Fantasy Basketball Rookies: Draft Outlook & Advice (2024)

Like identifying sleepers, recognizing and capitalizing on emerging rookie talent can yield tremendous returns for those who discern their potential and take a chance on investing in them as core assets of their roster build. This week, we examine the top 30 draft picks from this year’s draft and provide context around their potential outlook for the season. But First…

8 Fantasy Basketball Sleepers to Draft Key Takeaways

• To capitalize on great sleeper opportunities or any opportunities, you must stay awake and alert.
• Mastering the art of the sleeper pick is essential for success in any campaign, ensuring you stay responsive and competitive throughout the season.
• Avoid being too cautious or too optimistic; find the right balance to recognize possibilities.
• Take an extra moment to consider the potential before making your acquisition decisions.

Now, let’s get to it.

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• Consensus NBA Rankings

Rookie Outlooks

Our goal is to identify which rookies can offer optimal value to help you navigate your draft day opportunities while setting realistic expectations to limit the risks of underwhelming returns.

Fantasy Format

Scoring Type:

Head-to-Head (Most Categories)

Player Stat Categories:

• Points Scored (PTS)
• Total Rebounds (REB)
• Assists (AST)
• Steals (ST)
• Block Shots (BLK)
• 3-Point Shots Made (3PTM)
• Field Goal Percentage (FG%)
• Free Throw Percentage (FT%)

Roster Positions:

• Point Guard (PG)
• Shooting Guard (SG)
• Guard (G)
• Small Forward (SF)
• Power Forward (PF)
• Center (C) x 2
• Utility (UTIL) x 2
• Bench (BN) x 2
• Injured List (IL) x 3

Data Sources

• 2024 NBA Draft Results: NBA.com – 2024
• NCAA Basketball Stats: ESPN.com – 2023-2024
• NBA 2K25 Summer League Stats: NBA.com – 2024 – Player Cat. Metric and Rk.
• International Player Stats: basketball-reference.com – 2023-2024
• G-League Player Stats: gleague.nba.com – 2023-2024

Term Guide

Rookie Outlooks

To Rookies to Draft-Per Category

Points

Ron Holland II (SF – DET) | 18.8 PPG – Rank: 17th

Ron Holland II (born July 7, 2005) was drafted by the Detroit Pistons as the fifth pick in the 2024 NBA Draft.

Starting Potential

Holland has the talent and has shown the potential to be a valuable asset for the Pistons as they optimize their roster. With a deep pool of talent in both the backcourt and frontcourt, it may be challenging to determine where Holland will find his success.

If he plays well, he could carve out a role on the second team, with the possibility of pushing for starting minutes depending on the team’s strategy this season. He is worth considering for mid to late-season upside as a multi-categorical contributor, particularly in points, rebounds, steals and blocks.

Dalton Knecht (F – LAL) | 21.3 PPG – Rank: 11th

Dalton Knecht (born April 19, 2001) was drafted 17th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Los Angeles Lakers.

He Got Frame and Game

Knecht is a talented player with a frame that complements the Lakers’ big-play potential. If he continues to demonstrate his scoring aptitude, he should find plenty of opportunities to contribute in the starting rotation alongside Austin Reaves, LeBron James, D’Angelo Russell and Anthony Davis. Pro-ready, Knecht is a viable option for those looking to bolster major offensive categories, particularly in points and rebounds.

Jared McCain (SG – PHI) | 13.2 PPG – Rank: 71st

Jared McCain (born February 20, 2004) was drafted 16th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Philadephia 76ers.

Mr. Social, Mr. Talented

McCain is a talented scorer who will have the opportunity to contribute immediately as he acclimates to the team.

To secure significant playing time, he must demonstrate elite-level scoring, as his other skills alone may not suffice to differentiate him as an integral part of the rotation. This is particularly important given the team’s urgency to capitalize on the acquisition of Paul George and other veteran utility players for a championship push.

If McCain can establish himself as a scoring threat, the team could shift Tyrese Maxey into a more formal floor general role, utilizing his explosive playmaking to exploit defenses. This adjustment would also allow the team to better leverage Paul George‘s versatility while reducing the need to overly rely on Joel Embiid‘s superstar play.

McCain could be a viable option for those seeking scoring production, particularly in points, rebounds and steals, from early in the middle of the season to late in the season.

Stephon Castle (G – SAS) | 22.0 PPG – Rank: 7th

Stephon Castle (born November 1, 2004) was drafted as the fourth pick in the 2024 NBA Draft by the San Antonio Spurs.

Patient Potential

The Spurs have a deep roster and Castle will be vying to secure his future as the team optimizes its lineup and sets the stage for its next dynasty. He showed promise as a two-guard, playing explosively during his single game in the Summer League.

