MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets: Sunday (6/30)

Sunday slates are consistently among the most interesting cards out there, with most teams playing within a five-hour window. We always tend to have one morning game and one night game, but we’ll exclude those since they won’t be part of the main card.

With that in mind, let’s dive into this Sunday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Sunday’s baseball games.

• Weekly Trade Value Chart
• Weekly Waiver Wire Advice
• Weekly Fantasy Baseball Content
• Dynasty Fantasy Baseball Trade Value Chart
• MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet

Sunday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Garrett Crochet (CWS) vs. COL
There’s a baseball phrase called Rockie Road, which refers to using pitchers against the Rockies when they’re on the road. It’s easy to see why people do that, with Colorado ranked last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, and xwOBA in three of the last four years on the road. We’d use any pitcher against them, but Crochet is one of the hottest players in the sport. The lefty has a 1.53 ERA, 0.84 WHIP, and 12.5 K/9 rate across his last 11 starts, scoring at least 30 FanDuel points in all of those. That’s why he’s projected for 9.5 Ks on most sportsbooks!

Ranger Suarez (PHI) vs. MIA
Suarez is one of the frontrunners for NL Cy Young. The Phillies lefty has a 10-2 record, thanks to his 2.01 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. He’s also scored at least 27 FanDuel points in 14 of his 16 starts, scoring over 50 fantasy points five times this season! That should be easy to duplicate in a home matchup with Miami because the Marlins rank 29th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, and xwOBA. That was clear when Suarez scored nearly 60 FD points against them earlier in the year!

Taj Bradley (TB) vs. WAS
Bradley has always had elite strikeout stuff, but he’s starting to form into a great pitcher. The Rays righty has a 1.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 11.2 K/9 rate across his last four starts. One stinker against Baltimore is the only thing that’s hurt his numbers, with Bradley boasting a 2.04 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 12.5 K/9 rate at home this year. That should continue against Washington, with the Nats ranked 20th in runs scored and 23rd in OBP.

Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) vs. OAK
Pfaadt has one of the funniest names in baseball, but this kid has game. The Arizona arm has a 4.03 ERA and 1.13 WHIP since struggling through his first three starts. A hot stretch like that should be easy to duplicate against Oakland, with the A’s ranked bottom three in nearly every offensive category since the start of last season.

MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks

Tampa Bay Rays (vs. Patrick Corbin)

• Home (Tropicana Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8 Runs/TB -185

Tampa is always a tempting stack with how many cheap bats they possess, but we definitely can’t fade them against a gas can like Corbin. The lefty has been the worst starter since 2020, tallying a 5.60 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in that five-year span. It’s hard to believe he’s still in the rotation with numbers like those, but the Rays should add to that total here.

Kansas City Royals (vs. Logan Allen)

• Home (Kauffman Stadium)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8 Runs/KC -135

The Royals have struggled over the last two weeks, but this was a Top 10 offense before that nightmarish run. We bet they recapture that form here because Logan Allen has a 5.72 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. That looks even better since he’s allowed nine runs in his last two starts against KC!

MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs

• If we stack Kansas City, we have to use Witt. This guy has been a Top 5 player in DFS since his call-up 2.5 years ago, collecting 61 homers and 100 steals. He’s also got the platoon advantage against Allen and has showcased better power numbers against lefties throughout his career.
• Paredes has developed into Tampa’s best bat this season, and he’s an easy choice against a guy like Corbin. The corner infielder has a .355 OBP and .851 OPS since the start of last season, batting third for this Tampa team every game. His splits are even, but we don’t mind that he also has the platoon advantage against Corbin.
• Yelich is quietly having an MVP-type season in Milwaukee, maintaining a .407 OBP and .892 OPS. He’s also added seven homers and 16 steals to his stellar stat line, but he should go off since he faces a righty like Kyle Hendricks. The Cubs veteran has a 6.87 ERA and 1.49 WHIP this year.
• EDLC is one of the streakiest players in baseball, but he’s an elite option in DFS with how much he can do. His league-leading 38 steals are the true game-changer for this DFS stud, but he’s also added 14 homers and 54 runs to his resume. He’s also got a multi-hit game in five of his last six outings while generating a .824 OPS against righties since his call-up. That’s rough for Lance Lynn, registering a 5.75 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over his last four starts.

MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts

• Pham was a late addition to this Chicago team, but he’s been their best bat atop of the lineup. The veteran outfielder has a .340 OBP this year while posting a .395 OBP and .842 OPS against left-handers. That’s bad news for Kyle Freeland, who is compiling a 9.95 ERA and 1.95 WHIP this year.
• Perez has struggled the last month, but he’s a necessary pairing with a guy like Witt. Perez always bats in the heart of the Royals lineup, providing a .270 AVG, 489 SLG, and .802 OPS since 2020. Not many catchers are doing that, and it looks even better since Perez has better splits against southpaws.
• Arozarena has been awful this season, but this guy is too good to struggle like this. He’s still got 10 homers and 10 steals, posting a .419 OBP and .977 OPS across his last 10 outings. This spurt could be the start of a long run of success, especially since Randy has a .359 OBP and .844 OPS against lefties over the last three years!
• Here we are with another struggling superstar. Carroll has been one of the biggest disappointments in fantasy baseball, but to see a Top 5 MVP candidate being priced like this is hard to overlook. We’re seeing flashes of the outfielder getting out of his slump, accruing a .369 OBP and .744 OPS across his last 27 outings. That OBP and his ability to steal bases make him an enticing GPP option, particularly against a righty with a 5.25 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.

Sunday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props

Taj Bradley: 5.5 Strikeouts – Higher

We already discussed how Taj has flirted with a 30 percent K rate throughout his career, and he shouldn’t have any issues reaching six against one of the worst offenses in baseball.

Casey Mize: 5.5 Strikeouts – Lower

Mize had an outlier with 10 strikeouts in his most recent start, which inflated this line. He never cracked four Ks in any of his previous six starts, generating a 5.7 K/9 rate through his previous 10 starts.

Isaac Paredes: 1.5 Total Bases – Higher (x1.25)

Facing Corbin couldn’t be a better matchup, and getting this prop at x1.25 is incredible since Paredes has the platoon advantage in his favor.

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio

Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.