FantasyPros Staff | Tue, Jul 2nd 2024, 5:50am EDT

Wide Receivers to Avoid: DJ Moore, Nico Collins, Tee Higgins, Jordan Addison (2024)

It’s important to know who to target and who to pass on when it comes to your fantasy football draft, and our FeaturedPros experts have identified four wide receivers to avoid in 2024.

Wide Receivers to Avoid in 2024

DJ Moore (WR – CHI)

“I’m avoiding DJ Moore (WR-CHI) in all of my fantasy football drafts this season. The talent is there, but there are two things that are against him: (1) QB Justin Fields is replaced with untested rookie Caleb Williams. (2) There are a lot of mouths to feed in Chicago this season, especially Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze.”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)

Nico Collins (WR – HOU)

“All of Houston’s top 3 WRs look overpriced. If you add up the half-PPR scoring averages from last year for their ADP slots — Nico Collins (WR13), Stefon Diggs (WR20) and Tank Dell (WR29) — you get 36.5 points. That would have ranked top 4 among full-team WR scoring each of the past three years. I’m most out on Diggs among the trio, given his challenges of age (31 in November) and joining a new team. But he also brings a history of letting folks know he’s not happy when he’s not getting enough targets. You don’t trade for that guy to make him a decoration. That makes me wary of the target shares for the younger Texans wideouts at cost. I believe the Houston passing game will prove significantly overpriced when we look back on 2024.”
– Matt Schauf (Draft Sharks)

“I’m fond of Nico Collins, but his ADP (WR13, 19th overall) is hard to justify. Collins gave us an exciting 80-1,297-8 stat line last year, but he had to be ruthlessly efficient to get there since he drew a modest 109 targets. Collins had a 73.4% catch rate and averaged 16.2 yards per catch, 11.9 yards per target, and 3.11 yards per route run. Those freakishly good efficiency numbers are going to be tough to repeat, so for Collins to finish in the WR1 range, he’d probably need a target increase. That’s unlikely to happen now that the Texans have added Stefon Diggs to a WR corps that also includes the electric Tank Dell. At his elevated price, Nico is an easy fade.”
– Pat Fitzmaurice (FantasyPros)

Tee Higgins (WR – CIN)

“Tee Higgins continues to be an anomaly for me in fantasy football. He is consistently overvalued in fantasy football based on his draft cost each year and the production that he brings to the table. His best season to date was his sophomore campaign in which his fantasy points per game (15.7) landed him at WR12 on the year with his only season with a target share over 20% (23.9%). In three out of his four seasons in the NFL, his actual fantasy PPG has not exceeded his expected fantasy PPG, which speaks to the inconsistencies he brings to the table. As I have pointed out numerous times over the offseason, Higgins provides fantasy managers with WR3 or worse production weeks at more than a 60% rate yet is routinely viewed as a borderline WR2. Add in the tumultuous offseason and potential that he could be moved in a trade due to unhappiness with his contract, all the negative vibes are in place for me to avoid at his current ADP.”
– Brandon Murchison (RotoBaller)

Jordan Addison (WR – MIN)

“I know everyone will hate this take. I get it. We love to invest in talented second-year wide receivers, but the inverse can absolutely be true. As a collective, we should be all the way out on sophomore wide receivers that flopped in their rookie season. The lead that I’m comfortably burying is that I’ll be avoiding Jordan Addison this year. Addison’s rookie year numbers for fantasy were GROSSLY inflated by insane touchdown luck. He was 15th in end zone targets last year and ran hot with the fourth-most receiving touchdowns among wide receivers behind only Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, and CeeDee Lamb. All of his other metrics (that we should value higher) were in the toilet. Among 81 qualifying receivers, he ranked 46th in target share, 59th in targets per route run, 51st in yards per route run, and 58th in first downs per route run. If I’m making a bet in the Minnesota passing attack outside of Justin Jefferson for 2024, it’s Aaron Jones and not Jordan Addison.”
– Derek Brown (FantasyPros)

To better understand players to avoid and others to reach for, use our Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR) and compare them to a player’s average draft position (ADP). Players going higher in ADP versus ECR are likely those you want to reconsider at their current cost. On the flipside, players that experts are higher on versus ADP are those that could be worth reaching for or at least targeting at their current ADP.

You can also use our expert accuracy rankings to help determine which experts to select when you are building your custom fantasy football draft cheat sheets.

Here’s a look at players the experts are avoiding at their current ADP.

NFL

MLB

NBA

NHL