However, with Coach Gregg Popovich’s patient approach, Castle won’t be pushed before he’s ready. If the Spurs decide to experiment this season, some late-season opportunities could bode well for his development.

At best, he could become a go-to asset off the bench, providing a versatile change of pace if he demonstrates the maturity to earn the coach’s respect and trust. Watch for his contributions in points, rebounds and assists.

Zaccharie Risacher (SF – ATL) | 14.5 PPG – Rank: 55th

Zaccharie Risacher (born 8 April 2005) was selected first overall by the Atlanta Hawks in the 2024 NBA Draft.

First Pick Bloomer

If Risacher can limit mistakes and contribute to the offense, he could find success, especially with limited competition in the frontcourt. He will need to play aggressively to make an impact, but if he secures a starting role, he could be a valuable source of efficiency and scoring.

As a late bloomer, his development will be crucial to watch, as he has the potential to become a significant contributor for the Hawks.

Tristan Da Silva (F – ORL) | 17.7 PPG – Rank: 23rd

Tristan Da Silva (born 15 May 2001) was drafted 18th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Orlando Magic.

The Silva-Lining

Silva is a talented player who should have an opportunity to contribute to Orlando’s success this season. However, the Magic’s frontcourt is stacked, which could limit his immediate impact on fantasy rosters.

Given the Magic’s patience and discipline with their assets, Silva could secure a consistent, albeit complementary, role. He may not see much upside unless there is an injury that opens up more playing time. Key contributions could include points, three-pointers made, and efficiency.

Terrence Shannon Jr. (G, F – MIN) | 13.5 PPG – Rank: 70th

Terrence Edward Shannon Jr. (born July 30, 2000) was drafted 27th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Scoring Arsenal Asset

Shannon’s scoring ability is a valuable addition to the Timberwolves, who already have a strong offensive arsenal with Anthony Edwards. While the team has ample assets to support their offense, Shannon could play a pivotal role in adding additional scoring depth to the rotation.

However, it appears his opportunities to showcase his skills may be limited. If he can capitalize on the chances he does receive, Shannon could find success and become a useful contributor. Key contributions could primarily come in the form of points.

Ja’Kobe Walter (SG – TOR) | 11.6 PPG – Rank: 108th

Ja’Kobe Amare Walter (born September 4, 2004) was drafted 19th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Toronto Raptors.

Small Wins

Walter has a great opportunity to learn and perhaps contribute in a smaller capacity. The Raptors have a well-established backcourt, so they may not need to rely heavily on him to achieve their goals. While he could find some success in a limited role to bolster offensive production, he likely won’t see enough playing time to warrant consideration in your fantasy rotation.

Assists

Robert Dillingham (G – MIN) | 7.6 APG – Rank: 5th

Robert Dillingham (born January 4, 2005) was drafted eighth overall by the Minnesota Timberwolves in the 2024 NBA Draft.

Great Opportunity

Dillingham has a great opportunity to compete and produce value for those seeking a multi-categorical asset at the one or two spots. He can score, assist and play defense, essentially serving as a younger, more explosive version of Mike Conley.

If he can maintain discipline and capitalize on his scoring ability, he will be a tremendous asset for the Minnesota Timberwolves, who will need all the offense they can muster to stay competitive in the ever-growing competitive Western Conference. Key contributions are expected in points, assists and steals.

Carlton Carrington III (G – WAS) | 5.2 APG – Rank: 20th

Carlton “Bub” Carrington III (born July 21, 2005) was drafted 14th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Portland Trail Blazers but was then traded to the Washington Wizards.

Uncertain Deployment

Carrington, a talented guard, has the potential to contribute to the Wizards. The team’s strategy for leveraging their skill set and talent arsenal is still uncertain.

With Jordan Poole and Malcolm Brogdon presenting immediate obstacles, Carrington could serve as a complementary piece, either as an off-the-bench option in the second rotation or as a long-term facilitator if allowed to lead.

His contributions could primarily be in rebounds and assists.

Rebounds

Zach Edey (C – MEM) | 3.0 RPG – Rank: 241st

Zach Edey (born May 14, 2002) was drafted ninth in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Memphis Grizzlies.

Every Reason to Thrive

There is every reason to believe Edey will leverage his impressive frame and skill set to add significant value to the Grizzlies’ frontcourt. He has the potential to become a starting asset in the first half of the season. Barring any health setbacks, Edey should be a dominant force, particularly valuable for those seeking rookie contributions in points, rebounds and field goal percentage.

