Dynasty Trade Advice: Keenan Allen, David Montgomery, Josh Jacobs, Aaron Jones

Several factors go into building a consistently elite dynasty fantasy football team. One of those is identifying the top player on every NFL team. Another is knowing which players you should trade away before their fantasy value decreases. All of this boils down to your dynasty trade strategy.

Typically, the starting quarterback is the top dynasty asset on every NFL team in superflex leagues. However, they are rarely the top asset in 1QB leagues. To help you build the best dynasty fantasy football team possible, I will identify the top dynasty asset and sell candidates for every NFL team.

Today, I break down the NFC North teams. Here’s my dynasty trade advice for the NFC North.

Dynasty Trade Advice: NFC North

Keenan Allen (WR – CHI)

While Allen was the WR3 in half-point PPR scoring on a points-per-game basis in 2023, fantasy players need to trade him away before Week 1. The veteran is a volume-based receiver, averaging 9.4 targets per game in his career. Unfortunately, he won’t see the same target share in Chicago. Furthermore, Allen will be a nearly 33-year-old free agent after the upcoming season and likely won’t be back with the Bears after they drafted Rome Odunze. More importantly, he has missed 11 games over the past two years because of injuries.

David Montgomery (RB – DET)

Last year, Montgomery was the RB13, averaging 14.2 half-point PPR fantasy points per game despite Jahmyr Gibbs having a top-10 finish. Yet, fantasy players should explore the trade market for the veteran running back. Montgomery’s role on offense declined in the second part of last season. He averaged 16.8 rushing attempts per game over his first nine contests. By comparison, the veteran averaged 13.6 rushing attempts per game over the final five contests, a 19% decline. His role on offense will continue to shrink as Gibbs’ workload grows.

Josh Jacobs (RB – GB)

Jacobs signed a massive four-year deal with the Packers in free agency, improving his perceived dynasty value. However, Green Bay can easily get out of his contract after the upcoming season. The veteran running back was outstanding in 2022 but severely regressed last year, seeing his yards per rushing attempt decline by 29%, his explosive run rate slip by 52%, and his yards after contact per attempt drop by 29% (per Fantasy Points Data). Don’t be surprised if MarShawn Lloyd replaces Jacobs as the team’s starting running back by Thanksgiving.

Aaron Jones (RB – MIN)

Fantasy players loved what Jones did during the playoffs. The veteran was the RB2 in the postseason on a points-per-game basis, averaging 113 rushing yards, 1.5 touchdowns, and 23.4 half-point PPR fantasy points per contest against two talented defenses. However, he struggled with injuries during the regular season, missing six games and leaving others early. Furthermore, Jones set career lows in yards per rushing attempt (4.5) and breakaway run rate (18.6%), per PFF. The veteran turns 30 in December and is on a one-year contract, making him a must-sell candidate.