This is an exciting slate from a scheduling standpoint. On most Saturdays, games are always spread throughout the day, but we have 10 games starting at 4 ET. That means we will focus on just those because that’s where all the big price pools will be.
With that in mind, let’s dive into this Saturday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s slate of games.
This is an exciting slate from a scheduling standpoint. On most Saturdays, games are always spread throughout the day, but we have 10 games starting at 4 ET. That means we will focus on just those because that’s where all the big price pools will be.
With that in mind, let’s dive into this Saturday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s slate of games.
Saturday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Saturday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Freddy Peralta (MIL) at DET
Peralta has struggled a bit over the last few weeks, but he’s still one of the best pitchers in the NL. The righty has allowed three runs or fewer in all but two starts, totaling a 3.74 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 11.9 K/9 rate. That strikeout stuff has made him an elite DFS option, and we want to use him against Detroit’s disastrous offense. The Motor City Kitties rank 23rd in K rate and 24th in wOBA, with Comerica Park being one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball.
Kevin Gausman (TOR) at OAK
It’s been a nightmarish season for Gausman, but this guy is too good to be this cheap in a matchup like this. Let’s start there because Oakland ranks 29th or 30th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, and xWOBA since the start of last season. That’s the sort of opposition that could get this ace back on track, with Gausman generating a 3.10 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over the last three years.
Charlie Morton (ATL) at WAS
Morton allowed eight runs last week, but he’s been sensational outside of that. The righty has allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts, providing a 3.35 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and 9.3 K/9 rate in that span. Imagine how ridiculous those numbers would look without that eight-run outlier, but we don’t expect one of those against Washington. The Nationals rank 23rd in runs scored and 27th in xwOBA.
Brayan Bello (BOS) at CWS
Bello’s season-long numbers won’t jump off the page, but this guy has some nasty stuff. Despite posting a 4.36 ERA, Bello has a 3.50 xFIP. That tells us that some positive regression is right around the corner, and a matchup with the White Sox should help him creep back to the mean. Chicago sits last in runs scored, OBP, OPS, wOBA, and xwOBA, with Bello entering this matchup as a -230 favorite!!
MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks
St. Louis Cardinals (vs. Ryan Feltner)
To say Colorado’s pitching staff has been bad would be an understatement, with the Rockies ranked last in ERA and WHIP. Feltner has done his job to help those awful averages, with the righty registering a 6.11 career ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He’s also allowed at least five runs in four of his last six starts, which is scary since St. Louis has scored at least four runs in four of their last six outings.
Chicago looks like a Triple-A team, with Nastrini looking like a Triple-A arm. The righty has yet to throw a quality start, posting a 9.74 ERA and 2.07 WHIP. It’s hard to believe that a pitcher with averages like those is still in the rotation, and he’ll surely struggle with the Red Sox. Boston is averaging 5.8 runs across their last six outings and is projected to score nearly five runs in this game.
MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs
- Devers got off to a slow start, but this third baseman has been raking since then. The slugger has three homers over his last four games while providing a .395 OBP and 1.068 OPS across his last 39 outings. He’s also rocked right-handers, registering a 1.056 OPS against them this season. That certainly won’t bode well for a guy like Nastrini.
- Nobody is considering Yelich for NL MVP, but this guy is quietly having an incredible season for the best team in the NL Central. The outfielder has a .390 OBP and .905 OPS this year, recording six homers and eight steals across just 36 games. He also gets the platoon advantage against Casey Mize, who has a 4.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.
- Gorman has the most home runs in baseball over the last three weeks, totaling a .407 OBP and 1.167 OPS across his last 22 games. We’ve seen this slugger go on stretches like that in the past, and he shouldn’t have any issues against a righty with an ERA north of 6.00.
MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts
- Goldy was one of the worst hitters through the opening month, but the All-Star is slowly turning his season around. Goldschmidt has a 23-game on-base streak, sporting a .815 OPS in that span. That means we must use him in this St. Louis stack, especially since this stud has a .385 career OBP and .899 OPS.
- Duran has been Boston’s everyday leadoff hitter, and that alone makes him a sexy pick in this Red Sox stack. He’s earned it with his speed, recording 35 steals since the start of last season. He’s also paired that with some sneaky power, homering in back-to-back games while scoring over 30 FanDuel points in both of those! Not to mention, he has a .893 OPS against righties this year!
- We rarely recommend a catcher, but Jeffers has been a stud for the Twins. He’s got a .840 OPS this year, which is no surprise since he had an .859 OPS last season. We don’t have an opposition yet, but any call-up for Pittsburgh will be a profitable matchup for Jeffers.
- Duvall has always been a masher whenever he faces a lefty, and he’s been moved up to the five-hole in the absence of Ronald Acuna. It’s not difficult to understand why, with Duvall donning a .400 OBP and 1.038 OPS against lefties this year. This is one he can exploit, with MacKenzie Gore maintaining a 1.37 WHIP.
Xxday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props
Feltner has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball, and it would take a heck of an effort to reach five Ks. He’s has four or fewer strikeouts in seven of his last eight outings, never surpassing six in that span!
This guy has an OBP north of .400 over the last month, including extra-base hits in many of those. Yelich should be able to clear this total against a pitcher like Mize.
Hunter Brown: 5.0 Strikeouts – Higher
Brown has been much better recently, posting a 3.62 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 10.0 K/9 rate across his last six starts. More importantly, he’s recorded at least five strikeouts in seven of his last eight starts and shouldn’t struggle with this shorthanded LA team.
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Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.
