Yesterday’s slate was stacked with pitching, but that’s not what we have here. In fact, it was tough to find four pitchers we wanted to recommend, but we’re going to exploit some of the worst offenses in baseball. It should also open up the door for some big outputs from batters, so it’ll be a fun slate to dissect from a DFS standpoint.
With that said, let’s dive into this Sunday’s MLB slate! Check out our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet advice for Sunday.
Yesterday’s slate was stacked with pitching, but that’s not what we have here. In fact, it was tough to find four pitchers we wanted to recommend, but we’re going to exploit some of the worst offenses in baseball. It should also open up the door for some big outputs from batters, so it’ll be a fun slate to dissect from a DFS standpoint.
With that said, let’s dive into this Sunday’s MLB slate! Check out our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet advice for Sunday.
Sunday’s MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets
Sunday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
| PLAYER |
DK SALARY |
FD SALARY |
VALUE |
RISK |
| Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. LAA |
$9,200 |
$9,300 |
Low |
Low |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) vs. OAK |
$9,000 |
$9,600 |
Medium |
High |
| Gavin Stone (LAD) vs. COL |
$8,400 |
$8,700 |
Medium |
Medium |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) vs. DET |
$7,800 |
$8,600 |
Medium |
Medium |
Luis Castillo (SEA) vs. LAA
Castillo is never in the discussion of the best pitchers in baseball, but he’s not far out. The Seattle slinger has a 3.20 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over the last three years, posting a 3.28 ERA and 1.19 WHIP this season. He’s also been much better at Safeco, sporting a 3.02 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 10.9 K/9 rate in that span. That’s why he enters this game as a -200 favorite, with the Angels missing Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Anthony Rendon. He has at least 41 FD points in four of their last five matchups!
Charlie Morton (ATL) vs. OAK
This isn’t an exciting pick when looking at Morton’s most recent start, but that’s an outlier. This veteran had a 3.35 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 rate before that stinker, scoring at least 31 FD points in six of his previous nine starts. Another one of those outstanding outputs should be in play against Oakland, with the A’s ranked 27th in runs scored, 29th in K rate, and 23rd in wOBA. We also don’t mind that he’s a -250 favorite!
Gavin Stone (LAD) vs. COL
Stone has been sensational recently, allowing one run or fewer in five of his last six starts. He’s also got a 1.85 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in that span, completing at least six innings in all six starts. That’s scary in a home start against Colorado, with the Rockies ranked last in every offensive metric on the road over the last three years. All of that has Stone entering this matchup as a -275 favorite!
Brayan Bello (BOS) vs. DET
This Boston pitching staff has been one of the best in baseball, with Bello having a breakout season. The Red Sox righty has a 4.18 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 8.4 K/9 rate to go along with a 6-2 record. We can’t overlook that against a disastrous Detroit offense, with the Tigers ranked 23rd in K rate and 22nd in xwOBA.
MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks
It’s hard to believe that Nastrini still has a job, but that is a good indication of where this White Sox team is at. The Chicago pitcher has a 0-4 record, thanks to his 9.92 ERA and 2.20 WHIP. Those awful averages are bad news against Milwaukee, with the Brewers ranked fourth in OBP and runs scored.
Spence is a fill-in for Oakland, and that alone makes him a pitcher we want to stack against. The righty has only made three starts at this level, but his 4.39 ERA and 1.33 WHIP between Single-A and Triple-A are discouraging. That’s scary against the best offense in baseball from last season, with ATL ranked seventh in OBP this year.
MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs
- We just talked about how Nastrini is one of the worst pitchers in baseball right now, and we have to use Yelich in a Milwaukee stack. The All-Star has a .406 OBP and .970 OPS this year while posting much better splits against righties throughout his career. He’s also got a .422 OBP and six steals since coming off the IL three weeks ago, and there’s no better option out there in this matchup.
- Devers has been crushing it since he sat out with a shoulder issue. The third baseman has a .394 OBP and .983 OPS across his last 33 fixtures. He’s also been much better against righties, registering a 1.035 OPS against them. Casey Mize is a struggling one, too, totaling a 6.56 ERA and 1.57 WHIP across his last six starts.
- Atlanta’s offense has been slow to get going, but Olson is starting to turn his season around. This stud has a .343 OBP and .903 OPS across his last 17 outings. He’s also got a .917 OPS against righties since joining Atlanta, averaging 43 homers and 120 RBI over the last three years!
- Garcia has quietly been one of the best hitters in the AL over the last three years, collecting 109 homers, 54 steals, and 335 RBI in that span. We love that potential against a lefty like Trevor Rogers, tallying a 5.65 ERA and 1.80 WHIP. In addition, Garcia is just shy of a .500 SLG against lefties this year!
MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts
- Ortiz has been a pleasant surprise for the Brewers, moving up to the top half of their lineup. It’s easy to understand why, with Ortiz generating a .426 OBP and .995 OPS across his last 15 fixtures. That fantastic form makes him tough to avoid against the worst pitcher on the slate, especially since Ortiz has a .990 OPS against right-handers this season.
- We had Harris in here yesterday, and we’re going back to him for all the same reasons. He’s been a Top 10 outfielder since his call-up, and a move to the leadoff spot should skyrocket his fantasy value. This guy has the ability to be a 30-30 player, and he should showcase it in this newfound role.
- Suarez is not the slugger we used to know and love, but he still can go yard. He’s got 211 bombs since the 2017 season but has slaughtered lefties in that span. We’re not worried about a pitcher like Jose Quintana, compiling a 5.06 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. We love his BvP numbers against Quintana, collecting a .438 OBP and .918 OPS in 32 at-bats against the veteran.
- Rojas has been hitting leadoff for the Mariners when they face a righty, providing a .358 OBP and .794 OPS against right-handers this year. That’s all you can ask for from such an affordable player, especially against a struggling righty like Griffin Canning, who’s got a 5.08 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Sunday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props
Bassitt got off to a slow start, but he’s been much better recently. He hasn’t allowed more than five hits in five straight starts, allowing five hits or fewer in 19 of 33 starts last year. That should be easy to duplicate against a Pittsburgh team that ranks 29th in runs scored over the last month!
Geno needs just one hit to clear this total, and we have already discussed his absurd BvP numbers against Quintana. He’s also got a hit in the first two games of this series and should keep that mini-hot streak rolling since he’s had so much success against the lefty.
Trevor Rogers: 5.0 Hits Allowed – Higher
Rogers has allowed five hits or more in eight of his 11 starts, surrendering 67 hits across 51 innings. That’s a terrifying total against a Texas team that had the best offense in baseball last year!
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