Dillon Jones (SF – OKC) | 6.5 RPG – Rank: 41st

Dillon Jones (born October 29, 2001) was drafted 26th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Washington Wizards but was then traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Complementary Greatness

Jones possesses a great build and complementary skill set, making him an immediate value add for the Thunder as they aim to remain competitive in the Western Conference. His ability to score, rebound and facilitate can bring a dynamic element to both the team’s starting and secondary rotations.

While the Thunder have a solid starting lineup, Jones has the potential to make an impact beyond a supporting role, especially if the team seeks to bolster their offensive capabilities. He could compete for meaningful opportunities that may become more valuable as the season progresses. Key contributions could include efficiency, rebounds, free throws, steals and points.

Yves Missi (C – NOP) | 4.8 RPG – Rank: 102nd

Yves Missi (born 14 May 2004) was drafted 21st in the 2024 NBA Draft by the New Orleans Pelicans.

Big Shoes to Fill

Missi’s big frame should be a welcomed addition to the Pelicans, who have parted ways with long-term big man Jonas Valanciunas. While Missi’s production may not immediately stand out, he has the potential to step into the traditional big-man role that once added a competitive dimension to an emerging Pelicans squad.

His inexperience might initially limit his impact in the rotation, but if he makes gradual improvements in production and on-floor competency, he could find success later in the season. However, given the heavy competition in the team’s frontcourt, Missi may see limited immediate success.

Steals

Reed Sheppard (PG – HOU) | 2.8 SPG – Rank: 10th

Reed Sheppard (born June 24, 2004) was drafted third in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Houston Rockets.

Unknown, Undefined, Unlimited Potential

If Sheppard can compete at the NBA level, he has the potential to be a game-winning asset for your team.

He possesses the skill set and upside to make a significant impact. With the Rockets’ backcourt in flux and filled with potential, Sheppard’s success may initially come from dominating the second rotation.

While currently undefined as a guard, he is showing tendencies as a facilitator, potentially positioning himself as a long-term successor to Fred VanVleet. He is a player to keep an eye on, with the potential to be a high-priority pick and even a candidate for Rookie of the Year.

Devin Carter (G – SAC) | N/A

Devin Carter (born March 18, 2002) was drafted 13th overall by the Sacramento Kings in the 2024 NBA Draft.

Royal Arrival

Injury may slow down this talented acquisition, but Carter should remain on your radar.

While the Kings have strengthened their roster with the acquisition of DeMar DeRozan, leveraging Carter’s skills in scoring, facilitation and defense could be advantageous. As the Kings aim to enhance their competitiveness in all aspects of the game, Carter’s integration could be beneficial.

It may take some time, but he could find success in the middle to later part of the season, complementing the explosiveness of De’Aaron Fox and the talents of DeRozan and Domantas Sabonis. Key contributions could include points, rebounds, steals and blocks.

Isaiah Collier (PG – UTA) | 2.5 SPG – Rank: 13th

Isaiah Collier (born October 8, 2004) was drafted 29th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Utah Jazz.

Strong Rebuilding Asset

Collier is in a strong position to help redirect and reshape a franchise that is undergoing a rebuild. His ability to score and assist provides promising initial returns, offering the team a solid foundation.

However, the overall direction of the team and its leadership will heavily influence his immediate impact. Despite competition in the backcourt, Collier could distinguish himself by exceeding expectations and showcasing his talent early on. Key contributions could include points, efficiency, assists and steals.

Blocks

Kel’El Ware (C – MIA) | 1.5 BPG – Rank: 21st

Kel’el Ware (born April 20, 2004) was drafted 15th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Miami Heat.

Double Bam Ballers

Ware will provide the Heat with valuable options in their frontcourt and should be a great complementary player alongside Bam Adebayo. He is worth picking up as an immediate multi-categorical contributor, bolstering production across several key areas. Expect contributions in points, rebounds, efficiency and blocks.

Matas Buzelis (SF – CHI) | 2.0 BPG – Rank: 10th

Matas Buzelis (born October 13, 2004) was drafted 11th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Chicago Bulls.

Big Play Competition

While the Bulls may have a vision for their frontcourt, there isn’t too much competition preventing the rookie from stepping in and competing. Buzelis possesses great skills that complement what the Bulls are accustomed to and he could potentially fill a role similar to DeMar DeRozan‘s.

However, he will face competition from players like Patrick Williams and Jalen Smith. Depending on how the Bulls perform, Buzelis’ upside could manifest in the mid-to-late part of the season, contributing in points, rebounds, blocks and steals.

Donovan Clingan (C – POR) | 4.3 BPG – Rank: 1st

Donovan Clingan (born February 23, 2004) was drafted seventh in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Portland Trail Blazers.

Elite Support

The Trail Blazers have a congested frontcourt and Clingan could find success supporting Deandre Ayton, especially if Ayton faces injuries. However, his impact largely depends on how the team chooses to compete this season. Clingan can be a good source of rebounds and efficiency, but opportunities may be limited, making it challenging to achieve long-term success in his starting season.

