The 3M Open is set to tee off from TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota on Thursday morning. It’s one of the final regular season events remaining on the PGA Tour schedule before the FedExCup playoffs get underway next month, meaning the field will be going full throttle to attempt improving their FedExCup rank inside the top-70 to qualify.
TPC Twin Cities is littered with water hazards, comprised of bentgrass fairways and greens, running up to 13 feet via Stimpmeter. Narrow fairways and four-inch Kentucky bluegrass rough are some of the other obstacles golfers will face this week. In each of its past five events played, the 3M Open winner has reached at least 15-under-par or lower, with defending champion Lee Hodges setting a course record at 24-under-par in 2023.
In this article, I’m recommending golfers worth deploying in one-and-done and survivor league formats at the 3M Open this week. Make sure to follow me on X @Matt_MacKay_ for more free PGA betting insights and advice throughout the week.
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Big Guns
Tony Finau
Tony Finau won this event in 2022 and is among the best in the field in strokes gained on approach and around-the-green. Prior to a missed cut at the British Open, Finau had recorded three consecutive top-ten finishes, including two inside the top-five at the U.S. Open and Travelers. If you’ve held onto Finau up until now, don’t hesitate to insert him into one-and-done lineups this week.
J.T. Poston
J.T. Poston has been a strong performer at TPC Twin Cities in each of the past two years. Poston’s 2024 campaign has been a bit up-and-down, but he does rank top-50 in strokes gained around-the-green and putting. His irons and driver have been out of sync, but if Poston gets those going at a course where he’s comfortable playing at, he’ll return big value in survivor contests this week.
Secondary Options
Keith Mitchell
Keith Mitchell is a volatile, streaky golfer this season but he’s gone T5 in back-to-back outings at the 3M Open. Yes, we’re once again relying on historical performance, but Mitchell is top-six in strokes gained off-the-tee and on approach, which bodes well for another top-five performance yet again at TPC Twin Cities this week.
Akshay Bhatia
Akshay Bhatia is making his 3M Open debut but oddsmakers are bullish on the 22-year-old golfer, valuing him as the third favorite in the outright winner market this week. We’ve seen Bhatia win at Valero and blow an opportunity for his second win of the year at the Rocket Mortgage Classic on the final hole. He’s among the best tee-to-green golfers in this field and should have minimal issues navigating this course.
Sneaky Plays
Cam Davis
Cam Davis is among the most consistent performers at this event. Since 2019, Davis has four T25 finishes, and he’s coming off of his outright win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic a few weeks ago. His strokes gained metrics aren’t great but we’ve seen the Aussie record some great performances at this event, so Davis is a solid prospect to use in one-and-done formats at TPC Twin Cities.
Tom Hoge
One of the best iron players on the PGA Tour in 2024 has been Tom Hoge. Hoge had a T20 finish at the 3M Open a year ago and is also ranked second SG: approach and 14th in putting average. It’s a potent one-two combination for a golfer who continues to fly under the radar.
Favorite One-And-Done: Tony Finau
It’s a chalky play but Finau is worth prioritizing if available to use in survivor leagues. He’s recorded three top-five finishes, including an outright win, and almost always finishes inside the top-ten at the 3M Open. He’s well-versed in this course and was riding a heater before the British Open, so Finau’s return to this event should yield an impressive final scorecard.
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