While people are deep in best ball drafts, it’s never too early to prepare for redraft leagues. With training camps open, people are coming back to redraft and becoming aware of average draft position (ADP) for players in the upcoming season. Everyone knows practice makes perfect, and there is no better way to practice than with the FantasyPros Mock Draft Simulator.

I am picking 11th in this 12-team, 1QB, and half-PPR-scoring redraft fantasy football mock draft. The lineup for this fantasy football mock draft is one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end, one flex and six bench spots.

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Fantasy Football Mock Draft: Half-PPR, Late Pick (2024)

Pick 1.11: Garrett Wilson (WR – NYJ)

Despite catching passes from a rotation of backup quarterbacks including Zach Wilson, Trevor Siemian and Joe Flacco, Garrett Wilson has delivered over 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first two seasons. The Jets averaged just 15.8 points per game last season; the fourth-lowest mark in the NFL. With the return of Aaron Rodgers, the Jets are projected to notch around 25 points per game which would have been seventh-best in the league last season. Wilson figures to be one of the main beneficiaries of an increased scoring output while Rodgers feeds him all the targets he can handle. Rodgers has delivered 140 or more targets to a wide receiver six times throughout his career, and of those six occurrences, none of the receivers finished the season worse than WR4. For reference, Wilson tallied 168 targets last season and 147 in his rookie year. With a late pick like 1.11, we’re outside the range of the truly elite running backs, making a hero RB build a tall task. Wilson is one of my favorite picks this year, so I’ll gladly take him in this range.

Pick 2.02: Saquon Barkley (RB – PHI)

As much as I like having two picks close together, the second round is a tough spot this season. I like receivers Brandon Aiyuk, Nico Collins and Drake London, but they’re all going a bit later and have some questions about each of them. Plus, I like grabbing a high-end running back early as my anchor, attacking other positions and then filling out the depth at running back later. Saquon Barkley’s move to Philadelphia can be viewed in a myriad of ways. On the one hand, it will be the best offense he’s ever played in, but on the other, the tush push might keep Barkley out of the endzone too often. I’ll bank on an offense that supported D’Andre Swift to 4.6 yards per carry, an offensive line that finished first in PFFs rankings in 2023 and sits at second best heading into 2024. The Eagles haven’t targeted their running backs at a high rate in the past, but they’ve also never had a talent like Barkley and new offensive coordinator Kellen Moore can’t be held responsible for past tendencies. At the end of the day, you can’t go wrong with talent in a good offense and it fits my ideal roster build.

Pick 3.11: DK Metcalf (WR – SEA)

DK Metcalf is being drafted as the WR21 after going as the WR16 ahead of the 2023 season. Perhaps fantasy managers were expecting a greater leap forward for Metcalf, but he’s improved his yardage total every season after notching 1,114 last year. In his three NFL seasons, Metcalf has finished as the WR20, WR24 and WR22 in points per game, so he’s being drafted right around his average output. But what if Metcalf hits another gear in his fourth season? Tyler Lockett is trending downhill quicker than an alpine skier and Jaxon Smith-Njigba is getting some hype, but he struggled mightily as a rookie. The biggest boost to Metcalf’s stock, however, is new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb who deploys a downfield passing attack. Metcalf is known for bullying defensive backs downfield en route to big plays and could explode in the post-Pete Carroll offense.

Pick 4.02: Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL)

There are some quarterbacks I like later in the draft this year, but picking up Lamar Jackson and his elite rushing ability is a safe bet in the early fourth round. The former NFL MVP recorded 821 rushing yards last season, the most among all quarterbacks and 164 more than the next closest player. Jackson is averaging 913 rushing yards per season since taking over as the full-time starter in 2019, ensuring his safe floor as a QB1.

Pick 5.11: Chris Godwin (WR – TB)

Chris Godwin is setting up to be one of my favorite values on the draft board this season. The Buccaneers have confirmed their plans to return Godwin to the slot this season after playing out wide for the majority of last season. Still regaining his health after an ACL and MCL tear in week 15 of 2021, Godwin struggled to gain traction on the outside, but was the WR10 in Weeks 14-18 after moving back into the slot. Even after two down years off the injury, Godwin cleared 1,000 yards in each season and has eclipsed that total in four of his last five seasons. This season also represents a contract year for Godwin, and it seems his quarterback, Baker Mayfield, might just be good again.

Pick 6.02: Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL)

I’ve been anticipating a Kyle Pitts breakout for three years now, what’s one more? After topping 1,000 yards his rookie season, Pitts’ numbers have regressed. But with Arthur Smith out of the picture, the Falcons should make their return to modern football and make the most of Pitts, Bijan Robinson and Drake London. Smith’s downfall may have been tied to the quarterback position; somewhat of his own doing, but to the play-callers’ credit, he dialed up 11 deep shots to Pitts which was the most among all tight ends. Pitts also led all tight ends in aDOT, air yards, air yards share and unrealized air yards. He posted the second-best average cushion and the fourth-most yards per reception. His new quarterback, Kirk Cousins, registered the ninth-best adjusted completion percentage on throws of 20+ yards among passers with at least 300 attempts last season. He notched the sixth-highest yards per attempt and should be able to unlock Pitts’ true potential.

