Welcome to our latest fantasy football feature, “Fantasy Football ADP Risers and Fallers,” where we delve into the shifting tides of player valuations over the past month; July 14th – June 14th to be exact.
As the NFL preseason approaches and teams begin to take shape, understanding these movements in Average Draft Position (ADP) can be crucial in planning your draft strategy as things shift due to training camp news. In this article, we’ll explore the players who have seen their stock soar and those who have dipped since mid-June to shed light on potential reasons behind these changes.
To enhance your experience and analysis, we’ve included a variety of charts and graphics. These visual aids will help you better understand the magnitude of these shifts and the trends that could be impacting player valuations. Whether you’re gearing up for your league’s draft or simply staying informed on the fantasy landscape, these insights will provide you with a clearer picture of the current fantasy football market dynamics. The graphics are provided by FantasyPros and BettingPros data scientist, Sam Hoppen. The charts are aggregated ADP from best ball ADP, which includes BB10s, Underdog Fantasy, Drafters and RTSports.
To provide a thorough analysis, the article is organized by position — quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers and tight ends — allowing you to see the trends specific to each category. This breakdown will help you pinpoint where the most significant changes are happening and how they might affect your draft strategy across different positions.
Join us as we break down the biggest risers and fallers in fantasy football ADP, providing you with the knowledge to make informed decisions and potentially find value picks that could make or break your fantasy season.
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Fantasy Football ADP Risers and Fallers
WIDE RECEIVERS
RISERS
| Rank | Name | Team | Prior Rank | Delta |
| 14 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | 16 | 2 |
| 24 | Jaylen Waddle | MIA | 29 | 5 |
| 31 | Cooper Kupp | LAR | 35 | 4 |
| 33 | DK Metcalf | SEA | 37 | 4 |
| 46 | George Pickens | PIT | 50 | 4 |
| 53 | Christian Kirk | JAC | 56 | 3 |
| 57 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | 59 | 2 |
| 70 | Rashee Rice | KC | 79 | 9 |
| 72 | Diontae Johnson | CAR | 76 | 4 |
| 82 | Christian Watson | GB | 84 | 2 |
| 84 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | 89 | 5 |
| 90 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 93 | 3 |
| 94 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAC | 97 | 3 |
| 108 | Curtis Samuel | BUF | 111 | 3 |
| 122 | Joshua Palmer | LAC | 129 | 7 |
| 129 | Brandin Cooks | DAL | 133 | 4 |
| 163 | Ja’Lynn Polk | NE | 167 | 4 |
| 167 | DeMario Douglas | NE | 187 | 20 |
| 170 | Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG | 179 | 9 |
| 191 | Demarcus Robinson | LAR | 200 | 9 |
| 206 | Tyler Boyd | TEN | 211 | 5 |
| 208 | Devontez Walker | BAL | 237 | 29 |
| 210 | Darius Slayton | NYG | 212 | 2 |
| 215 | Jalen McMillan | TB | 246 | 31 |
| 216 | Jalin Hyatt | NYG | 222 | 6 |
| 217 | Jalen Tolbert | DAL | 236 | 19 |
| 221 | Greg Dortch | ARI | 248 | 27 |
| 244 | K.J. Osborn | NE | 264 | 20 |
| 247 | Tre Tucker | LV | 275 | 28 |
| 248 | Cedric Tillman | CLE | 340 | 92 |
| 250 | Calvin Austin III | PIT | 254 | 4 |
| 257 | Chase Claypool | BUF | 263 | 6 |
| 259 | Xavier Gipson | NYJ | 281 | 22 |
| 260 | Andrei Iosivas | CIN | 266 | 6 |
| 263 | Bo Melton | GB | 265 | 2 |
| 267 | Noah Brown | HOU | 269 | 2 |
| 268 | Allen Lazard | NYJ | 317 | 49 |
| 270 | Tutu Atwell | LAR | 283 | 13 |
| 282 | Van Jefferson | PIT | 337 | 55 |
| 311 | John Metchie III | HOU | 335 | 24 |
| 327 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | DET | 333 | 6 |
The top takeaway: draft Jaylen Waddle before it’s too late. The same is true for Rashee Rice, who drafters are taking more confidently with the potential suspension looking like it will happen later rather than sooner. He’s already starting to quietly creep back up the rankings and in ADP. Rice’s ADP fell dramatically concerning his off-the-field issues earlier this year, so it’s anybody’s guess when or how long Rice will be suspended with the most likely outcome somewhere from 4-to-6 games.
