There are baseball games throughout the day, but the focus of this piece will be the seven-game slate at DraftKings and FanDuel, starting at 6:35 p.m. ET. PrizePicks and Underdog also have intriguing pick ’em choices for the medium-sized slate.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Wednesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) at ARI
Yoshinobu Yamamoto was dreadful in his MLB debut in Korea. However, he's been nearly flawless since. According to FanGraphs, in five subsequent starts spanning 27.0 innings, Yamamoto has a 2.00 ERA, 2.52 SIERA, 0.93 WHIP, 4.7 BB%, 32.7 K%, 35.5 CSW%, 106 Stuff+, 107 Location+ and 110 Pitching+. Those are ace-caliber marks.
He has a good matchup tonight. The Diamondbacks are 26th in wRC+ (83) against right-handed pitchers this season. The betting info isn't perfect. Nevertheless, the Dodgers are -138, albeit with a suboptimal total of 9.5 runs.
Justin Verlander (HOU) vs. CLE
Justin Verlander has pitched in two games this season. The veteran righty's 1.74 ERA was much better than his 4.46 xERA and 3.74 SIERA. However, Verlander has a DFS-friendly 26.8 K% and superb pitch modeling. This season, he has 123 Pitching+, 100 Location+ and 102 Pitching+.
Verlander's matchup tonight is midpack, and the betting info is rock-solid. The Guardians are 17th in wRC+ (99) against righties and tied for 16th in wRC+ (94) on the road this season. In addition, the Astros are -172, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Jose Butto (NYM) vs. CHC
Jose Butto is outkicking his ERA estimators, but he frequently did the same in the upper minors. Thus, it might not be a complete fluke. In four starts spanning 22.0 innings this year, Butto has a 2.86 ERA, 4.80 xERA, 4.06 SIERA, 1.09 WHIP, 13.3 BB%, 27.8 K% and 26.8 CSW%.
Butto can keep overperforming tonight in a good matchup. The Cubs are 21st in wRC+ (94) and have a 23.8 K% against righties this season. Moreover, Chicago is 25th in wRC+ (83) and has a 22.8 K% on the road this year. Finally, while the Mets are slight underdogs (-105), the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Orioles have a powerhouse offense. This season, Baltimore is fifth in wRC+ (115) against righties and tied for fourth in wRC+ (122) at home. Furthermore, all the projected starters have had at least a 102 wRC+ against righties since 2021, and six have had at least a 110 wRC+. Their upside is immense against a pitcher with lousy control. Luis Gil has a 17.6 BB% this season. The Orioles can light him up if he's not sharp.
Core Studs
- In 640 career plate appearances against righties, Gunnar Henderson has hit 36 homers with a .341 OBP, .274 ISO and 145 wRC+.
- Adley Rutschman has crushed righties at home. In 436 career plate appearances against righties at home, the switch-hitting catcher has hit 16 homers with a .388 OBP, .184 ISO and 149 wRC+.
- Luis Arraez has had a .386 OBP and 131 wRC+ against righties since 2021. Meanwhile, lefties have had a .368 wOBA against Dakota Hudson since last season.
Value Plays/Punts
- In 283 plate appearances against lefties since 2021, Nick Senzel has hit 12 homers with a .343 OBP, .181 ISO and 118 wRC+. Additionally, in 47 plate appearances this season, Senzel has hit five homers with a .283 OBP, .381 ISO and 135 wRC+.
- LaMonte Wade has had a .360 OBP, .196 ISO and 127 wRC+ against righties since 2021.
- In 453 career plate appearances against righties at home, Jesus Sanchez has hit 19 homers with a .342 OBP, .237 ISO and 126 wRC+. He's an acceptable selection at FD but was included with usage in DK in mind.
Wednesday's Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Gunnar Henderson: 9.0 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog Fantasy)
Gunnar Henderson: 8.0 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)
Henderson destroys righties. He's also having an excellent season. In 132 plate appearances this year, Henderson has hit 10 homers and stolen six bases with a .356 OBP, .333 ISO and 175 wRC+.
Kyle Tucker: 8.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog Fantasy)
Kyle Tucker: 7.5 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)
In 604 plate appearances at home against righties since 2021, Kyle Tucker has had a .346 OBP, .171 ISO and 118 wRC+. More impressively, in 132 plate appearances this season, Tucker has hit seven homers and stolen five bases with a .412 OBP, .255 ISO and 176 wRC+. Meanwhile, since last season, Triston McKenzie has ceded a .328 wOBA to lefties.
Roddery Munoz: 4.5 Strikeouts - Lower/Less
The Rockies are a favorable matchup for pitchers away from hitter-friendly Coors Field. Nevertheless, Roddery Munoz probably isn't talented enough to take advantage of the cushy matchup. In four Triple-A appearances (three starts) spanning 15.2 innings this season, Munoz has an 8.62 ERA, 8.41 xFIP, 1.79 WHIP, 18.2 BB%, 11.7 K% and 6.2 SwStr%.
Yes, he struck out seven batters in 5.0 innings in his first MLB start on April 20. However, Munoz's lackluster minor league numbers were a larger sample. Additionally, he threw only 77 pitches in his big-league debut. As a result, Munoz is on the PrizePicks Cheat Sheet and the Underdog Cheat Sheet, projecting to strike out only 3.9 batters tonight.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.