Sunday slates always tend to lead to some rest, but that won’t be the case this weekend. These teams got plenty of time off during the All-Star break, and all of these lineups should be fully stacked. That’s what we love from a DFS standpoint, and it should give us a fascinating Sunday slate to dissect.
With that in mind, let’s dive into this card! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s slate of baseball games.
Sunday slates always tend to lead to some rest, but that won’t be the case this weekend. These teams got plenty of time off during the All-Star break, and all of these lineups should be fully stacked. That’s what we love from a DFS standpoint, and it should give us a fascinating Sunday slate to dissect.
With that in mind, let’s dive into this card! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s slate of baseball games.
Sunday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
| PLAYER |
DK SALARY |
FD SALARY |
VALUE |
RISK |
| Seth Lugo (KC) vs. CWS |
$9,700 |
$10,800 |
Low |
Low |
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) vs. DET |
$8,800 |
$9,500 |
Medium |
Medium |
| Christian Scott (NYM) at MIA |
$7,600 |
$8,100 |
Medium |
High |
Seth Lugo (KC) vs. CWS
Lugo has been one of the best pitchers in the AL, and he should cruise against Chicago. Let’s start there because the White Sox rank last in runs scored, OBP, OPS and xwOBA. That’s bad news with how Lugo has looked, totaling a 2.48 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in a breakout season. He’s also allowed just one run across 13.2 innings against Chicago, scoring 36 and 43 FD points in those games.
Kevin Gausman (TOR) vs. DET
It’s been a rough season for Gausman, but this former ace can return to that in a matchup like this. The Motor City Kitties rank 20th in runs scored and 27th in wOBA, with KG averaging 48 FD points per game in their three matchups since the start of last season. That’s the stud we’ve become accustomed to over recent years, providing a 3.32 ERA and 1.17 WHIP since 2020.
Christian Scott (NYM) at MIA
We would use anyone against Miami right now. The Marlins rank 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA and xwOBA. That’s great since Scott was mowing down inferior competition in the minors, maintaining a 2.59 ERA and 0.87 WHIP between Double-A and Triple-A. He’s also got a 1.11 WHIP in eight starts at this level and should be a key cog in this rotation over the final two months!
MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Mets have been a Top 3 offense in every metric over the last two months, and they should continue that success against Rogers. The Marlins lefty has a 4.72 ERA and 1.55 WHIP, surrendering at least three runs in four straight starts against the Mets, never reaching the sixth inning in any of those!
Gonzales has always overperformed when you look at his stuff, but Philly should be able to exploit that here. This is the deepest lineup in the NL now that they’re fully healthy, ranked third in OBP and runs scored. That’s scary for the lefty, posting a 5.22 ERA and 1.46 WHIP last year.
MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs
| POS |
PLAYER |
DK SALARY |
FD SALARY |
| SS |
Bobby Witt (KC) |
$6,400 |
$4,500 |
| SS |
Fransisco Lindor (NYM) |
$5,500 |
$3,900 |
| 3B |
Alec Bohm (PHI) |
$5,400 |
$3,400 |
| OF |
George Springer (TOR) |
$4,000 |
$3,200 |
- Witt is the third-highest-scoring player in fantasy, averaging nearly 11 DraftKings points per game. He played some of his best baseball before the break, providing a .403 AVG, .736 SLG, and 1.181 OPS across his last 19 outings.
- Lindor has been one of the best shortstops in baseball across the last two months, recording over 10 homers and 10 steals in that span. Franky also has a .390 OBP, .541 SLG, and .931 OPS across his last 51 games. That should bode well against a gas can like Rogers, especially since Lindor has a .900 OPS against lefties this year!
- Bohm has some of the best splits in baseball. This third baseman has been slaughtering southpaws throughout his career, collecting a .884 OPS against lefties since the 2021 season. It hasn’t quite been the same this year, but he still has a .833 OPS and bats in the heart of one of our favorite stacks!
- Springer was one of the biggest disappointments through the opening months of the year, but this former All-Star is starting to get going. The outfielder has six homers over his last 19 games, generating a .429 OBP and 1.153 OPS in that span. That’s the stud we’ve become accustomed to, and it should continue since he faces a pitcher with a 5.47 ERA!
MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts
- Pete the Polar Bear isn’t having his best season, but this slugger is still getting the job done. He’s up to 19 homers and 53 RBI, registering a .803 OPS over the last two months! Most importantly, he has the platoon advantage against Gonzales, posting a .852 OPS against left-handers since the start of last season!
- It’s hard to believe that Castellanos bats sixth or seventh in this lineup, but that shows just how deep Philly can be. It’s no fault of this guy, though, tallying a .804 OPS across his last 50 outings. He’s also got a .813 OPS against southpaws since the 2021 season! Castellanos has faced Gonzales 14 times, posting a .357 AVG against him!
- Kelenic is mired in a slump right now, but this guy was having a revived season in ATL before that. He has an OPS well above .800 over the previous two months, moved to the leadoff spot without Ronald Acuna and Michael Harris. He also had an OPS above .800 against right-handers in that span and shouldn’t have any issues against a pitcher with a 5.13 ERA!
- Mountcastle has been moved down the O’s order, but he’s always an elite option when they face a lefty. The first baseman has a .385 OBP and .987 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor since the start of last season. It’s not like Heaney is the scariest southpaw, sporting a 4.01 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in that same span. We also don’t mind Mountcastle’s BvP numbers, maintaining a 2.056 OPS in nine at-bats against Heaney!
Sunday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props
Trea Turner: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher
Turner has cleared this prop in 10 of his last 14 fixtures, posting a 1.354 OPS in that span.
Scott is one of the best options against this terrible Marlins lineup, and all he needs to do is finish six innings to clear this prop.
We already talked about how much we love NY against Rogers, and Bader is one of the only guys with such a low base total. All we need is one hit, which is incredible since he had a .299 AVG and .936 OPS against lefties last year. He does enter this matchup without a hit in three straight, but Harry had had a hit in six of his previous seven outings!
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
