As fantasy football managers gear up for another season, the quest for value picks becomes a pivotal part of draft strategy. Identifying players who can outperform their Average Draft Position (ADP) is key to building a championship-caliber team. In this article, we delve into the best fantasy football value picks by ADP of 2024, curated by a panel of FeaturedPros analysts. These experts have meticulously analyzed trends, performances, and projections to bring you the most promising candidates poised to deliver exceptional returns on investment. Read on to discover the players that can help you dominate your fantasy league this year.
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Best Fantasy Football Value Picks by ADP: Running Backs
Who is the best value pick at RB based on his current half-PPR ADP and why?
Travis Etienne Jr. (RB – JAC)
“The best value pick is Travis Etienne Jr. and I don’t know if it’s relatively close. Although he slowed down a bit towards the end of the season, he finished as RB9 or better in six of the first eight weeks of the season. He also has shown he has as stable of a floor as any, catching four or more passes eight times last year. With nothing significant changing in Jacksonville that would change his workload, Etienne should easily be able to repeat as an elite RB1.”
– Trevor Land (FlurrySports)
“Travis Etienne Heading into last season… “Etienne can’t score” and “Etienne can’t catch.” Well, in 2023, Etienne ranked 6th in total receptions (58), 6th in targets (73), and 7th in rush TDs (11) among all running backs. He finished RB2 overall behind a bottom-three offensive line with an underperforming Trevor Lawrence and was the RB1 in total fantasy points in Weeks 5-11. Etienne’s backfield competition, Tank Bigsby, ranked bottom three amongst all RBs in broken tackle rate, yards per attempt and yards per before contact. Etienne should be a borderline First Rounder and drafted ahead of Jonathan Taylor, Kyren Williams, and Saquon Barkley, to name a few. Instead, he sometimes slips into Round 3.”
– Joe Orrico (No Expert Fantasy Football)
Raheem Mostert (RB – MIA)
“It continues to be Raheem Mostert for me. I’m comfortable with running mate De’Von Achane at his current RB8 cost, and I still want all the Mostert at RB29 prices. Mostert will once again split work in the Dolphins’ backfield. And even with TD and touch regression coming, he’s a steal. Let’s put it this way: Mostert could have scored seven fewer TDs last season, and he still would’ve finished second among position players in total touchdowns behind only Christian McCaffrey. He’s an RB2 at worst who you can get at the cost of an RB3. In half-ppr, he’s an even bigger bargain.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)
“Raheem Mostert is being heavily discounted based on the feelings and emotions of fantasy football managers who desperately want De’Von Achane to be the guy in Miami. As we saw last season, a healthy Mostert is just as lethal as the speedy youngster. A more even split backfield would still not justify Mostert being the 29th RB drafted after a 17 PPG season (third-most).”
– Matt De Lima (The Game Day)
“Raheem Mostert / Jaylen Wright I think the best way to handle the crowded Miami backfield situation is to let someone else draft De’Von Achane at his expensive price tag (current ADP RB 8), and instead draft the more affordable options- Raheem Mostert (current ADP RB 29) and Jaylen Wright (current ADP RB 47). First, let’s start with Mostert, who finished as RB2 last year. And despite his age, he’s had much less wear and tear than a typical RB in his early thirties. Also, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle‘s speed forces opponents’ safeties to play back or risk getting burned, which results in plenty of room in the box for whoever Miami hands the ball off to. That said, while Mostert and Achane are starters in an RBBC, both have had a history of missing games, which makes Wright one injury away from becoming a major factor in an explosive offense. I guess what I’m saying is when it comes to picking the best value at RB, Jaylen just might be “Mr. Right” for your fantasy team, however when it comes to telling funny jokes, Mark Ringo will always be Mr. Wrong, haha!”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
Derrick Henry (RB – BAL)
“My best value pick at RB is Derrick Henry. The Baltimore offense is a significant step up from Tennessee. Ravens head coach John Harbaugh won’t reduce the workload for Henry this season. I see Henry increasing his goal-line carries in this offense. Incredible value at RB 10 based on his current half-PPR ADP.”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)
“Everyone has been waiting for the Derrick Henry decline to happen for years now. Was his final season in Tennessee a sign of things to come? Don’t count on it. Sitting at 25th overall, that is good enough to be all in on Henry. The Ravens’ entire offense is predicated around running the football, so what did they do? They only went out and brought in quite possibly the best pound-for-pound running back in the entire league to help take some of the rushing load off of Lamar Jackson‘s shoulders. Even if his attempts go down, his placement in this Baltimore offense should see his overall efficiency numbers go up. That is enough to run it back with The King.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
Jerome Ford (RB – CLE)
“Jerome Ford is going off the board as RB36 and pick 116 overall and that could prove to be a massive value. He is presumed to be the backup to veteran Nick Chubb. Still, with Chubb rapidly reaching the age cliff and recovering from a season-ending knee injury, this is a situation where Ford is likely to get far more work than anyone would like to admit and is more than capable of finishing as a Top-15 running back this season.”
