Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has nine games starting at 7:10 p.m. ET. The suggested pick ’em selections at PrizePicks and Underdog are also from the nine-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Cole Ragans (KC) vs. MIA
Cole Ragans is in good form entering tonight's soft matchup. According to FanGraphs, in his previous five starts spanning 30.0 innings, Ragans has had a 2.70 ERA, 3.48 xFIP, 3.46 SIERA, 1.17 WHIP, 7.4 BB%, 27.0 K%, 29.0 CSW%, 111 Stuff+, 101 Location+ and 105 Pitching+. The lefty has had four straight quality starts and six in his previous seven opportunities.
The Marlins are an easy matchup for Ragans. This year, Miami is 30th in wRC+ (68) with a 21.4 K% versus lefties and 30th in wRC+ (69) with a 23.0 K% on the road. In the previous 14 days, the Marlins were 29th in wRC+ (67) with a 24.7 K%. The Royals are -240, and the game's total is 9.0 runs, cementing Ragans's status as the best pitching option on the slate.
Matt Waldron (SD) vs. WAS
Matt Waldron is catching a lousy offense immediately after they played a series at Coors Field. It's an ideal situation. The Nationals are tied for 20th in wRC+ (95) with a 20.5 K% versus righties and 20th in wRC+ (92) with a 22.0 K% on the road. They might be even worse if they struggle to immediately adjust to leaving Coors Field.
Waldron has also been lights out lately, enhancing the difficulty for Washington's hitters. In Waldron's past five starts totaling 33.1 innings, he's had a 1.35 ERA, 4.11 xFIP, 4.05 SIERA, 0.75 WHIP, 4.8 BB%, 19.2 K%, 27.3 CSW%, 79 Stuff+, 103 Location+ and 97 Pitching+. Waldron has allowed two earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts. Thus, the Friars are -220, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) at STL
Spencer Schwellenbach's 4.98 ERA through his first four starts in the majors won't get the juices flowing for DFS gamers. However, his underlying data is better. Schwellenbach has had a 3.65 xERA, 4.17 SIERA, 1.20 WHIP, 7.5 BB%, 20.4 K%, 29.1 CSW%, 97 Stuff+, 107 Location+ and 105 Pitching+. Moreover, Schwellenbach has twirled back-to-back quality starts, striking out 10 batters in 12.0 innings while yielding three earned runs.
Schwellenbach doesn't have a great matchup. Yet, the Cardinals are 14th in wRC+ (105) with a 21.4 K% at home. They were also 17th in wRC+ (106) with a 23.4 K% in the previous 14 days. Finally, the Braves are -126, and the game's total is 9.0 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
Patrick Corbin hasn't been his typical punching-bag self in recent starts. Yet, the lefty's 4.23 ERA, 4.45 xFIP and 4.51 SIERA in his previous five starts weren't good, either. Additionally, the veteran southpaw has allowed a .363 wOBA to lefties and a .384 wOBA to righties. The Padres should rough him up, and while their right-handed batters are the most exciting choices, the lefties are also viable.
- Home (Guaranteed Rate Field)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/CWS +124
The White Sox don't have any eye-catching applicable splits for tonight's matchup, and the betting info isn't exciting. Nevertheless, they have a tasty matchup. In James Paxton's past five starts, he's had a 5.24 ERA, 4.59 xFIP and 4.52 SIERA. He also has a pathetic 1.7 K-BB% against righties this season.
Core Studs
- If he returns to the lineup tonight, Fernando Tatis is a superb DFS choice. In 256 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Tatis has hit eight homers with a .379 OBP, .165 ISO and 135 wRC+.
- In 421 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Manny Machado has hit 22 home runs with a .349 OBP, .214 ISO and 133 wRC+.
- In 227 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Luis Robert has hit 10 homers with a .376 OBP, .210 ISO and 150 wRC+.
Value Plays/Punts
- Jurickson Profar has a slightly higher salary than a player featured in this section would typically have. Still, he is a bargain and can be used with the other featured hitters and pitchers relatively easily. In 442 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Profar has hit 10 homers with a .372 OBP, .153 ISO and 127 wRC+.
- Andrew Vaughn has a DFS-friendly lineup spot. He's also locked in. In his previous 105 plate appearances, he's hit six homers with a .352 OBP, .220 ISO and 152 wRC+.
- In 107 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Danny Mendick has had a .318 OBP, .167 ISO and 116 wRC+.
Monday's Top 3 Underdog and PrizePicks Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Luis Robert: 7.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
Luis Robert: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - More (PrizePicks)
Paxton's .308 wOBA allowed to 233 right-handed batters this year isn't eye-catching, but it doesn't tell the whole story. He's had a 13.3 BB%, 15.0 K% and .215 BABIP against righties. Paxton's had a .282 BABIP allowed to righties in his career. He's been lucky. Robert is a lefty killer, as I highlighted above. The toolsy outfielder can punish Paxton's lack of strikeout ability and reliance on favorable luck on batted balls against righties.
Jurickson Profar: 7.0 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog)
Jurickson Profar: 0.5 RBIs - More (Demon Multiplier) (PrizePicks)
In addition to Profar's stellar numbers against lefties since 2022, he's having a career year at the dish. The switch-hitting utility player has hit 10 homers and stolen four bases with a .413 OBP, .165 ISO and 161 wRC+ in 321 plate appearances this year. Profar is slotted in the heart of San Diego's order, and he's utilized his hitter-friendly lineup spot to produce 48 RBIs. He can add to that tally in a cushy matchup tonight.
Spencer Schwellenbach: 4.5 Strikeouts - Higher/More
In four starts spanning 21.2 innings this year, Schwellenbach has struck out 19 batters with a 20.4 K%, 7,89 K/9 and a 29.1 CSW%. Schwellenbach also misses bats at a high level. The rookie's 13.7 SwStr% this year is notably above the league average (10.9 SwStr%). Schwellenbach has an untapped strikeout upside. Still, he struck out a season-high seven batters in his last start, and he's had over 4.5 strikeouts twice.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.