Ryan Dunn (PF – PHX) | 1.5 BPG – Rank: 26th

Ryan Dunn (born January 7, 2003) was drafted 28th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Denver Nuggets but was then traded to the Phoenix Suns.

Defensively Gifted

Dunn possesses strong defensive attributes that could be a valuable addition to the Suns. However, with the team being heavily stacked in their frontcourt, there may not be immediate opportunities for him to make a significant impact.

He might find some success in the second rotation, particularly in synergy with the starting lineup, but his chances may be limited. Key contributions could include steals and blocks.

Alex Sarr (C – WAS) | 2.5 BPG – Rank: 4th

Alex Sarr (born 26 April 2005) was selected second overall by the Washington Wizards in the 2024 NBA Draft.

Integration Domination

Sarr’s success will largely depend on how the team integrates him into their system. With a frontcourt full of potential, his playing time and role may hinge on the team’s commitment to developing him.

If the Wizards decide to give him significant minutes, he could find success mid-to-late-season. While he didn’t necessarily showcase it in the Summer League, Sarr can score close to the basket. He could be particularly valuable for those seeking rebounds, blocks and, perhaps, efficiency, making him a potential sleeper pick for the season.

Three-Pointers Made

Baylor Scheierman (SF – BOS) | 2.0 3PTM – Rank: 45th

Baylor Arthur Scheierman (born September 26, 2000) was drafted 30th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Boston Celtics.

Championship Talent

Scheierman is a promising talent who will get his opportunity to play. The Celtics, with their solid group of players and flexibility in optimizing talent, could greatly benefit from Scheierman’s contributions. His ability to score, control the boards, assist and play defense provides the team with valuable versatility.

Whether aligned in the starting lineup or the second rotation, Scheierman could play a key role in unlocking new possibilities and advancing the Celtics’ quest for a second consecutive championship. His contributions could be significant for both the team and fantasy squads, particularly in efficiency, rebounds, points, assists and steals.

Kyshawn George (SF – WAS) | 2.0 3PTM – Rank: 58th

Kyshawn George (born 12 December 2003) was drafted 24th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the New York Knicks but was then traded to the Washington Wizards.

Exploratory Talent

The Wizards have a deep frontcourt, but if they choose to explore possibilities with their young talent, George could find opportunities to contribute alongside players like Corey Kispert, Saddiq Bey and Kyle Kuzma. However, the current disorganization and lack of role clarity within the team’s rotations may not provide an ideal environment for fringe contributors like George to make a significant impact.

Field-Goal Percentage

Jaylon Tyson (SF – CLE) | 58.5% FG% – Rank: 60th

Jaylon La Rone Tyson (born December 2, 2002) was drafted 20th in the 2024 NBA Draft by the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Shake n’ Bake Power

Tyson has a great opportunity to step in and contribute to a competitive Cavaliers squad with a talented frontcourt. His success could be significantly influenced by his health, especially considering Evan Mobley‘s struggles with durability throughout the season.

Tyson’s addition should provide the team with enhanced firepower, bolstering their defensive presence and contributing to a more responsive and competitive offensive game plan.

Cody Williams (SF – UTA) | 54.8% FG% – Rank: 77th

Cody Williams (born November 20, 2004) was drafted 10th overall by the Utah Jazz in the 2024 NBA Draft.

Play above Potential

Williams will need to rise to his potential to secure a meaningful role with the Jazz. While young, he possesses the skills to complement the team’s frontcourt plans. However, he may not be competitive enough to warrant immediate consideration unless injuries create additional opportunities for him to contribute significantly. His contributions could come in points, efficiency and rebounds.

Free-Throw Percentage

Nikola Topic (PG – OKC) | N/A

Nikola Topic (born 10 August 2005) was drafted 12th overall by the Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2024 NBA Draft.

Slow Start, Slow Return

Topic’s health status will significantly hinder his ability to contribute immediate value to the team. With the Thunder having all the pieces in place to build on last season’s performance, there is no urgency to rush their top prospect back into action.

While he possesses the ability to facilitate and score, the team may already be locked into their style of play and performing well before he can make a strong case for a larger role. Although Topic has the potential to produce in certain categories, he may not be worth considering early in the season.

Un-Categorized

• Tidjane Salaun (PF – CHA) | 7.0 RPG – Rank: 34th
• Pacome Dadiet (SF – NYK) | 4.2 RPG – Rank: 135th
• AJ Johnson (SG – MIL) | 11.2 PPG – Rank: 117th

Out-For-Season

• Daron Holmes II (C – DEN) | 7.0 RPG – Rank: 28th