MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets: Sunday (7/14)

This is the final slate before the All-Star break, and we might see some funky things happen. Teams love to rest players on Sundays, but it’s unclear if that’ll happen here, with every team taking the next five days off. It might be an excellent opportunity to give these All-Stars an extra day before the festivities, and we’re hopeful we don’t see too many shenanigans.

With that said, let’s dive into this Sunday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s slate of baseball games.

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Sunday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Chris Sale (ATL) at SD
Sale would’ve started the All-Star game if he hadn’t toed the rubber here, returning to the ace we saw in Chicago. The lefty has scored at least 27 FanDuel points in all but one start, providing a 2.74 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 11.7 K/9 rate. That makes him an easy sell against a San Diego team missing Fernando Tatis, with Sale scoring 58 FanDuel points against them earlier in the year!

Logan Gilbert (SEA) at LAA
Gilbert is having a similar season to Sale, performing well in all but one start. The righty has a 2.45 ERA and 0.84 WHIP if you take out that one stinker, scoring at least 45 fantasy points in three of his last five fixtures. That’s scary for a shorthanded LA team, with the Angels ranked 24th in OBP and runs scored. They’re also missing Mike Trout and Luis Rengifo, with Gilbert entering this matchup as a -200 favorite.

Nick Lodolo (CIN) vs. MIA
Lodolo struggled in the game he got injured and his first game back, but he’s been nearly unhittable outside of that. The lefty has allowed four runs or fewer in all 13 starts, generating a 2.76 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 9.6 K/9 rate in the 11 starts before that injury. A home matchup with Miami should help him return to that because the Marlins are 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA. That’s why Lodolo is a -190 favorite!

Mitch Keller (PIT) at CWS
We would use anyone against the White Sox, but Keller has been a breakout pitcher this season. The righty has a 3.40 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, accruing a 2.40 ERA and 1.08 WHIP since May 1. That won’t bode well for the White Sox, with Chicago sitting 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA.

MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks

Cincinnati Reds (vs. Trevor Rogers)

• Home (Great American Ballpark)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 9 Runs/CIN -190

Cincy is always one of the highest-projected offenses at home, with Great American Ballpark developing into a hitter’s haven. That’s terrible news for a struggling southpaw like Rogers, with the lefty providing a 4.82 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in what is turning into a nightmare season. In his last start against the Reds, Rogers surrendered six runs across 3.2 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies (vs. Joey Estes)

• Home (Citizens Bank Ballpark)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 10 Runs/PHI -255

Philadelphia has one of the scariest lineups in baseball, ranked third in OBP and sixth in runs scored. That’s scary since they recently got back three All-Stars, particularly for a pitcher like Estes. The A’s righty has a 5.53 ERA, with the Phils projected to score over five runs.

MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs

• It’s hard to believe how amazing Ohtani has been since being signed. The All-Star has a .402 OBP and 1.035 OPS this season while posting a 1.278 OPS across his last 22 outings. That’s on par with his splits, sporting a .420 OBP and 1.112 OPS against righties so far this season. Minnesota hasn’t announced a starter, but Kenta Maeda should get some innings. He’s got a 21.32 ERA over his last two starts!
• J-Rod has struggled for most of the season but was one of the best players in fantasy in the second half of last year. We’ve seen flashes of that right before the break, providing a .577 OBP and 1.619 OPS across his last eight outings. He has 18 steals and should continue his hot streak against a TBD for the Angels.
• Turner just returned from the IL, but this man doesn’t want the All-Star break to come next week. He’s had seven homers over his last 12 games, generating a .477 OBP and 1.358 OPS in that span. Not many players can get as hot as this guy, and a matchup with Estes should keep him rolling into the break.
• If you stack Cincy, Steer should be one of the first pieces of your lineup. The utility man has nearly 40 homers and 30 steals since the start of last season, posting a .390 OBP and 1.019 OPS across his last 19 games. He also has the platoon advantage against Rogers, totaling a .373 OBP and .895 OPS against lefties since the 2021 season!

MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts

• Cruz can be a frustrating player with his volatility, but he always goes off when he faces a righty. The shortstop has a .341 OBP, .498 SLG, and .839 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. He’s also rolling right now, tallying a .429 OBP and 1.105 OPS across his last nine outings. We haven’t heard who the White Sox are sending out, but Garrett Crochet is the only guy we’d be concerned about, and he’s not starting.
• Schwarber has always been a volatile player because of his power, but he’s an elite GPP option because of that. The slugger has homered twice since coming off the IL, providing a .420 OBP, .539 SLG, and .959 OPS across his last 37 outings. He’s also been much better against righties and shouldn’t be faded as the leadoff hitter in this Phillies stack.
• Stewart has been a sneaky hitter for NY, clobbering righties since the start of last season. DJ has a .335 OBP and .784 OPS against them since the beginning of last year and is way too cheap with splits like those. He also usually bats sixth in those circumstances and should keep his success going against the worst pitching staff in baseball.
• Kelenic has done a fantastic job filling in as the leadoff hitter with Ronald Acuna and Michael Harris both sidelined. The former top prospect has a .278 AVG and .819 OPS across his last 43 outings while accruing a .784 OPS against righties this year. That’s rough for Randy Vasquez, registering a 4.66 ERA and 1.60 WHIP.

Sunday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props

Trevor Rogers: 5.5 Strikeouts – Fewer

We want to stack against Rogers because he’ll struggle to reach the fifth inning. Amazingly, he hasn’t had more than six strikeouts in any game this year, failing to surpass this number in eight of his last nine starts!

Trea Turner: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher

Turner has at least 1.5 bases in eight of his last 12 outings and faces one of the worst pitchers on this slate!

Blake Snell: 3.5 Hits Allowed – Higher

We know Snell can be tough to hit, but Minnesota has been the second-best team against lefties this year. That’s bad news since he’s allowed at least five hits in five of his last six starts!

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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.