As the NFL offseason gets ready for a lull in headlines and news, best ball drafts continue to press ahead full steam, and as per usual, there are players who look both overvalued and undervalued.
These are some of the standout fantasy football draft values on FFPC right now in early July. And if you’re considering a high stakes fantasy football league don’t forget to join the FantasyPros Championship at FFPC. Play fantasy football and win $1 Million. It’s as simple as that!
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Best Fantasy Football Draft Values: FFPC Leagues
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) | 36.9 ADP
Deebo Samuel is currently the WR17 on FFPC, lower than every other major best ball site with Samuel going as WR14 on Underdog Fantasy and WR17 on DraftKings. On both of those platforms, Samuel is firmly entrenched as a top-25 pick. Yet on FFPC, Samuel is available at pick 40.
FFPC is a much hungrier platform for running backs compared to many other best ball sites. With the additional 0.5 PPR points per tight end catch, it also pushes up tight ends much higher. On FFPC, that sees five tight ends selected ahead of Samuel compared to DraftKings, where only Travis Kelce is selected ahead of Samuel, and on Underdog, where no tight ends are selected until 10 picks after Samuel’s ADP.
Samuel is being drafted behind Brandon Aiyuk, even though Aiyuk managed only four top-20 weekly finishes, was held below 80 receiving yards on eight occasions, didn’t score touchdowns in 60% of his games and finished as WR30 or worse on six occasions in 2023.
Meanwhile, Samuel had eight top-20 finishes, matched Aiyuk with eight games below 80 yards and only failed to score touchdowns in 43% of his games. Samuel is more productive, more diverse and wins in ways integral to the 49ers’ scheme.
Curtis Samuel (WR – BUF) | 129.2 ADP
On Underdog, you see Curtis Samuel being drafted inside the top 100 at pick 91.9 overall, and DraftKings isn’t far behind, with Samuel selected at pick 101.6. Meanwhile, on FFPC, Samuel goes three full rounds later at the 129th pick. The last time Samuel played for offensive coordinator Joe Brady, he had 97 targets, 77 receptions and 851 yards. Samuel provides the Bills with versatility, playing on both the perimeter and in the slot. He also brings more burst than the team possessed in 2023; he’s a very tasty value here.
DeAndre Hopkins (WR – TEN) | 90.3 ADP
Before we look at where DeAndre Hopkins is currently being drafted, it might be worth considering why Calvin Ridley is being drafted ahead of him. Hopkins outproduced Ridley in several key stats last year and has an existing connection with Will Levis, compared to Ridley, who will be playing with a new quarterback for the second time in two years.
Calvin Ridley and DeAndre Hopkins had an identical 126 targets each last year, but Hopkins outdid Ridley in a number of key stats
Yards/Route 2.1 vs 1.5
Yards/Rec 14.9 vs 13.0
Receiving EPA 29.5 vs 25.3
Yards/gm 63.8 vs 58.3
Points/touch 2.9/2.6Hopkins at his ADP is a smash.
— Tom Strachan (@NFL_TStrack) June 11, 2024
Hopkins is drafted 18 spots earlier on DraftKings and 22 earlier on Underdog. If you’ve used earlier picks on tight ends in this tight end premium format, then getting a high-ceiling player like Hopkins in the early 90’s is a smash.
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX) | 111.8 ADP
Reports out of Jaguars organized team activities (OTAs) said that the rookie Brian Thomas Jr. will take over the role of Calvin Ridley in this offense, and it makes the most sense with Thomas an excellent downfield deep threat with fantastic speed and size. The Jaguars don’t diversify their pass-catcher roles very well but have a good quarterback and a friendly schedule, the eighth-friendliest for wide receivers according to FantasyPros’ strength of schedule projections.
*Brian Thomas will be in the role vacated by Calvin Ridley”
The role….
1800-plus air yards
23% target share
36% air yards share
NFL leader in end zone targets
WR10 expected points per game.Don’t get caught sleeping ???? on the 23rd overall pick https://t.co/jwfhYW33TN
— Andrew Erickson™ (@AndrewErickson_) June 11, 2024
On Underdog & DraftKings, Thomas is firmly a top-85 pick, going at 84 on DraftKings and 72 on Underdog. Whatever way we look at him, this is a cheaper price and one we should be happy to pay.
Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) | ADP 105.1
The disparity between Rome Odunze’s ADP on FFPC and the other top platforms is shocking to say the least. On Underdog Odunze is drafted at pick 65 and on Draftkings at pick 80, meanwhile on FFPC Odunze is available 35 picks later. Yes, tight ends and running backs are pushed up on FFPC but an exciting rookie on an ascending offense should be one that we want to prioritize. DJ Moore has been an inconsistent player throughout his career and Keenan Allen‘s hamstrings aren’t the most reliable. Grabbing Odunze as your WR4 or WR5 on your roster could supercharge your team in the back half of the season.
Late-Round Dart-Throws
Josh Reynolds (WR – DEN) | 231.2 ADP (WR117)
Currently, Josh Reynolds is being undrafted in many leagues. While he’s not a high-ceiling player, he is a reliable set of hands with eight top-30 weekly finishes combined in the last two seasons. Denver lacks pass-catchers outside of Courtland Sutton, who is by no means a lock to be wearing orange in September despite the Broncos trading Jerry Jeudy already.
Sean Payton consistently shows loyalty to players he’s signed or brought with him, and it’s hard not to imagine Reynolds having some usable weeks in 2024. At this price, Reynolds can be mixed in as an end-of-roster play to give your wide receiver room depth.
Darius Slayton (WR – NYG) | 296.8 ADP (WR82)
Malik Nabers is the clear top target for Daniel Jones in this new era of the offense, but Darius Slayton may well be the second-best option with Darren Waller and Saquon Barkley no longer on the team.
Slayton has displayed chemistry with Jones over the 55 games they’ve played together. And while he isn’t the kind of player we’d want in redraft, here in best ball, we can live with his volatility. Adding Slayton to Jones as a back-of-roster, back-door stack makes plenty of sense.
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