– Aaron St Denis (Fantasy Football Universe)
Jaleel McLaughlin (RB – DEN)
“Jaleel McLaughlin, Denver Broncos – RB51 McLaughlin flashed playmaking ability as a rookie in 2023 and graded out very well across several key metrics. With Javonte Williams coming off a poor season, the door is open for McLaughlin to carve out a bigger role in the offense. He has impressed coaches with his work ethic and has reportedly been Denver’s best back this offseason. The Broncos targeted running backs at the highest rate in the league last year, and McLaughlin can emerge as a solid RB2 if he carves out a pass-catching role. There’s room for more if he emerges as Denver’s lead back.”
– Dave Ventresca (FF Faceoff)
Zamir White (RB – LV)
“While Zamir White had a small sample size of success in 2023, he is one of my favorite running back targets this year. The former Georgia star was the RB8, averaging 14.1 half-point PPR fantasy points per game over the final four weeks of last season with Josh Jacobs sidelined with an injury. White had the fourth-highest yards after contact per rushing attempt (3.06) among running backs with at least 30 attempts during those four weeks, ahead of Christian McCaffrey and Jahmyr Gibbs (per Fantasy Points Data). More importantly, he had 20 or more touches in every contest, totaling 100 or more scrimmage yards in all but one game. Expect Antonio Pierce to make White a focal point of the offense.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
Kendre Miller (RB – NO)
“Kendre Miller might prove to be the Saints’ best runner this year. He ran for nearly 1,400 yards on 6.2 yards per carry in his final college season and then closed an injury-marred rookie season with a 13-73-1 rushing line in last year’s finale. Meanwhile, Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams were two of the least efficient runners in the league last year. They’re not getting any younger.”
– Jared Smola (Draft Sharks)
James Conner (RB – ARI)
“James Conner is currently being drafted as the RB24, but he was the RB15 last season in FPPG. In seven games with Kyler Murray last season, Conner was the RB11 in FPPG. Trey Benson was drafted by the Cardinals in the 3rd round, but I think this is Conner’s backfield this season.”
– Nick Penticoff (Fantasy Football Astronauts)
David Montgomery (RB – DET)
“Unfettered growth doesn’t always happen for young players. Drafting David Montgomery at RB21 is a wager on that bet – a bet that it will be hard for Gibbs to take anymore of the work from Montgomery. Montgomery already proved there is value to be gained, even in a split backfield. Behind a plus offensive line and high-scoring offense, he posted an RB13 finish, with career highs in PFF run grade, MTFs, and 10+ yard runs. There appears to be a clear need for two backs, as Gibbs has received 20+ carries in less than 10% of his collegiate and NFL career games. Montgomery will be there for his 200+ rushes and 15+ 5-zone opportunities once again, with top-5 upsides if anything were to happen to Gibbs. Besides, how can you pass up the Feet of Saquon, the Vision of Le’Veon, the Strength of Zeke, and the Athleticism of Sony Michel?”
– Seth Miller (Crossroads Fantasy Football)
Joe Mixon (RB – HOU)
“It has to be Joe Mixon. End of the fourth round for the lead back in an offense that made Devin Singletary shine? Yes, please. Diggs, Collins, Dell, and Schultz means no stacked boxes and a ton of volume.”
– Steve Anagnos (Double G Sports)
Best Fantasy Football Value Picks by ADP: Wide Receivers
Who is the best value pick at WR based on his current half-PPR ADP and why?
Chris Godwin (WR – TB)
“Chris Godwin is the best value pick at WR, and I’m surprised more people aren’t talking about him. Godwin finished as WR29 last year in a season where he was mainly used on the outside. Godwin feasts in the slot, and new offensive coordinator Liam Coen has already said he will be moving back to the slot. Seeing he has finished as WR32 or better each of the last five seasons and now is going back to his natural position, his ADP of WR33 seems too good to be true.”
