As the NFL offseason gets ready for a lull in headlines and news, best ball drafts continue to press ahead full steam, and as per usual, there are players who look both overvalued and undervalued. These are some of the standout best fantasy football draft values on FFPC right now.
- 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Fantasy Football Draft Values: FFPC
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) – ADP 40.9
On FFPC, Deebo Samuel is currently the WR18, lower than every other major best ball site with Samuel going as WR14 on Underdog and WR17 on DraftKings. On both of those platforms, Samuel is firmly entrenched as a top-25 pick, yet on FFPC, Samuel is available at pick 40. FFPC is a much hungrier platform for running backs compared to many other best ball sites and with the additional 0.5 PPR points per tight end catch, it also pushes up tight ends much higher. On FFPC, that sees five tight ends selected ahead of Samuel compared to DraftKings where only Travis Kelce is selected ahead of Samuel and on Underdog where no tight ends are selected till 10 picks after Samuel’s ADP. Samuel is being drafted behind Brandon Aiyuk, despite the fact that in 2023, Aiyuk managed only four top-twenty weekly finishes, was held below 80 receiving yards on eight occasions, didn’t score touchdowns in 60% of his games and finished as WR30 or worse on six occasions. Meanwhile, Samuel had eight top-20 finishes, matched Aiyuk with eight games below 80 yards and only failed to score touchdowns in 43% of his games. Samuel is more productive, more diverse and wins in ways integral to the 49ers’ scheme.
Curtis Samuel (WR – BUF) – ADP 137.3
On Underdog, you will see Curtis Samuel being drafted inside the top-100 at pick 97 overall and DraftKings isn’t far behind with Samuel selected at pick 103. Meanwhile, on FFPC, Samuel goes at the 137th pick; three full rounds later. The last time Curtis Samuel played for offensive coordinator Joe Brady, he had 97 targets, 77 receptions and 851 yards in 2020. Samuel provides the Bills with versatility; playing on both the perimeter and in the slot, as well as bringing more burst than the team possessed in 2023. He’s a very tasty value here.
DeAndre Hopkins (WR – TEN) – ADP 101.9
Before we look at where DeAndre Hopkins is currently being drafted, it might be worth considering why Calvin Ridley is being drafted ahead of DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins outproduced Ridley in a number of key stats last year and has an existing connection with Will Levis, compared to Ridley who will be playing with a new quarterback for the second time in two years. Hopkins is drafted 26 spots earlier on Draftkings and 29 earlier on Underdog. If you’ve used earlier picks on tight ends in this tight end premium format, then getting a high-ceiling player like Hopkins in the late-90s to early triple-digit picks is a smash.
Calvin Ridley and DeAndre Hopkins had an identical 126 targets each last year, but Hopkins outdid Ridley in a number of key stats
Yards/Route 2.1 vs 1.5
Yards/Rec 14.9 vs 13.0
Receiving EPA 29.5 vs 25.3
Yards/gm 63.8 vs 58.3
Points/touch 2.9/2.6Hopkins at his ADP is a smash.
— Tom Strachan (@NFL_TStrack) June 11, 2024
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX) – ADP 121.9
Reports this week out of Jaguars organized team activities (OTAs) said that the rookie Brian Thomas Jr. will take over the role of Calvin Ridley in this offense and it makes the most sense with Thomas being an excellent downfield deep threat with fantastic speed and size. The Jaguars don’t diversify their pass catchers roles very well but they do have a good quarterback and a friendly schedule; the eighth-friendliest for wide receivers according to our strength of schedule projections. On Underdog & DraftKings, Thomas is firmly a top-85 pick, going as the WR45 on Draftkings and WR42 on Underdog. Whatever way we look at Thomas, this is a cheaper price and one we should be happy to pay for.
*Brian Thomas will be in the role vacated by Calvin Ridley"
The role….
1800-plus air yards
23% target share
36% air yards share
NFL leader in end zone targets
WR10 expected points per game.Don't get caught sleeping ???? on the 23rd overall pick https://t.co/jwfhYW33TN
— Andrew Erickson™ (@AndrewErickson_) June 11, 2024
Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) – ADP 109.8
The disparity between Rome Odunze’s ADP on FFPC and the other top platforms is shocking, to say the least. On Underdog, Odunze is drafted at pick 65 and at pick 77 on DraftKings. Meanwhile on FFPC, Odunze is available 32 picks later. Yes, tight ends and running backs are pushed up on FFPC, but an exciting rookie on an ascending offense should be one that we want to prioritize. DJ Moore has been an inconsistent player throughout his career and Keenan Allen‘s hamstrings aren’t the most reliable. Grabbing Odunze as your WR4 or WR5 on your roster could supercharge your team in the back half of the season.
Late-Round Dart-Throws
Hayden Hurst (TE – LAC) – ADP 280.7
In this tight end-hungry format, it’s a little surprising to see the Chargers’ potential TE1 left undrafted more often than not. Yes, Hurst has been a disappointment throughout his career, but Greg Roman’s offenses tend to funnel targets to tight ends and at TE36 it’s an okay last-round dart throw.
Greg Dortch (WR – ARI) – ADP 333.2
In full PPR formats, there are worse dart throws than a slot receiver like Greg Dortch who has a knack for earning targets with 105 over his last 32 games in Arizona. Dortch is at the very end of drafts on both DraftKings and Underdog, but on FFPC, going this late means falling out of drafts completely at times. Dortch has a chance to play consistently this year with Kyler Murray healthy and Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride drawing coverage. Dortch might not be the sexiest pick, but at this cost, even two spike weeks would be a return on investment.
Josh Reynolds (WR – DEN) – ADP 339.1
Much like Greg Dortch, Reynolds has been undrafted in many drafts. While he’s by no means a high-ceiling player, he is a reliable set of hands who has had eight top-30 weekly finishes in the last two seasons combined. Denver lacks pass-catchers outside of Courtland Sutton, who is no lock to be wearing orange in September, despite the Broncos trading Jerry Jeudy already. Sean Payton consistently shows loyalty to players he’s signed or brought with him and it’s hard not to imagine Reynolds having some usable weeks in 2024. At this price, Reynolds can be mixed in as an end-of-roster play to give your wide receiver room depth.
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