Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 12 games starting at 7:10 p.m. ET. The 12-game slate also has intriguing player props in the pick ’em lobbies at PrizePicks and Underdog.
- Weekly Trade Value Chart
- Weekly Waiver Wire Advice
- Weekly Fantasy Baseball Content
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 12 games starting at 7:10 p.m. ET. The 12-game slate also has intriguing player props in the pick ’em lobbies at PrizePicks and Underdog.
- Weekly Trade Value Chart
- Weekly Waiver Wire Advice
- Weekly Fantasy Baseball Content
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Hunter Brown (HOU) vs. COL
Hunter Brown is mispriced based on his recent work. According to FanGraphs, in Brown's last five starts spanning 31.0 innings, he's had a 1.45 ERA, 2.53 xFIP, 2.44 SIERA, 0.90 WHIP, 4.2 BB%, 31.9 K%, 30.3 CSW%, 104 Stuff+, 105 Location+ and 105 Pitching+. Brown has strung together six consecutive quality starts. Furthermore, he's allowed only one run in his last 19.0 innings pitched while striking out 22 batters.
The Rockies are a pushover for Brown. This year, Colorado is 28th in wRC+ (82) with a 25.5 K% versus righties and tied for 26th in wRC+ (84) with a 25.4 K% on the road. The Astros are -260, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Hunter Greene (CIN) vs. PIT
In Hunter Greene's previous five starts totaling 30.0 innings, he's had a 3.60 ERA. However, the flamethrowing righty's 4.54 xFIP and 4.04 SIERA were less flattering. Yet, Greene has a 3.11 xERA this year, better than his 3.35 ERA, 4.21 xFIP and 3.86 SIERA. So, Greene's rock-solid ERA in his recent starts might not have been as flukey as his xFIP and SIERA suggested it was. In addition, Greene had a 1.03 WHIP, 10.5 BB%, 25.8 K%, 12.6 SwStr%, 24.3 CSW%, 121 Stuff+, 99 Location+ and 101 Pitching+ in his past five starts.
Greene has a favorable matchup tonight. The Pirates are 29th in wRC+ (80) with a 24.7 K% versus righties and 24th in wRC+ (88) with a 25.7 K% on the road this year. Pittsburgh was 28th in wRC+ (73) with a 24.3 K% in the previous 14 days. Therefore, the Reds are -120, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Mitch Keller (PIT) at CIN
It might be a pitching duel at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. Mitch Keller is rolling into tonight's turn. In Keller's past five starts spanning 31.2 innings, he's had a 1.71 ERA, 3.85 xFIP, 3.52 SIERA, 1.04 WHIP, 3.8 BB%, 23.8 K%, 28.9 CSW%, 101 Stuff+, 100 Location+ and 100 Pitching+. Obviously, Keller's sub-2.00 ERA was better than his ERA estimators. Nevertheless, Keller's underlying data was rock-solid or better across the board.
The Reds lit up the scoreboard last night. Regardless, Cincinnati is 26th in wRC+ (85) with a 26.1 K% versus righties and 28th in wRC+ (82) with a 23.9 K% at home this season. They were also 25th in wRC+ (80) with a 23.7 K% in the previous 14 days. Therefore, it's a GPP-friendly matchup for Keller.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
- Road (Guaranteed Rate Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 9.0 Runs/LAD -210
The Dodgers have a powerhouse offense by any applicable split for tonight's matchup. Los Angeles is fourth in wRC+ (118) versus righties and second in wRC+ (123) on the road this season. They were also third in wRC+ (135) in the previous 14 days.
The Dodgers have a sweet draw against Chris Flexen tonight. In the veteran righty's previous five starts, he had a 3.70 ERA, 4.91 xFIP, 4.87 SIERA, 1.44 WHIP, 11.5 BB%, 20.2 K%, 28.1 CSW%, 41 Stuff+, 101 Location+ and 92 Pitching+. Flexen's ERA estimators were dreadful, indicating his ERA was lucky. The Dodgers can rough up Flexen tonight.
- Road (Angel Stadium)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/OAK +110
The Athletics don't have a potent offense. Moreover, Tyler Anderson's sparkling ERA suggests he's a poor target to stack against. Yet, Anderson's underlying data is awful. In his previous five starts, Anderson had a 2.40 ERA, 5.55 xFIP, 5.84 SIERA, 1.43 WHIP, 14.2 BB%, 15.0 K%, 26.5 CSW%, 94 Stuff+, 94 Location+ and 95 Pitching+. The other shoe will eventually drop, and the Athletics might be able to take advantage of an overachieving pitcher. Still, the A's are likely to be a contrarian stack, making them appealing in GPPs.
Core Studs
- Shohei Ohtani is dominating in his first season as a member of the Dodgers. In 351 plate appearances, he's hit 23 homers and stolen 16 bases with a .395 OBP, .308 ISO and 185 wRC+.
- Since 2022, Freddie Freeman has had a .424 OBP, .212 ISO and 166 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers.
- In 270 plate appearances this year, Brent Rooker has hit 13 homers with a .337 OBP, .238 ISO and 139 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- Wyatt Langford is on fire. In his last 80 plate appearances, he's had a .350 OBP, .200 ISO and 140 wRC+.
- Max Schuemann has below-average numbers at the dish in his rookie campaign. Still, he's a viable DFS option as a cheap leadoff hitter against a pitcher due for regression.
- Armando Alvarez has crushed left-handed pitching in the upper minors in recent years. His excellence against southpaws in the minors is a valid enough reason to use Alvarez in DFS lineups at the literal minimum salary on DK and FD.
Tuesday's Top 3 Underdog and PrizePicks Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Freddie Freeman: 9.0 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
Freddie Freeman: 8.5 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)
In addition to Freeman's outstanding numbers against righties, he's raking this season. In 352 plate appearances this season, he's had a .403 OBP, .198 ISO and 154 wRC+. Conversely, Flexen has yielded a .374 wOBA to 114 left-handed batters this season.
Shohei Ohtani: 2.5 Total Bases - Higher (1.05x) (Underdog)
Shohei Ohtani: 11.0 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)
Ohtani can pick apart Flexen's inability to tame lefties. Flexen has coughed up four doubles, two triples, seven homers, a .269 batting average and .548 slugging to 114 lefties this season. Ohtani is thriving with the platoon advantage this year. In 228 plate appearances against righties in 2024, Ohtani has hit 17 doubles, two triples and 17 homers with a .330 batting average, .416 OBP, .371 ISO and 208 wRC+.
Tyler Anderson: 5.5 Strikeouts - Lower (0.9x) (Underdog)
Tyler Anderson: 5.5 Strikeouts - Less (PrizePicks)
Anderson isn't a strikeout whiz. He's struck out five batters or fewer in nine consecutive starts and 13 of 15 this season. In 15 starts spanning 94.1 innings this year, the veteran lefty has had 63 strikeouts, 6.01 K/9 and a 16.4 K%. Furthermore, his lousy control (10.7 BB%) can cause him to run up his pitch count.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
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