– Trevor Land (FlurrySports)
DK Metcalf (WR – SEA)
“I want WRs with TD upside in half-PPR leagues, so that’s why I love DK Metcalf at cost. We know Metcalf can score double-digit TDs in any given season, and now he’s got a new offensive coordinator who has promised to utilize him as much as possible. With Pete Carroll also out the door, it’s nice to know that the running game will no longer be a focal point, and the Seahawks can take full advantage of their talented wide receivers. Metcalf is the most talented of the bunch, but especially so in the red zone. I love DK this season, and his WR22 price is well below my WR12 ranking.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)
Jaylen Waddle (WR – MIA)
“My best value pick at WR is Jaylen Waddle. He is coming off of a lackluster season in fantasy points. He did post 1,078 receiving yards but only scored five TDs. Look for his touchdowns to increase this season, along with his fantasy value. Incredible value at WR 18 based on his current half-PPR ADP.”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)
“There are plenty of things to be optimistic about for Jaylen Waddle in 2024. The injury bug hit Waddle in 2023 and burned a lot of managers who drafted him highly after a WR7 finish in 2022. Waddle is now being drafted at WR16. Miami will likely remain a top 5 offense in the league. If Waddle stays healthy, he can easily be a beneficiary of more RZ looks to reach a league-winning ceiling. With support from Matt Harmon’s Reception Perception and PFFs grading, we already know the only thing keeping him from his ceiling is injury.”
– Seth Miller (Crossroads Fantasy Football)
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF)
“Even before Brandon Aiyuk requested a trade, Deebo Samuel was a value. Samuel missed three games due to injury in 2023 and still scored as a WR1 six separate times. Meanwhile, Aiyuk played 16 games and only logged four WR1 finishes. Samuel was a WR2 or better in 64% of games- Aiyuk was a WR2 or better in 60% of games. Deebo has a much higher ceiling and a similar floor on a game-to-game basis. Yet Aiyuk is drafted a full round earlier- why? Perhaps Aiyuk is the better “real life” WR, but for fantasy purposes, Deebo is WR1 in San Fran.”
– Joe Orrico (No Expert Fantasy Football)
Hollywood Brown (WR – KC)
“One so-so year from Patrick Mahomes, and suddenly his entire receiving corps is chopped liver. Hollywood Brown will feast in a season that should see the Chiefs open it back up. Look forward to an emphasis on play action after Kansas City moved away from it in 2023. Brown isn’t a volume receiver and will rely on big plays, but I expect Mahomes to take more chances to downfield as the team has revamped their receivers with speed demons like Brown and Xavier Worthy.”
– Matt De Lima (The Game Day)
Diontae Johnson (WR – CAR)
“At WR38 and 79th overall, Diontae Johnson is free money. A perennial target hog with little to no competition for targets, he is being drafted in a range with players far below his potential. Johnson tends to fall in drafts because he is a boring play and not one with the sexiest ceiling. Just take the safe WR2 for free and turn a profit.”
– Aaron St Denis (Fantasy Football Universe)
Calvin Ridley (WR – TEN)
“Calvin Ridley, Tennessee Titans – WR35 Ridley struggled with drops and press coverage in his return to the league last year. However, new Titans coach Brian Callahan plans to move Ridley around the formation more to offset the receiver’s struggles against press coverage. Second-year quarterback Will Levis is the wildcard in this equation, but if Callahan can have the same impact on Levis that he did on Joe Burrow, things will be fine. Remember, Tennessee is not paying Ridley $92 million to stand idly by. If Levis makes a second-year leap, Ridley will be the main beneficiary.”
– Dave Ventresca (FF Faceoff)
“Calvin Ridley got big bucks in free agency, but DeAndre Hopkins still looks like Tennessee’s best WR. He beat Ridley in every important efficiency metric last year and has been the superior target earner throughout his career. Hopkins should garner big volume again this season in a Titans offense that will pass significantly more under new HC Brian Callahan.”
