones will turn 30 in December and struggled to stay healthy last season. Instead, fantasy players should pass on him and draft Ty Chandler with a later ADP (154.3 | RB47).

Keenan Allen (CHI): ADP 69.7 | WR30

The star receiver was the WR8 last year, averaging 17.3 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, Allen was the WR3 on a points-per-game basis, outscoring every wide receiver other than Tyreek Hill (19.8) and CeeDee Lamb (19.7) in 2023. However, his fantasy football outlook for the upcoming season drastically differs from what fantasy players have expected over the past few years. Allen went from being Justin Herbert’s No. 1 wide receiver on a pass-happy offense to part of a crowded receiving core in Chicago.

While the veteran wide receiver should been outstanding for Caleb Williams, his fantasy value took a massive hit after getting traded in the offseason. Allen is a volume-based receiver, averaging 9.4 targets per game in his career. Unfortunately, he won’t see the same target volume with the Bears. DJ Moore will remain the team’s No. 1 wide receiver. Meanwhile, Allen will need to fight off Rome Odunze for snaps and targets. More importantly, he has missed 11 games over the past two years because of injuries.

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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.

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