Overvalued Fantasy Football Players: Stefon Diggs, David Njoku, Jordan Addison

The Scott Fish Bowl is underway, meaning the 2024 fantasy football season is approaching. Therefore, now is the time to start preparing for your redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. Yet, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that will bust or are overpriced.

Let’s look at players that are overpriced draft values based on Sleeper ADP for redraft leagues. Here are overvalued fantasy football players to avoid on Sleeper.

Overvalued Fantasy Football Players: Sleeper Leagues

Stefon Diggs (WR – HOU)

Sleeper ADP – 31.5 | WR17

I won’t draft Diggs for two reasons in 2024. One, the veteran wide receiver has had late-season struggles in back-to-back years. He was the WR47 over the final eight games last season, averaging only 7.5 half-point PPR fantasy points per game and 0.41 fantasy points per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). Two, Diggs won’t see the 27.5% target share and 28% target per route run rate from 2023 in Houston. His days as a must-start fantasy receiver are over, making him massively overrated at his current ADP.

Jordan Addison (WR – MIN)

Sleeper ADP – 71.3 | WR35

Unfortunately, Minnesota will have a new Week 1 starting quarterback for the first time since 2018. Addison was the WR21 as a rookie, averaging 11 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. However, he was productive because of a high touchdown rate (9.3%). Furthermore, seven of his 10 receiving scores came in the eight games with Kirk Cousins under center. Addison was the WR37, averaging 8.7 fantasy points per game without Cousins. He is on my do-not-draft list this year after being a boom-or-bust touchdown-dependent receiver as a rookie.

David Njoku (TE – CLE)

Sleeper ADP – 86.9 | TE10

While Njoku averaged a career-high 10 half-point PPR fantasy points per game last season, the veteran was quarterback-dependent. He was TE13 in the five contests that Deshaun Watson had at least six pass attempts, averaging 6.3 fantasy points per game. By comparison, Njoku was the TE1 in the five games with Joe Flacco under center, averaging 15.2 fantasy points per contest. Meanwhile, Jerry Jeudy’s arrival adds significant target competition for the veteran tight end. Instead of drafting Njoku, fantasy players should target Jake Ferguson with a similar draft price.