Fantasy managers tend to never quite accurately predict the suspension length and when it occurs, given the appeal and legal processes, etc. It’s entirely possible Rice could be suspended for fewer games and it may not even happen until the 2025 season.
Recall Alvin Kamara’s suspension was dragged through 18 months before he served a three-game suspension at the start of 2023. One way or another, once we get concrete information about Rice, you are either going to see his ADP rise or the ADPs of his WR Chiefs teammates — Hollywood Brown and Xavier Worthy — jump after news breaks.
Recall that Brown has had stretches of WR1 production. In 2022, Brown was the WR6 through the first six weeks of the 2022 season. In the eight games played without DeAndre Hopkins, Brown averaged nearly 12.3 points per game in half-PPR (WR15).
The Bears receivers are also down across the board because there are “too many mouths to feed.” Mike Williams is down big as well, obviously based on him featured in my latest video of “8 Fantasy Football Players You Should Avoid Drafting at ALL COSTS” in 2024. Sorry, Big Mike. I’m a company man. Pro Bowler Marvin Mims Jr. is also down 15 spots. Yes, he was a Pro Bowler last season. Give ’em hell Marv.
Can’t say the same for Steelers rookie WR Roman Wilson. Nothing positive has come out of Steelers camp about any WR after George Pickens.
Ergo…the MUTH IS LUTH.
FALLERS
| Rank | Name | Team | Prior Rank | Delta |
| 32 | DJ Moore | CHI | 26 | -6 |
| 35 | Stefon Diggs | HOU | 31 | -4 |
| 56 | Keenan Allen | CHI | 52 | -4 |
| 85 | Xavier Worthy | KC | 81 | -4 |
| 88 | Rome Odunze | CHI | 86 | -2 |
| 95 | Keon Coleman | BUF | 91 | -4 |
| 114 | Tyler Lockett | SEA | 110 | -4 |
| 119 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 116 | -3 |
| 130 | Mike Williams | NYJ | 121 | -9 |
| 133 | Jerry Jeudy | CLE | 131 | -2 |
| 139 | Josh Downs | IND | 137 | -2 |
| 141 | Jahan Dotson | WAS | 139 | -2 |
| 144 | Dontayvion Wicks | GB | 142 | -2 |
| 146 | Adonai Mitchell | IND | 144 | -2 |
| 157 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | 152 | -5 |
| 158 | Adam Thielen | CAR | 153 | -5 |
| 164 | Michael Wilson | ARI | 162 | -2 |
| 168 | Ricky Pearsall | SF | 165 | -3 |
| 174 | Jermaine Burton | CIN | 172 | -2 |
| 176 | Troy Franklin | DEN | 171 | -5 |
| 185 | Marvin Mims Jr. | DEN | 170 | -15 |
| 188 | Roman Wilson | PIT | 169 | -19 |
| 189 | Rashod Bateman | BAL | 180 | -9 |
| 199 | Malachi Corley | NYJ | 193 | -6 |
| 213 | Zay Jones | ARI | 208 | -5 |
| 220 | Javon Baker | NE | 205 | -15 |
| 223 | Elijah Moore | CLE | 216 | -7 |
| 229 | A.T. Perry | NO | 219 | -10 |
| 233 | Rondale Moore | ATL | 223 | -10 |
| 249 | DJ Chark Jr. | LAC | 242 | -7 |
| 256 | Josh Reynolds | DEN | 249 | -7 |
| 258 | Malik Washington | MIA | 253 | -5 |
| 264 | Jonathan Mingo | CAR | 261 | -3 |
| 271 | Jauan Jennings | SF | 250 | -21 |
| 277 | Kadarius Toney | KC | 259 | -18 |
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