Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has six games starting at 7:40 p.m. ET. The suggested player props from the lobbies at PrizePicks and Underdog are from the same six-game slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet 
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Monday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Dylan Cease (SD) vs. OAK
Dylan Cease's ugly 5.86 ERA in his past five starts was deceiving compared to his underlying data. According to FanGraphs, Cease had a 3.18 xFIP, 3.18 SIERA, 1.34 WHIP, 5.0 BB%, 27.5 K%, 29.0 CSW%, 123 Stuff+, 104 Location+ and 109 Pitching+ in 27.2 innings in that period. Cease should pitch closer to his excellent underlying data in a soft matchup tonight.
This season, the Athletics are tied for 20th in wRC+ (94) with a 26.5 K% versus righties and 28th in wRC+ (84) with a 28.1 K% on the road. Oakland was also 29th in wRC+ (70) with a 26.5 K% in the previous 14 days. Understandably, the betting info is also optimal for Cease. The Padres are -210, and the game's total is 7.0 runs.
Logan Gilbert (SEA) vs. CWS
Logan Gilbert has chewed up innings and pitched well lately. In his previous five starts spanning 31.2 innings, he's had a 3.41 ERA, 3.78 xFIP, 3.96 SIERA, 1.04 WHIP, 4.1 BB%, 17.9 K%, 26.3 CSW%, 120 Stuff+, 102 Location+ and 103 Pitching+.
Gilbert has shined at home this year. In five starts at home in 2024, Gilbert has had a 3.03 ERA, 3.10 xFIP, 0.92 WHIP, 5.7 BB% and 28.5 K% in 32.2 innings. He's pitched at least 6.0 innings in each of his home starts and had four quality starts. Gilbert should stay hot in home starts in a mouthwatering matchup tonight.
The White Sox are 30th in wRC+ (79) with a 23.0 K% versus righties and 29th in wRC+ (76) with a 25.0 K% on the road this season. In the last 14 days, they were 19th in wRC+ (92) with a 24.0 K%. Finally, the Mariners are -230, and the game's total is 7.0 runs.
Chris Paddack (MIN) vs. COL
Chris Paddack served up a grotesque 6.51 ERA in his last five starts. Nevertheless, the veteran righty's 4.24 xFIP and 4.12 SIERA were more palatable. His ERA estimators were unexciting. Still, they were adequate, and Paddack also had a 20.2 K%, 27.4 CSW%, 85 Stuff+, 108 Location+ and 106 Pitcing+. Paddack isn't a shoo-in to pitch well, but the matchup and betting info support using him in DFS.
In 2024, the Rockies are 29th in wRC+ (80) with a 26.0 K% versus righties and tied for 26th in wRC+ (87) with a 25.7 K% on the road. Colorado was tied for 22nd in wRC+ (85) with a 25.8 K% in the previous 14 days. Thus, the Twins are -220, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Twins have approximately an average offense. This year, they're 16th in wRC+(98) versus righties and tied for 15th in wRC+ (100) at home. Yet, all their projected hitters have had at least a 101 wRC+ against righties since 2022, and seven have had at least a 110 wRC+.
They have a desirable matchup tonight. In Dakota Hudson's previous five starts, he's had a 3.90 ERA, 4.94 xFIP, 5.14 SIERA, 1.19 WHIP, 9.4 BB%, 12.8 K%, 7.2 SwStr%, 24.5 CSW%, 84 Stuff+, 95 Location+ and 89 Pitching+. Hudson's ERA was lucky, and he didn't avoid contact. Colorado's bullpen is also a sweet matchup for the Twins. The Rockies have the highest bullpen ERA (5.27) this year.
Core Studs
- In 228 career plate appearances against righties, Royce Lewis has hit 18 homers with a .360 OBP, .292 ISO and 163 wRC+.
- Heliot Ramos has hit six homers with a .405 OBP, .219 ISO and 170 wRC+ in 121 plate appearances this season.
- Carlos Correa is tallying a bounce-back campaign and is in a groove. The veteran shortstop has had muti-hit showings in three of his past four games.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 130 plate appearances this year, Trevor Larnach has a .331 OBP, .179 ISO and 123 wRC+.
- Since 2022, Alex Kirilloff has had a .325 OBP, .177 ISO and 115 wRC+ against righties.
- Patrick Bailey took his lumps at the dish as a rookie. He's found his footing at the plate in his sophomore campaign. In 150 plate appearances this year, Bailey has a .342 OBP, .146 ISO and 121 wRC+.
Monday's Top 3 Underdog and PrizePicks Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Spencer Arrighetti: 15.5 Pitching Outs - Lower (Underdog)/Less (PrizePicks)
Spencer Arrighetti was lifted from his last start early after getting struck in his calf by a line drive. This is his first start since, creating some potential for a messy start if his calf isn't entirely recovered. Arrighetti also hasn't chewed up innings.
In 10 starts, the rookie has fallen short of 15.5 outs recorded seven times. Furthermore, Arrighetti has exceeded 15.5 outs recorded once in five starts on the road. This season, the Giants are tied for 15th in wRC+ (99) versus righties and tied for 15th in wRC+ (100) at home. I included only the Twins as a suggested stack, but the Giants were also nearly featured. Therefore, I expect San Francisco's offense to succeed tonight and Arrighetti to struggle.
Dakota Hudson: 3.5 Strikeouts - Lower/Less
The Twins were the only team I suggested stacking. So, it's safe to say I think they can rough up Hudson and chase him early. Nonetheless, even if the Twins don't knock Hudson out early, he's unlikely to clear 3.5 strikeouts. In 12 starts this year, Hudson has had fewer than 3.5 strikeouts eight times. Hudson struck out four batters in his previous start, snapping a streak of six consecutive starts recording fewer than 3.5 strikeouts. He's exceeded 3.5 strikeouts on the road only once in six opportunities.
William Contreras is raking this season. In 290 plate appearances in 2024, Contreras has a .376 OBP, .166 ISO and 142 wRC+. He's also done his best work against righties at home. In 96 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers at home this season, Contreras has had a .438 OBP, .169 ISO and 174 wRC+.
Conversely, Jose Berrios hasn't pitched as well on the road as at home. The right-handed hurler has also coughed up a .357 wOBA to 86 right-handed batters on the road.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
