MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets: Saturday (7/13)

We have all 30 teams in action, and it’s one of the final slates before the break. You better believe these teams will go all out to win this final series before the All-Star break, and it should lead to some competitive baseball!

With that in mind, let’s dive into this Saturday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s slate of baseball games.

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Saturday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Saturday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

George Kirby (SEA) at LAA
Kirby has been one of the best pitchers in baseball since the start of last season, accruing a 3.36 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in that span. He’s also scored at least 32 FanDuel points in eight straight starts, providing a 2.19 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 9.5 K/9 rate in that stretch. That should be easy to duplicate against an LA team missing Mike Trout and Luis Rengifo, ranked 24th in OBP, and runs scored. In their last matchup, Kirby collected 43 fantasy points.

Andrew Abbott (CIN) vs. MIA
Abbott has quietly been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the last month. The lefty has a 3.06 ERA and 1.17 WHIP for the year but has a 2.85 ERA and 1.15 WHIP across his last 10 starts. He’s also allowed three runs or fewer in nine of those and should do that versus Miami. The Marlins rank 29th or 30th in OBP, runs scored, wOBA, and xwOBA, with Abbott entering this matchup as a -170 favorite.

Christian Scott (NYM) vs. COL
Scott was one of the best pitchers in the minors, maintaining a 2.59 ERA and 0.87 WHIP between Double-A and Triple-A. That’s not far from what we’ve seen at this level, with Scott sporting a 4.15 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Our favorite part about this is a matchup with Colorado because the Rockies rank 28th in xwOBA and K rate. They’ve also been the worst road offense for five years and will surely struggle in Citi Field since NY is a -250 favorite.

Tyler Phillips (PHI) vs. OAK
I’d be lying if I said I knew much about this kid because he’s making his first career start. The situation makes is what makes him so enticing, with Philips and the Phils entering this matchup as a -200 favorite. That’s no surprise since Oakland ranks 27th in runs scored, 29th in K rate, and 24th in wOBA. Philips was also impressive in his debut, striking out seven batters across four scoreless innings earlier in the week.

MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks

New York Mets (vs. Ryan Feltner)

• Home (Citi Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/NYM -250

The Mets have been one of the best teams in baseball for the last month, and a home weekend series against Colorado should keep them rolling into the All-Star break. Colorado ranks last in ERA and WHIP, while New York sits second in runs scored over the last month. Feltner hasn’t helped those ugly numbers, amassing a 5.75 career ERA and 1.49 WHIP.

Washington Nationals (vs. Dallas Keuchel)

• Road (Miller Park)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 9 Runs/MIL -125

We will stack against Keuchel on every slate until he’s sent into retirement. This guy was already out of the league before Milwaukee signed him, with the lefty totaling a 6.21 ERA and 1.68 WHIP since 2021. Washington has also been an underrated offense, and they should be an affordable stack against the worst pitcher on this slate.

MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs

• We’re using Thomas as our first recommendation because he’s quietly been one of the best players in fantasy since the start of last season. He’s got nearly 40 homers and 40 steals in that span but has been even better against lefties. In fact, Thomas has a .384 OBP and .961 OPS against them in that same stretch!
• Lindor was one of the biggest snubs on the All-Star team because he’s been mashing for over a month. The former All-Star has a .369 OBP, .554 SLG, and .924 OPS over his last 44 games, collecting nine homers and 10 steals in that span. That should play out against a gas can like Feltiner, especially since Lindor has been moved to the leadoff spot.
• Seager got off to a slow start, but this stud is starting to get going. The shortstop has a .421 OBP, .765 SLG, and 1.186 OPS across his last nine outings. He’s also rocked right-handers, registering a .402 OBP and 1.018 OPS against them since the start of last season. That’s rough for Spencer Arrighetti, who’s accumulated a 5.96 ERA and 1.66 WHIP.
• Harper hasn’t done much since returning from the IL a few days ago, but this was one of the best hitters in baseball before that. The newly converted first baseman had a .428 OBP, .629 SLG, and 1.057 OPS in the 61 games before landing on the IL. He’s also posted much better splits against righties throughout his career and shouldn’t have any issues against this 22nd-ranked Oakland staff.

MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts

• Nimmo was horrid through the opening month, but he’s been one of the best bats in baseball since then. He’s gotten on base in 30 of his last 32 outings, generating a .396 OBP and 1.010 OPS in that stretch. He’s also crushed righties, posting a .607 OBP and 1.457 OPS in six games against Colorado last year.
• Busch has quietly been carrying the Cubs offense, collecting a .467 OBP, .750 SLG, and 1.217 OPS over his last 10 outings. It’s not like we expect Lance Lynn to cool him off, totaling a 7.14 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP across his last six starts. As long as Busch is this hot, he shouldn’t be so cheap on both sites.
• Something happens to Candelario whenever he plays at home. We know that Great American Ballpark is one of the most hitter-friendly environments in baseball, with Candy collecting a .865 OPS over his last 24 home games. He also bats third for the Reds, and that’s the optimal spot since he faces Edward Cabrera‘s 6.84 ERA and 1.56 WHIP.
• It’s been a horrid season for Hoskins, but his price has dropped too much for a spot like this. The first baseman has bashed lefties throughout his career, tallying a .391 OBP and .903 OPS against them. That’s hard to overlook because he’s homered in three of his last five fixtures coming into this!

Saturday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props

George Kirby: 5.5 Strikeouts – Higher

Kirby hasn’t been the most prolific strikeout pitcher, but he’s found something recently. He’s cleared this total in six of his last eight starts, posting a 9.5 K/9 rate in that span.

Christian Scott: 4.5 Hits Allowed – Lower

Scott had a WHIP below 0.90 at the minors and is just above a 1.00 WHIP at this level. He’s only allowed 13 hits over his last four outings and shouldn’t have any issues against one of the worst offenses in baseball.

Rhys Hoskins: 0.5 Total Bases – Higher

All we need is one hit for Hos to clear this total. He’s done that in four of his last five outings and showcases the super splits mentioned above.

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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.