High-stakes fantasy football has seen tremendous growth over the years. What was once considered a high-roller exclusive has now drawn the interest of fantasy football, DFS and gambling enthusiasts alike. Since 2004, the National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) has been at the forefront of that conversation.
Below, we look at the best fantasy football draft values in NFFC leagues based on average draft position (ADP) over the past month.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
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- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Best NFFC Values
Brandon Aiyuk (WR – SF): ADP 28.43 | ECR 21
The uncertainty surrounding 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk has created a buyer’s market in current NFFC drafts. Aiyuk is currently away from offseason activities and is seeking a long-term contract extension with San Francisco or elsewhere.
The 49ers seem intent on keeping Aiyuk, so a resolution is expected to happen sometime before the regular season. The scenarios in play:
- Pay Aiyuk; run it back.
- Trade Deebo Samuel, freeing up money/targets for Aiyuk.
- Trade Aiyuk; he’s a team’s WR1 elsewhere.
Assuming he isn’t traded to a horrific offense with bad QB play, none of these should hurt Aiyuk’s stock.
While the uncertainty scares others away, you should see this as an opportunity to acquire a great player at a discounted price. Aiyuk finished last season as the overall WR14 (WR15 in points per game) and is currently going a half-round lower on NFFC than his spot in our expert consensus rankings (ECR).
DK Metcalf (WR – SEA) ADP 37.07 | ECR 33
Seattle wide receiver DK Metcalf is coming off his worst fantasy season since his rookie year but his fall to the early-fourth round is an overreaction by NFFC drafters. Even in a down season, Metcalf still finished as the WR21 in PPR (WR16 in half-PPR) on only 66 receptions in 2023.
Assuming Seattle’s offense takes a step forward with former Washington Huskies offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb now coordinating the offense, Metcalf’s ADP could look silly once the NFL season kicks off. Seattle will need the 2022 version of Geno Smith to unlock this offense’s full potential but getting Metcalf back to his usual volume (75+ receptions from 2020-2022) would be considered a victory for fantasy football managers.
Lamar Jackson (QB – BAL) ADP 44.62 | ECR 32
One year after finishing as the QB3 in points per game (minimum six starts) and winning his second MVP award, Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson is somehow still overlooked in current NFFC drafts. The QB hierarchy might differ across the industry, but Jackson typically joins Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts as the top four fantasy football quarterbacks.
Allen (22.50 ADP) is the clear QB1 with Hurts (35.26) and Mahomes (35.59) and going in the same range. Order them however you please but it’s hard to justify Jackson (44.62 ADP) falling a full tier below the top three. Buy the dip.
Alvin Kamara (RB – NO) ADP 50.95 | ECR 44
New Orleans running back Alvin Kamara was suspended for the first three weeks and still managed to finish as an RB1 in PPR scoring formats last season. In his active weeks from Weeks 4-18, Kamara averaged 17.9 points per game and was the RB4 overall.
Despite last season’s impressive output and an extensive track record of consistency, Kamara remains undervalued in current NFFC drafts. Kamara is currently being drafted at 50.95 overall (RB16), which is half a round lower than his value (44 overall, RB14) in our ECR.
Moving forward, Kamara has little target competition outside of wide receiver Chris Olave and has the easiest strength of schedule (SOS) for running backs this season, according to FantasyPros. Although you should always be wary of investing in 28-year-old running backs, Kamara’s usage (10th in opportunity share, eighth in weighed opportunities and ninth in red zone touches in 2023) seems likely to continue for at least another season.
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