Draft day is full of excitement and anticipation, but it also comes with its fair share of pitfalls. In 2024, some players have been consistently overvalued, becoming traps for unwary fantasy managers. To help you avoid these missteps, we’ve compiled a list of the worst value picks based on Average Draft Position (ADP), sourced from a collection of Featured Pros analysts. These insights aim to steer you clear of players who are unlikely to deliver on their draft-day promises, ensuring you make smarter picks and maximize your team’s potential.
Taking a look at our average draft position (ADP) and practicing mock drafts in Draft Wizard’s Mock Draft Simulator are great ways to develop a sense of when the players you seek might come off the board. Not only that, but understanding each player’s range of outcomes will allow you to judge whether each one is fairly priced, undervalued or overvalued relative to their ADP.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Worst Value Picks by ADP: Wide Receivers
Who is the worst value pick at WR based on his current ADP and why?
Stefon Diggs (WR – HOU)
“Stefon Diggs (WR21 in the ADP) is massively overdrafted. He has a late third-round ADP, getting picked ahead of Malik Nabers (WR24), Amari Cooper (WR25), George Pickens (WR27), and Christian Kirk (WR30). There are two reasons why I won’t draft the veteran in 2024. He has had late-season struggles in back-to-back years. He was the WR47 over the final eight games last season, averaging only 7.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game and 0.41 fantasy points per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). More importantly, Diggs won’t see the 27.5% target share and 28% target per route run rate from 2023 in Houston. The veteran should clearly be the third Texans receiver drafted and a sixth-round pick.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
“I can’t understand the merit in taking Stefon Diggs in the 3rd round. Nico Collins looked great last year, and Tank Dell is a real Stroud favorite. Joe Mixon will make the run game more reliable, but Dalton Schultz isn’t going anywhere, either. This offense is going to be good, but do you really want the WR3 who looked washed at times last year?”
– Ben Wasley (The Fantasy First Down)
Tank Dell (WR – HOU)
“Tank Dell being drafted as a Top 30 WR (currently #29) only makes sense if the Texans did not just bring over Stefon Diggs. To think there are going to be enough targets on the table among Collins/Diggs/Schultz and Tank Dell to be a consistent WR2 who is going in the first six rounds of every Fantasy Football draft is crazy. Last season in games where Tank saw six targets or fewer, Tank was putting up waiver wire numbers. I do not see Stroud forcing the ball to Tank unless a deep bomb is called, and that number is not going to be more than a few times a game. Let everyone else take Tank early on and Tank their draft.”
– Muntradamus (Beast Dome)
Nico Collins (WR – HOU)
“Nico Collins is a phenomenal talent who just hit a huge payday this offseason. And, still, I can’t pull the trigger on him at WR13. While he’s certain to have some monster weeks, a healthy Tank Dell and the addition of Stefon Diggs have me wondering if any of them will provide the consistency we’ve come to covet in fantasy. As the most expensive option in the room, I’d much prefer teammate Dell (WR29) at cost. Even Diggs (WR21) is palatable, as I expect all to produce fairly similar numbers. I’ll happily take Jaylen Waddle (WR15), Mike Evans (WR17), and Michael Pittman (WR18) over Nico this year.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)
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