MLB DFS Picks & Player Prop Bets: Saturday (6/29)

There are a few morning games, but we will focus on everything after that. Almost all games start at 4 ET or later, and there are some fascinating matchups to dissect. We’re hitting the halfway point for many teams on this slate, and it’s wild to think we’re that deep into the season.

With that in mind, let’s dive into this Saturday slate! Here are our top MLB DFS picks and player prop bet predictions for Saturday’s slate of baseball games.

• Weekly Trade Value Chart
• Weekly Waiver Wire Advice
• Weekly Fantasy Baseball Content
• Dynasty Fantasy Baseball Trade Value Chart
• MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet

Saturday’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks

Saturday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings

Tyler Glasnow (LAD) at SF
Glasnow could be in line for some NL Cy Young votes, generating a 2.88 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 12.2 K/9 rate. Averages like those are hard to understand, especially since Glasnow has 58 FanDuel points in back-to-back starts. Facing a 19th-ranked San Fran lineup in one of the most spacious ballparks only adds to Glasnow’s intrigue because the Giants are only projected to score three runs! In their two matchups since the start of last season, TG has 40 and 46 FD points.

Aaron Nola (PHI) vs. MIA
Nola has been one of the best pitchers in the NL, posting a 9-3 record behind his 3.39 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. One eight-run stinker two weeks ago is the only thing holding him back from having Cy Young numbers. In addition, Nola has scored at least 26 FanDuel points in all but three starts. He shouldn’t have any issues reaching that against Miami, ranked 29th in runs scored, OBP, OPS, and xwOBA. That’s why he’s a -250 favorite!

Reese Olson (DET) at LAA
Olson allowed nearly 20 runs in one nightmarish three-start stretch but has been unstoppable outside of that. The righty has allowed two runs or fewer in 11 of his other 12 starts, registering a 1.55 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in that span. That has this guy as one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball, and we’re not worried about a matchup with LA. The Angels are missing Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon, sitting 24th in OBP and 25th in runs scored.

Griffin Canning (LAA) vs. DET
The season-long numbers from Canning are concerning, but this guy is starting to find it. The Angels arm is coming off a season-high 43 FanDuel points in his most recent outing, providing a 3.38 ERA and 1.23 WHIP across his last 10 starts. You can’t ask for any more from such an affordable player, especially in a matchup like this. The Motor City Kitties rank 23rd in K rate, 27th in OBP, and 26th in wOBA.

MLB DFS Picks: Suggested Lineup Stacks

Philadelphia Phillies (vs. Roddery Munoz)

• Home (Citizens Bank Ballpark)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/PHI -245

The Phillies have a Top 5 offense in every metric and are even more dangerous in a hitter’s haven like Citizens Bank Ballpark. We’d use them against anyone, but Munoz might get mauled here. The Marlins righty has a 5.80 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, with Philly projected to score over five runs.

Houston Astros (vs. Tylor Megill)

• Road (Citi Field)
• Game Total/Moneyline: 8.5 Runs/HOU -125

Megill got off to a good start, but he hasn’t looked right all month. The Mets righty has only one quality start all season, collecting a 7.64 ERA and 1.81 WHIP across his last eight starts. That’s scary since Houston is starting to get hot, averaging 6.5 runs per game in their seven-game winning streak.

MLB DFS Picks: Core Studs

• This might be the only chance anyone in the NL has to win MVP when Shohei returns to pitching next season, but he might grab it this year anyway. The MVP candidate has 25 homers, 16 steals, 61 runs scored, and 65 RBI en route to a .402 OBP and 1.045 OPS. That’s even more terrifying when looking at his recent form, registering a .563 OBP and 1.757 OPS across his last 10 outings.
• With Kyle Tucker sidelined, Alvarez has taken over this Astros offense. The big man has never finished below a .875 OPS, and his hot month has him back to that fantastic floor. The DH has a .413 OBP and 1.058 OPS across his last 31 games. He’s also got an OPS north of .900 against righties throughout his career, and we’re not worried about a matchup with a struggling Megill.
• Marte has quietly had an amazing season in Arizona, but DFS people know how special he can be against southpaws. The second baseman has a .378 OBP and 1.073 OPS against lefties this season. He’s been doing that for years, and we love it since Marte has a .417 OBP and 1.045 OPS over his last 25 games. A guy like Hogan Harris won’t slow him down, sporting a 5.53 carer ERA.
• With Harper and Schwarber both sidelined, Turner needs to carry this offense. The All-Star can do just that, totaling a .385 OBP and .843 OPS this season. He’s also among the best base stealers out there and should continue to thrive since he has three doubles over the last two games!

MLB DFS Picks: Value Plays/Punts

• Castellanos got off to a terrible start this season, but he’s hitting much better right now. The outfielder has a .419 OBP and 1.040 OPS across his last 10 outings. That’s what we’ve become accustomed to, and he should get a bump in the batting order with the two studs sidelined.
• Bregman got off to a slow start this season, but the former All-Star is finally hot. The third baseman has a .400 OBP and .984 OPS across his last 26 outings. That’s all we’ve been waiting to see from this perennial .800-OPS player, and he’s still too cheap after such a slow start.
• Winker has quietly had a wonderful season in Washington, but people forget how good this guy was early in his career. The outfielder had a .385 OBP and .888 OPS through his first five seasons and has bounced back with a .378 OBP and .792 OPS this year. He’s also been much better with the platoon advantage in his favor and should have success against Aaron Civale‘s 5.20 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
• O’Hearn always bats in the heart of the O’s order when they face a righty, and that might be the best spot in baseball right now. He’s earned it when evaluating his sensational splits, tallying a .357 OBP and .846 OPS against righties this year. Michael Lorenzen has had a solid season, but no one is safe from this bludgeoning Baltimore lineup.

Saturday’s Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props

Jonathan Cannon: 4.5 Strikeouts – Higher

Cannon was clobbered in his most recent outing but had at least four strikeouts in his previous five starts. We love that since Colorado ranks 28th in xwOBA and K rate.

Aaron Civale: 15.5 Outs Recorded – Higher

Civale has been much better recently, throwing at least five innings in seven of his last eight starts. He’s also got a 4.02 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in that span, facing a 24th-ranked Washington offense here.

Reese Olson: 17.5 Outs Recorded – Higher

If you remove that ugly three-game stretch, Olson has cleared this prop in seven of his last 10 starts. He also has an ERA below 2.00 in those games and should cruise through this lackluster LA lineup.

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio

Joel Bartilotta is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @Bartilottajoel.