When it comes to fantasy football, the conservative approach tends to result in a middle-of-the-pack finish. If you stick purely to ADP, you’ll just be drafting the players that the rest of the people in your league think are good, too. And that’s a great way to finish in fifth place. If you want to win your league, you have to be bold and take some chances. Sure, some of them won’t work out. But the right mix of solid picks and high-upside swings could result in a championship roster come January. That’s where our FantasyPros analysts come in. We cast a wide net and came up with several fantasy football bold predictions for the 2024 season.
The primary objective of bold predictions isn’t to get them exactly right; it’s to highlight the players with a strong chance to produce an outlier season and paint a picture of what that ceiling or floor looks like and why it could happen. Read on for our analysts’ bold predictions.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Fantasy Football Bold Predictions
What is one bold fantasy prediction (player-related) for the upcoming season, and why could it happen?
Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS)
“Terry McLaurin finishes closer to a WR1 than to a WR3. McLaurin is currently ranked as WR31 in Half-PPR, and I’m not entirely sure why. Garrett Wilson is a talented receiver who got a huge QB upgrade this year: WR7. Drake London is a talented receiver who got a huge QB upgrade this year: WR11. Why is McLaurin, a talented receiver who got a huge QB upgrade this year, a mid-WR3? I’m not saying he should be right alongside Wilson and London, but he doesn’t belong this low, either. McLaurin has gone over 1,000 yards receiving four straight years despite some horrific QB play. Now he gets the reigning Heisman winner throwing him passes, and his ADP is the lowest it’s been since he was an unproven Day 2 rookie? Make it make sense.”
– Ryan Wormeli (FantasyPros)
“Terry McLaurin will finish as a WR1 in fantasy in 2024. TMC is being drafted as WR31, but considering his annual 130+ targets are a base, he’s set up for a big season with rookie QB Jayden Daniels. The refreshed running game and Daniels’ rushing ability will not only extend drives but also make the Commanders harder to defend. That means McLaurin will have a much more level playing field to face defensively and more scoring opportunities. His career high of TDs is 7, back in his rookie year. I think he reached double digits in 2024. 1,200+ yards receiving and double 10 TDs make him most likely to finish as a WR1. The current projections are far too low.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)
Rico Dowdle (RB – DAL)
“Rico Dowdle becomes a top-24 fantasy RB this season. Elliott will take some share, but I believe it will be limited. I wouldn’t be surprised if it looked similar to De’Von Achane/Raheem Mostert but without the 20+ TDs to Elliott. Dowdle isn’t a change of pace back and will get primary touches each week, or at worst, an even split. He’s one of the better values in drafts and should be a zero-RB target.”
– Chris Welsh (FantasyPros)
Brian Robinson Jr. (RB – WAS)
“Brian Robinson Jr. will finish as an RB1 this season. Kliff Kingsbury leans on one back in the red zone and at the goal line, and that will be Robinson Jr. In 2020, Kenyan Drake ranked third in rushing attempts inside the five-yard line. In the next season, James Conner was second in the same statistical category. We also need to discuss how underrated Robinson Jr.’s tackle-breaking ability is. Last year, he ranked 13th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). Robinson Jr. is a wondrous player that you can draft as your RB3 who could carry you to fantasy championships.”
– Derek Brown (FantasyPros)
Kenneth Walker III (RB – SEA)
“Kenneth Walker III finishes as a top 5 running back in 2024. Walker dealt with a ton of injuries in 2023, and Seattle still gave him twice as many carries as his backup, Zach Charbonnet (219 to 108). If he can stay healthy, Walker’s 4.1 YPC and excellence in missed tackles forced per attempt could see him coast past the 1,000-yard mark and bring in double-digit TDs for fantasy managers. There are a lot of question marks at the top of the RB rankings, and I think it’s feasible that, with an improved offensive line, Walker will sneak into the top 5 when it’s all said and done.”
– Kelly Kirby (FantasyPros)
Josh Allen (QB – BUF)
“Josh Allen doesn’t finish as top-5 fantasy quarterback. Allen has been the overall QB1 in three of the last four years, and he settled for being the QB2 behind Patrick Mahomes in 2022. Speaking of Mahomes, he fell to QB8 in fantasy scoring and QB12 last season, largely because he didn’t have any wide receivers who could consistently make plays downfield. Perhaps that should serve as a warning for Josh Allen enthusiasts. Allen’s WR corps is largely unproven now that the Bills have discarded Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, so it’s possible he could see the same sort of drop in passing production that Mahomes endured last year. We also know that Allen is unlikely to have 15 TD runs again. (His previous single-season high was 9.) And it’s worth noting that Allen averaged 35.0 pass attempts over his first 10 games of 2023, but that number slipped to 32.7 after Joe Brady took over the playcalling duties for Buffalo.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)
Jordan Love (QB – GB)
“Jordan Love will lead the league in passing TDs and finish as a top-3 fantasy QB. In Love’s first season as the starter (regular and postseason) for the Green Bay Packers, he threw 37 TDs. He created 41 total TDs, including rushing scores – equivalent to Dak Prescott. 27 of his TDs came after Week 10. Yet, Love is going as a late-round QB in fantasy football as the QB9. In Love’s second full season as a starter (surrounded by many young WR/TE talent), he takes another massive step forward by leading the NFL in passing TDs, thus carrying all his GB teammates to exceed their 2024 ADPs. He also finishes as a top-3 fantasy QB, which is where he ranked from Week 8-18 onward in 2023, averaging 21.2 points per game (4th).”
– Andrew Erickson (FantasyPros)
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