– Jared Smola (Draft Sharks)
Christian Kirk (WR – JAC)
“Christian Kirk is criminally underrated as the WR30 in ADP. Fantasy players can draft him as a WR3 despite having a WR2 floor and a WR1 upside. The last time the veteran was Trevor Lawrence‘s No. 1 wide receiver, Kirk ended the year as the WR11, averaging 11.8 half-point PPR fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he was the WR16, averaging 11.7 fantasy points per game from Week 2 through Week 12, despite Calvin Ridley seeing a 20% target per route run rate during those contests last season (per Fantasy Points Data). Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas Jr. will challenge defenses downfield, creating more space for Kirk to dominate the middle part of the field in 2024.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR – IND)
“The hesitancy that some drafters have surrounding Michael Pittman Jr. is perplexing. Since he was drafted by the Colts, his targets and receptions have simply gone up, up, up, and up. To see him being selected at 30th overall, WR18 is a strange one. Even with the selection of Adonai Mitchell, that should put Pittman in a better spot to produce once again in 2024. Pittman being selected behind the likes of Deebo Samuel, Jaylen Waddle, and Nico Collins, seems like a huge oversight by drafters. ”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
Terry McLaurin (WR – WAS)
“Terry McLaurin has recorded four straight 1,000-yard seasons and now has the Heisman-winning quarterback who just had the highest passing efficiency rating in college football history in Jayden Daniels throwing passes to him. McLaurin is currently being drafted as the WR32, and he is a player that could easily smash that value. ”
– Nick Penticoff (Fantasy Football Astronauts)
Jameson Williams (WR – DET)
“Jameson Williams has star potential. When Williams was at Alabama, he torched SEC defenses, including the National Champion Georgia Bulldogs who had one of the best defenses in college history. And with Josh Reynolds gone, Williams should get more playing time and take a huge step forward. His current ADP at WR 49 seems incredibly cheap based on his talent alone. In addition, NFL Senior Writer Nick Baumgardner (who is based in Michigan) reports, “Something I heard this week more than a few times: Detroit believes Jameson Williams is going to be a dude next year. And uh, to be clear: That’s the first time I’ve heard that type of firm optimism about Williams from Lions people in honest moments since he got there.” Ringo’s comp- Jameson Williams reminds me of a poor man’s Randy Moss.”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
Cooper Kupp (WR – LAR)
“It’s Cooper Kupp. Value isn’t “Tank Dell fell to me in the 6th”. Kupp is healthy, and Puka is there to sway your competition two rounds earlier. Recency bias is on your side. Thank me later.”
– Steve Anagnos (Double G Sports)
Best Fantasy Football Values by ADP: Quarterbacks
Who is the best value pick at QB based on his current ADP and why?
Dak Prescott (QB – DAL)
“In the last three seasons Dak Prescott has played more than 12 games, he has finished as QB3, QB8, and QB2. This year, Dak’s ADP sits at QB9. Not only is Prescott one of the more durable quarterbacks overall, but multiple quarterbacks above him either have major durability concerns and/or are coming off of their first full season of football. With a few unproven and injury-prone options ahead of him, Prescott is a great value at QB9.”
– Trevor Land (FlurrySports)
“Let me preface this by saying I am not a fan of going early for QB in 2024 (unless 2QB or Superflex, of course). However, Dak Prescott at 62nd overall isn’t terrible. Dallas is going to throw the ball a ton in 2024, and Dak is playing for his cash this year. Since 2019, Prescott has played in at least 16 games in three of the five seasons. In those three, he dropped back and had, at minimum, 590 pass attempts. He should see close to that yet again in 2024, with a 30+ TD minimum if he is healthy.”
– Ed Birdsall (Talking Points Sports)
Kyler Murray (QB – ARI)
“Kyler Murray is still being overlooked by the fantasy community at QB10. While it’s unlikely he will finish as the overall QB1, his rushing upside leaves the door open as a possibility. But, with Trey McBride ascending and the addition of the best wide receiver prospect in a few years in Marvin Harrison Jr., the Cardinals offense promises to take a leap. Add in the fact that the Cards D should once again be suspect, and Murray will be required to keep pace to keep Arizona in games. If he remains healthy, I love Murray’s value, and I’m absolutely taking him at cost for his massive fantasy upside.”
– Jeremy Shulman (Fantasy Football Universe)
Caleb Williams (QB – CHI)
“My best value pick at QB is Caleb Williams. Yes, he is a rookie, and there may be bumps along the way, but he’s being drafted as a backup QB in fantasy leagues. We saw what rookie QB C.J. Stroud did last season, and I think that Caleb Williams will exceed those numbers. He has an excellent receiving corps. He has an accurate arm and adds the versatility of a running QB. Incredible value at QB 17 based on his current half-PPR ADP. ”
– Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire)
Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS)
“Jayden Daniels – In the last 10 years, there have been 27 QBs with 100+ rush attempts in a season; 24 of those 27 QBs finished Top 12 in fantasy points per game. Daniels is the only QB in FBS history with 12,000+ pass yards and 3,000+ rush yards. He averaged 90+ rush yards per game in his final two seasons at LSU. Daniels is the cheapest elite rushing QB in drafts- picked well behind the likes of Allen, Hurts, Jackson, Richardson, and Murray.”
– Joe Orrico (No Expert Fantasy Football)
“Jayden Daniels, Washington Commanders – QB14 – Daniels had over 1,100 rushing yards during his final collegiate season. He brings big-time rushing upside to the quarterback position. Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson is a popular breakout candidate this year because of his rushing abilities. Daniels carries that same upside and profiles as a better passer. Yet, he is being drafted much later than Richardson. Daniels is, without a doubt, the best value at the position this year. Gamers who wait on quarterback and select Daniels will be very pleased with the results.”