Pick 7.11: Hollywood Brown (WR – KC)

The only Ravens wide receiver to clear 1,000 yards receiving with Lamar Jackson under center is Hollywood Brown in 2021. Outside of that season, Brown has never been able to make the most of his skill set due to the offenses he played in. That’s about to change as he will line up with Patrick Mahomes looking his way. The Chiefs have no secrets about what they want to do in the passing game. They will hit Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice on underneath and short targets, letting them go to work after the catch, but they also love to push the ball downfield. Their collection of subpar talent at the position has limited their ability to do so, but they’ve always deployed burners on the outside. From Tyreek Hill to Mecole Hardman and Kadarius Toney to Marquez Valdes-Scantling, they’ve been begging for a player like Brown to come along. It’s a match made in heaven.

Pick 8.02: Jaylen Warren (RB – PIT)

I was very bullish on Jaylen Warren as a breakout candidate last season, but I wasn’t sure if the Steelers would cooperate given their investment in Najee Harris. While Harris remained the starter and saw 255 carries to Warren’s 149, things started to shift late in the season to more of an even split. As his workload increased, Warren maintained efficiency with the third-most yards created per touch among running backs, the third-highest breakaway run rate and the sixth-most true yards per carry. Warren also led the room in targets with 74 compared to Harris’ 38. With Arthur Smith on board and the loss of Diontae Johnson, Pittsburgh appears more committed to the running game than ever and there should be plenty for both backs to eat.

Pick 9.11: Zach Charbonnet (RB – SEA)

Running backs are flying off the board here, so I’m happy to grab a second-year running back who has standalone value but also has loads of contingent upside. Kenneth Walker remains the starter, but he’s a home run hitter while Zach Charbonnet hits for a better average with singles and doubles all day. We have yet to see who the new coaching staff prefers, but you can bet on a sizeable role for Charbonnet. If something were to happen to Walker, Charbonnet has what it takes to play every down.

Pick 10.2: Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAC)

Going as WR49 and 112^th overall, rookie Brian Thomas Jr. is being underrated and undervalued by the fantasy community. Thomas was a first-round pick in a draft loaded with wide receiver talent and while he gets knocked for being raw and primarily running go routes at LSU, the Jaguars utilized Calvin Ridley as their vertical, downfield threat. Thomas can step right into that role. Ridley tied for the fifth-most deep targets (20+ yards) last year with 32, while he posted the eighth-most air yards among receivers. Additionally, he saw the third-most red zone targets and I’m optimistic about Trevor Lawrence taking a step forward this season as well. Thomas is bigger, faster and more athletic than Ridley and can be a value strictly based on his role within the offense, but if he develops more nuance with his route tree, we could be looking at a serious breakout.

Pick 11.11: Rico Dowdle (RB – DAL)

As I look at running backs later in the draft, I prefer to target murky backfields without a clear pecking order. This is often where breakout players emerge, especially if they are in a good offense. I do expect the Cowboys to put the ball in Ezekiel Elliott‘s gut far more than any of us would like, but there’s a good chance Rico Dowdle is a superior player at this point. While Elliott landed himself at 51st in yards per touch and 34^th in yards created per touch last season, Dowdle finished at 23^rd and ninth in those two metrics, respectively.

Pick 12.02: Jerry Jeudy (WR – CLE)

Although Jerry Jeudy isn’t a player I’m specifically targeting, a change of scenery may do him some good. It can’t get much worse, as the highlight of Jeudy’s last season in Denver was his public feud with NFL Network’s Steve Smith. After notching 972 yards and six scores in 2022, it seemed Jeudy was on an upward trajectory, but the first-round pick has been unable to sustain any sort of momentum in the NFL. He’s worth a flier at this point in the draft.

Pick 13.11: Dontayvion Wicks (WR – GB)

Unlike Jeudy, Dontayvion Wicks is a major target of mine this year. If you haven’t been bathing in the waterfall of Wicks hype this offseason, it’s time you join the club. Wicks began to flash late last season and when Matt LeFleur compared him to Davante Adams, there was no turning the train around. Finishing his rookie season 11^th in yards per target and fourth in win rate versus man coverage, Wicks has a chance to emerge in a receiver room without a top target. Jordan Love thinks he’s going to have a monster year this season and I agree.

Pick 14.2: Xavier Legette (WR – CAR)

Xavier Legette has the chops to be a superstar. His 4.39 40-yard dash put him in the 94^th percentile while his speed score ranked in the 98^th percentile. He’s 6’1″ and 221 pounds, built like a brick in the mold of A.J. Brown or DK Metcalf. He’s a first-round pick and joins a Panthers offense with few established weapons, but he also enters the NFL after five years in college ball with a breakout age in the eighth percentile. In his first three seasons, Legette totaled just 343 yards combined before exploding for 1,255 in 2023. I’ll take him for the upside and work the waiver wire if I don’t like what I see early in the season.

Full Fantasy Football Mock Draft Board & Results

Starters

• QB: Lamar Jackson
• RB: Saquon Barkley
• RB: Jaylen Warren
• WR: Garrett Wilson
• WR: DK Metcalf
• WR: Chris Godwin
• TE: Kyle Pitts
• FLEX: Hollywood Brown

Bench

• RB: Zach Charbonnet
• WR: Brian Thomas Jr.
• RB: Rico Dowdle
• WR: Jerry Jeudy
• WR: Dontayvion Wicks
• WR: Xavier Legette

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