Fantasy baseball managers are always looking for an edge in their leagues, and one strategy that can pay off is buying low on struggling players and selling high on those who have exceeded expectations. Below, our featured experts look closely at some players they’re targeting for these trades. They have closely monitored the latest player trends and performance metrics to identify key players you should consider buying low and selling high to maximize your roster’s potential.
By leveraging our exclusive trade analyzer and relying on advanced metrics, comprehensive player rankings, and player projections, our experts have determined which players you should target in trades and which ones you should look to move. So, whether you need a roster shake-up or simply want to capitalize on a player’s hot streak, this article is here to guide you through the process.
Let’s examine these trade recommendations, analyzing the rationale behind each move and providing you with actionable advice to help you dominate your league. Don’t forget to check out our other fantasy baseball resources to help you stay ahead of the competition all season long. Happy trading!
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Fantasy Baseball Buy Low/Sell High
What one MLB player are you trying to buy low right now and why? Also, who would you try to get in return?
George Springer (OF – TOR) | Paul Goldschmidt (1B – STL)
“I’d buy low on George Springer or possibly even Paul Goldschmidt. Springer has been so bad you could probably get him for next to nothing, and Goldy hasn’t been much better. They still possess name value, so they won’t come free, but after such a bad first half, there’s nowhere to go but up. Goldschmidt is a notoriously slow starter, and if they turn it around in the second half, you’ll obtain great value. Age is a factor, but I’d be willing to take the gamble trading someone like Matt Waldon for Springer or Zack Eflin for Goldschmidt. ”
– Austin Lowell (Fantasy Baseball By The Numbers)
Michael Harris (OF – ATL)
“I’m not the biggest Michael Harris guy compared to my colleagues, but he’s far better than the .186 BA and .498 OPS he’s posted over the last two weeks. With Ronald Acuna out, the Braves have no choice but to let Harris play his way out of this slump. His XBA is .270, so Harris should come around, and his bat speed and hard-hit % are all above average. Now is a nice time to get him on the cheap for a back-of-the-rotation arm or an overachiever. ”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)
Francisco Lindor (SS – NYM)
“Now that we’re midway through June, I am circling back on Francisco Lindor. Lindor has better second-half numbers throughout his career, including a 28-point bump in his batting average. His expected stats support the idea that we will see a similar bump as the weather heats up. His xSLG (.492) is 90 points higher than his current, and his xwOBA and xBA are in similar states. Lindor’s BABIP is currently at .245, well below his career average of .289. Overall, if you need MI help, it’s worth the gamble that the 30-year-old will somewhat return to form, especially if MLB decides to change the ball midseason again. I would send out feelers on a pitcher like Reynaldo Lopez to start the conversation.”
– Kelly Kirby (FantasyPros)
Pablo Lopez (SP – MIN)
“Throughout this season, I’ve been looking to buy low on hitters. The environment is just so strange right now: pitchers are performing well seemingly across the board, while swarms of usually reliable hitters continue to struggle into the middle of June. This week, however, I’m looking to buy low on Pablo Lopez. The case his fairly simple: the ERA his bad and he’s allowed at least 6 ER in three of his last four starts, but most of the underlying numbers are fine/good. His swinging strike rate is down, but his strikeout percentage is still solid and is above his career average. We could go deeper, but you get the point: he’s a good pitcher who hit a rough patch. That has inflated his overall numbers despite promising underlying metrics, meaning there is a small buy low window here. Go out and get Lopez. Take the Lopez manager’s temperature and see what the price is. If they want a Top 25 hitter for him, then maybe it isn’t worth it. But if they start getting into th Manny Machado or Oneil Cruz tier, then we’re talking.”
– Mike Maher (FantasyPros)
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Fantasy Baseball Sell High Targets
What one MLB player are you trying to sell high right now and why? Also, who would you try to get in return?
Jurickson Profar (OF – SD)
“I’m selling high on Jurickson Profar. He’s been phenomenal this year, and his Statcast numbers back it up, but I just don’t see this level of production continuing throughout the second half. He’s a fourth outfielder in my mind, and I’d sell him as soon as possible while he is peaking. I’d target an underachiever like Nick Castellanos or even Nolan Arenado and hope some disgruntled owner is fed up and willing to part with them.”
– Austin Lowell (Fantasy Baseball By The Numbers)
Gavin Stone (SP – LAD)
“Gavin Stone has given you more than you could have hoped for this season. With Clayton Kershaw and Bobby Miller working their way back, Stone could get squeezed out of the rotation in the weeks ahead. Over his last three starts, Stone has a 1.02 ERA and 3 wins to show for it. This is his peak value, so sell before the rumblings begin of him losing his spot to a bigger name with a bigger salary. Don’t be sad because it’s over, smile because he gave you 7 wins and a sub 3 ERA.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)
Jared Jones (SP – PIT)
“In redraft leagues only, I would shop Jared Jones around to see what level of hitter I could obtain for his services. Jones is an incredible talent, but pitching is deep, and if my conspiracy theory regarding the potential change in baseballs comes true, now is the time to unload. The 22-year-old rookie’s past few starts have had mixed results. He ratcheted up the intensity in the showdown with the Dodgers, but that is the only game in his last four that he struck out a batter per inning. After beginning his career with five straight 7+ strikeout games, he has only had three such starts in his last eight. Chances are good that the Pirates will shut him down at some point, but he still has some value. If I could nab someone in the Vladimir Guerrero Jr. tier, I’d be happy with that result.”
– Kelly Kirby (FantasyPros)
Carlos Rodon (SP – NYY)
“The better Carlos Rodon pitches, the more he becomes a sell high for me. His ERA is now below 3.00, but most of his expected ERA numbers are north of 4.00. He’s been on an absolute heater lately and has been looking like 2021-2022 Carlos Rodon and not 2023 Carlos Rodon, minus the strikeouts. But there are enough red flags here to make me lean sell high over hold. His average exit velocity, barrel %, and hard hit % are all 27th percentile or worse, while his chase, whiff, and strikeout numbers are all pedestrian. And that’s without factoring in the injury history and the fact that he threw just 64 1/3 innings last year and is already at 80 this season. He appears to have undergone a mini transformation where he is leaning into soft contact instead of strikeouts, which might be by necessity more than desire. That also means either regression or bad luck could be right around the corner. I’d aim high for Alec Bohm, Jarren Duran, or Trea Turner but settle for a package that includes Jordan Westburg, Ha-Seong Kim, and/or Luis Arraez if I can swing it.”
– Mike Maher (FantasyPros)
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