– Dave Ventresca (FF Faceoff)
“Quarterbacks who can make plays with their legs are worth their weight in gold to fantasy players. Therefore, Jayden Daniels could be a league winner, especially as the QB14 in the ADP. He had over 2,000 rushing yards and 21 scores during his two seasons at LSU, breaking off several explosive long runs for touchdowns. Furthermore, Daniels is an excellent passer, unlike many rushing quarterbacks coming out of college. He posted a 10:1 touchdown to interception ratio in 2023. The Washington Commanders have a solid set of weapons and could add Brandon Aiyuk. They will be chasing points for much of the year, giving Daniels plenty of opportunities to rack up fantasy points.”
– Mike Fanelli (FantasyPros)
“Jayden Daniels‘ rushing ability alone gives him immediate top-5 fantasy upside. Get this: There have been 31 QB seasons of 500+ rushing yards over the last 10 years; 65% of those QBs finished top-10 in fantasy points, and 45% of them finished top-5. On top of the rushing, Daniels was also an elite deep passer at LSU, leading the nation last year in completion rate, yards per attempt, and TDs on throws 20+ yards downfield.”
– Jared Smola (Draft Sharks)
Brock Purdy (QB – SF)
“What else does Brock Purdy have to do to get some respect? After finishing the 2023 season as the fantasy QB6, he’s now dropped down to the 11th QB drafted by ADP. Purdy scored 0.2 fewer points per game than Jordan Love, and he’s going more than a round and a half later. Even if you believe Purdy is a product of his elite supporting cast and coaching staff, they are all back for 2024!? Put some respect on his name!”
– Matt De Lima (The Game Day)
Deshaun Watson (QB – CLE)
“I understand the hatred many fantasy managers have for Deshaun Watson, given his history. Still, if you can’t put that aside and focus on fantasy football only he is an excellent value. Currently going as QB34 and 134th overall, he is the rare quarterback that has Top-5 upside. The days of elite Deshaun Watson may be in the rear-view, but at this cost, he is an excellent dart-throw at a potential low-end QB1.”
– Aaron St Denis (Fantasy Football Universe)
“Deshaun Watson – DeShaun’s doctor, renowned sports orthopedist Dr. Neal ElAttrache, said he’ll make a full recovery before the season starts. Remember, the Browns aren’t paying Watson $230 million to hand the ball off. They’re going to make him the focal point of the offense. In addition, Watson can run it some, too. He’s a good bet to rush for over 400 yards and run it into the end zone a few times. Finally, the Browns added Jerry Jeudy, who joins Amari Cooper and David Njoku. Those are some pretty good weapons to throw to, imo. With a current ADP at QB 21, few QBs offer the fantasy upside that Deshaun Watson does for such an affordable price. PS- if this pick hits, you can call me by my new name, DeMark Ringo, haha!”
– Mark Ringo (Sleepers and Busts)
Matthew Stafford (QB – LAR)
“Matthew Stafford is being drafted as the QB19 and I think he can be a top 10 QB this season. With the emergence of Puka Nacua and a fully healthy Cooper Kupp heading into the season, the Rams offense should be humming. The defense will feel the loss of Aaron Donald, and the Rams will have to throw the ball more this year.”
– Nick Penticoff (Fantasy Football Astronauts)
Geno Smith (QB – SEA)
“Things didn’t go as planned for Geno Smith in his second season starting with Seattle. His TD rate fell from the top 8 to the bottom 12 from 2022 to 2023. A groin injury caused him to miss two games. His promising third target, JSN, got off to a slow start after injury, only playing 64% of the snaps on the season, and was never fully integrated into the offense. There were no words for how JSN felt about the offense. . . but it was obvious Seattle needed a refresh in 2024. This should include focusing on what Geno does well. Despite not putting up the fantasy numbers we were hoping for in 2023, Geno was still consistently throwing the ball on target, ranking 4th in Adjusted Completion Percentage per PFF. If he can operate as the point guard in the overhauled offense of Ryan Grubb, there should be plenty of big game opportunity.”
– Seth Miller (Crossroads Fantasy Football)
Joe Burrow (QB – CIN)
“It’s Burrow or Herbert, but does the late-round ADP give Herbert more weapons? The answer is no, and Joe Burrow will remind you why he was drafted #1 and took his team to the Super Bowl.”
– Steve Anagnos (Double G Sports)
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