MLB DFS Picks, PrizePicks & Underdog Player Props: Friday (6/14)

Tonight’s MLB DFS slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 12 games starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. The suggested player props from PrizePicks and Underdog are from the same 12 games.

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Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Friday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Chris Sale (ATL) vs. TB
Chris Sale is having a renaissance this year. He's also in superb form. According to FanGraphs, in Sale's previous five starts spanning 32.0 innings, he's had a 3.09 ERA, 2.39 xFIP, 2.37 SIERA, 0.88 WHIP, 2.4 BB%, 31.7 K%, 32.3 CSW%, 102 Stuff+, 102 Location+ and 101 Pitching+. Furthermore, Sale has had quality starts in five of his past six opportunities and allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts.

Sale has a rock-solid matchup and even better betting data tonight. This season, the Rays are 13th in wRC+ (104) with a 25.4 K% versus lefties and tied for 21st in wRC+ (92) with a 25.0 K% on the road. In the previous 14 days, Tampa Bay was 19th in wRC+ (90) with a 25.3 K%. Thus, the Braves are -205, and the game's total is 8.0 runs.

Hunter Brown (HOU) vs. DET
Hunter Brown is the second-best pitching option, salary considered, at DK. Kyle Bradish isn't on the table because of his salary at DK, but he's the second-best choice at FD. Getting back to Brown, he's righted the ship after a miserable start to this season. In his last five starts totaling 29.0 innings, Brown has had a 3.10 ERA, 3.43 xFIP, 3.45 SIERA, 0.97 WHIP, 9.6 BB%, 27.2 K%, 29.6 CSW%, 104 Stuff+, 101 Location+ and 103 Pitching+. He's had four straight quality starts and struck out at least seven batters in three consecutive turns.

Brown should maintain his momentum in a favorable matchup. The Tigers are tied for 21st in wRC+ (94) with a 24.4 K% versus righties and 23rd in wRC+ (90) with a 24.6 K% on the road this year. Detroit was also 26th in wRC+ (76) with a 24.4 K% in the previous 14 days. The Astros are slight underdogs (-105) because Tarik Skubal is toeing the slab for the Tigers. Still, the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.

Matt Waldron (SD) at NYM

Matt Waldron is in the zone. In his last five starts spanning 30.0 innings, he's had a 1.50 ERA, 3.06 xFIP, 3.01 SIERA, 0.93 WHIP, 5.2 BB%, 28.4 K%, 28.4 CSW%, 77 Stuff+, 105 Location+ and 99 Pitching+. Waldron has allowed two runs or fewer in five consecutive starts, holding opponents to one run or less in three straight. He's spun three consecutive quality starts.

Waldron's matchup is mixed. The Mets are tied for 12th in wRC+ (101) with a 21.3 K% versus righties this year. Yet, they're 21st in wRC+ (95) with a 22.2 K% at home. The Friars are -115, and the game's total is 8.0 runs.

Suggested Lineup Stacks

• Home (Rogers Centre)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8.0 Runs/TOR -135

The Blue Jays are below average by every meaningful split tonight. However, they're a sneaky-good stack tonight. Eight of their nine projected starters are right-handed hitters. Why is that important? Logan Allen is utterly incompetent against righties. This year, the lefty hurler has coughed up a .401 wOBA to 232 right-handed batters.

• Home (Oracle Park)
• Game Total/Moneyline: Unlisted

Tyler Anderson's brilliant ERA is on borrowed time. The veteran lefty's 2.63 ERA is a fluke, evidenced by his 4.66 xERA, 5.03 xFIP and 5.12 SIERA with a career-worst 6.0 K-BB%. The Giants are seventh in wRC+ (116) against lefties this year. Moreover, seven of their projected starters have had at least a 104 wRC+ against southpaws since 2022 or debuting in the majors, and six have had at least a 115 wRC+.

Core Studs

• Oneil Cruz will receive the Coors Field boost tonight. He'll also benefit from facing Ryan Feltner. In 475 career plate appearances against righties, Cruz has had a .337 OBP, .233 ISO and 133 wRC+. Conversely, Feltner has ceded a .428 wOBA to 67 left-handed batters at home this year.
• In 117 plate appearances against lefties since reaching the majors last season, Davis Schneider has hit nine homers with a .359 OBP, .344 ISO and 160 wRC+.
• In 101 career plate appearances against lefties, Heliot Ramos has launched five homers with a .347 OBP, .259 ISO and 136 wRC+.

Value Plays/Punts

• Matt Chapman isn't cheap on DK, but he is a strong selection there. Yet, he's a screaming value at FD. In 301 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Chapman has hit 10 homers with a .365 OBP, .207 ISO and 145 wRC+.
• In 365 plate appearances against lefties since 2022, Justin Turner has hit 12 homers with a .359 OBP, .183 ISO and 129 wRC+.
• Daniel Schneemann is an intriguing punt if the utility player starts tonight. In 223 plate appearances in Triple-A this season, he hit 10 homers and stole four bases with a .428 OBP, .261 ISO and 155 wRC+. In his first 19 plate appearances in the majors, he's had a .526 OBP, .214 ISO and 216 wRC+.

Friday's Top 3 Underdog and PrizePicks Player Props

Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet

Randy Arozrena: 7.0 Fantasy Points - Lower (Underdog)

Randy Arozarena: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs - Less (PrizePicks)

Randy Arozarena hasn't found his footing this year, and Sale isn't a get-right matchup. In 270 plate appearances this year, Arozarena has had a .278 OBP, .141 ISO and 78 wRC+. In addition, while his .270 wOBA is lower than his .300 xwOBA, even his expected xwOBA is unimpressive. Meanwhile, Sale has held 237 righties to a .255 wOBA this year.

Oneil Cruz: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher/More

Cruz's exploits against righties and Feltner's inability to tame lefties were highlighted above. So, let's look at the left-handed-batter park factors at Coors Field. Lefties are treated to park factors of 1.167 for singles, 1.210 for doubles, 1.708 for triples and 1.092 for homers.

Matt Chapman: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher/More

Chapman is another holdover from the DFS section. The right-handed slugger is in a groove. In his previous 108 plate appearances, Chapman has hit 11 doubles and three homers with a .286 batting average, .505 slugging and .220 ISO. Finally, Anderson has struck out only 14.9% of the righties he's faced this year, putting him at the mercy of Chapman's batted balls.

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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.