Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 12 games starting at 7:10 p.m. ET. The suggested picks from PrizePicks and Underdog are from the 12-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Paul Skenes (PIT) at STL
Paul Skenes has been as good as advertised. According to FanGraphs, in five starts spanning 27.0 innings this season, Skenes has a 3.00 ERA, 2.79 xERA, 2.29 SIERA, 1.00 WHIP, 5.6 BB%, 35.5 K%, 29.4 CSW%, 113 Stuff+, 106 Location+ and 111 Pitching+. The rookie righty has spun three quality starts and struck out at least seven batters four times.
Skenes's matchup isn't perfect, but the Cardinals aren't world-beaters, either. This season, the Red Birds are eighth in wRC+ (104) with a 23.7 K% versus righties and tied for 12th in wRC+ (102) with a 20.4 K% at home. In the previous 14 days, St. Louis was tied for 14th in wRC+ (98) with a 21.4 K%. Finally, the Pirates are -125, and the game's total is 7.5 runs.
Bryan Woo (SEA) vs. CWS
Bryan Woo is rolling into tonight's start. In his previous five starts totaling 29.1 innings, Woo has had a 1.23 ERA, 3.65 xFIP, 3.63 SIERA, 0.55 WHIP, 1.0 BB%, 20.2 K%, 28.3 CSW%, 101 Stuff+, 110 Location+ and 107 Pitching+. The young righty has spun four straight quality starts.
Woo should stay hot in a drool-inducing matchup. The White Sox are 30th in wRC+ (78) with a 23.3 K% versus righties and 29th in wRC+ (76) with a 25.0 K% on the road this year. Chicago was also tied for 18th in wRC+ (95) with a 24.2 K% in the last 14 days. Seattle is -235 tonight, and the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Drew Thorpe (CWS) at SEA
Drew Thorpe is debuting in the majors tonight, skipping Triple-A. In 16 starts spanning 90.1 innings in Double-A, Thorpe had a 1.39 ERA, 2.73 FIP, 0.80 WHIP, 6.6 BB% and 29.9 K%. Can his sparkling numbers in Double-A translate to instant big-league success?
Thorpe has a favorable matchup for getting off to a fast start in The Show. In 2024, the Mariners are 19th in wRC+ (96) with a 27.9 K% versus righties and tied for 18th in wRC+ (97) with a 28.4 K% at home. Seattle was also tied for 16th in wRC+ (97) with a 25.5 K% in the previous 14 days. Seattle's propensity to strike out elevates Thorpe's ceiling, enhancing the appeal of rolling the dice on the rookie in GPPs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Mets are lefty killers. This year, they're third in wRC+ (121) versus left-handed pitching. Additionally, all their projected hitters have had a 104 wRC+ against lefties since 2022. Furthermore, six of the projected starters have had at least a 119 wRC+ against southpaws in that period. The Mets have also been in stellar form, ranking fourth in wRC+ (124) in the previous 14 days.
- Road (Great American Ball Park)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 9.0 Runs/CLE -125
Frankly, I don't know what Cleveland's starting lineup will look like, so take the projected starting lineup with a grain of salt. Brent Suter is opening for the Reds, and DK projects Nick Martinez as the bulk reliever. The Guardians will get an offensive boost at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, and they're cooking with gasoline, ranking fifth in wRC+ (123) in the previous 14 days.
Core Studs
- It doesn't matter if Jose Ramirez faces a righty or a lefty. He's likely to light them up. In 277 plate appearances this year, Ramirez has hit 18 homers and stolen 10 bases with a .336 OBP, .279 ISO and 150 wRC+.
- In 320 plate appearances against southpaws since 2022, J.D. Martinez has had a .381 OBP, .278 ISO and 162 wRC+.
- Josh Naylor has a .305 OBP, .328 wOBA, .357 xwOBA, .203 ISO and 116 wRC+ in 259 plate appearances this year. The gap between his wOBA and xwOBA suggests he's been unlucky, and the hitter-friendly conditions he's treated to tonight can help him close the gap between his actual numbers and expected stats.
Value Plays/Punts
- Spencer Horwitz graduated from Triple-A with honors. In 743 plate appearances in Triple-A since last season, he had a .452 OBP, .166 ISO and 149 wRC+.
- Daniel Schneemann had a 154 wRC+ in 223 plate appearances in Triple-A this year before he was summoned to the majors. Through his first 18 plate appearances in the majors, he's had a .556 OBP, .231 ISO and 234 wRC+. The rookie is an enticing punt if he starts tonight.
- In 388 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Randal Grichuk has hit 19 homers with a .356 OBP, .245 ISO and 139 wRC+.
Tuesday's Top 3 Underdog and PrizePicks Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Jose Ramirez: 8.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
Jose Ramirez: 9.5 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)
Ramirez has hit all pitching hard. Since 2022, he's had a 112 wRC+ against lefties and a 145 wRC+ against righties. He'll have the advantage against any pitcher the Reds trot out in a bullpen game opened by Suter. Ramirez is also in excellent form, tallying a 217 wRC+ in his previous 134 plate appearances.
Royce Lewis: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher (Scorcher 1.05x)/More
The only thing that could slow down Royce Lewis this year was a stint on the Injured List (IL). In 24 plate appearances this year, he's hit one double and four homers with a .333 batting average, 334 xBA, .952 slugging, .874 xSLG and .619 ISO. Lewis has had over 1.5 total bases in five of seven games this season. Cal Quantrill is also a favorable matchup, allowing a .270 batting average and .378 slugging to 163 righties this season.
Oneil Cruz: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher/More
Miles Mikolas is dreadful against lefties. The veteran righty has allowed 12 doubles and five homers with a .279 batting average and .488 slugging to 141 left-handed batters this season. He's also struck out just 17.7% of the lefties he's faced. Oneil Cruz can make the most of the platoon advantage. This year, he's hit 13 doubles, one triple and seven homers with a .299 batting average, .518 slugging and .220 ISO in 179 plate appearances against righties.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.