Tonight’s MLB DFS main slate at DraftKings and FanDuel has 10 games starting at 7:20 p.m. ET. There are many pick ’em options at PrizePicks and Underdog on the large slate. Here are my top MLB DFS picks and player prop predictions for PrizePicks and Underdog.
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Today’s MLB DFS & Player Props Picks
Tuesday’s Starting Pitcher Rankings
Kevin Gausman (TOR) at CWS
Kevin Gausman has righted the ship after a dreadful beginning of the season. According to FanGraphs, in his last five starts spanning 27.1 innings, he's had a 3.62 ERA, 2.82 SIERA, 1.32 WHIP, 6.1 BB%, 30.7 K%, 29.9 CSW%, 90 Stuff+, 105 Location+ and 103 Pitching+. Gausman has had back-to-back quality starts and four in his previous six turns.
Gausman has a cupcake to feast on tonight. This season, the White Sox are 30th in wRC+ (74) against righties with a 23.2 K% and tied for 29th in wRC+ (77) with a 22.2 K% at home. They were also tied for 25th in wRC+ (77) with a 24.4 K% in the previous 14 days. Thus, the Blue Jays are -220, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Max Fried (ATL) vs. WAS
Max Fried spun a complete game in his last start, his second in his past six games. The lefty has piled up innings lately, spinning at least 7.0 in three of his previous four starts. In Fried's five most recent starts spanning 33.1 innings, he's had a 2.16 ERA, 3.36 SIERA, 0.81 WHIP, 8.7 BB%, 23.8 K%, 27.3 CSW%, 100 Stuff+, 98 Location+ and 101 Pitching+.
Fried has a DFS-friendly matchup and excellent betting info tonight. This year, the Nationals are 27th in wRC+ (78) with a 22.2 K% versus lefties and 25th in wRC+ (86) with a 22.2 K% on the road. In addition, they were 29th in wRC+ (72) with 22.4 K% in the previous 14 days. The Braves are -250, and the game's total is 8.5 runs.
Jesus Luzardo (MIA) at SD
Jesus Luzardo has been locked in since returning from the Injured List (IL). In three starts since returning from the IL, Luzardo has had a 0.92 ERA, 2.90 SIERA, 0.66 WHIP, 1.4 BB%, 27.1 K%, 33.2 CSW%, 93 Stuff+, 103 Location+ and 106 Pitching in 19.2 innings. Furthermore, he's spun 14.0 scoreless innings in his last two starts.
Luzardo can cook in an average matchup. The Padres are 22nd in wRC+ (88) against lefties and tied for 13th in wRC+ (104) at home this year. They were also 14th in wRC+ (101) in the previous 14 days. The Marlins are slight underdogs (+105). Still, the game's total is a pitcher-friendly 7.5 runs.
Suggested Lineup Stacks
The Yankees have an elite offense. They're first in wRC+ (128) versus righties. They're also first in wRC+ (118). The Bronx Bombers aren't slowing down, either. They were first in wRC+ (139) in the previous 14 days.
The other shoe should drop for the lucky Griffin Canning. In his previous five starts, he had a 2.93 ERA. Yet, the righty's 5.49 xFIP and 5.70 SIERA were more representative of his work. New York's lefties can exploit his struggles against left-handed batters. Canning has coughed up a .399 wOBA to 132 lefties in 2024.
- Road (T-Mobile Park)
- Game Total/Moneyline: 7.5 Runs/HOU +110
The Astros are strictly a GPP stacking suggestion. Their betting info is lousy, the park factors in Seattle are pitcher-friendly, and the matchup is suboptimal. Nevertheless, Luis Castillo hasn't been flawless lately, contrary to his sparkling 2.35 ERA in his previous five starts. In those starts, Castillo had a 4.34 xFIP and 4.23 SIERA.
Houston's offense can punish him if he pitches to his recent peripherals. The Astros are tied for fourth in wRC+ (117) versus righties this season. They were also tied for fourth in wRC+ (125) in the previous 14 days. Houston probably won't be a popular stack tonight, enhancing the appeal of stacking them in GPPs.
Core Studs
- Juan Soto's first season in pinstripes is a smashing success so far. In 250 plate appearances in 2024, he has a .408 OBP, .262 ISO and 178 wRC+.
- Since 2021, Aaron Judge has had a .403 OBP, .324 ISO and 181 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers. He doesn't have the platoon advantage against Canning, but he doesn't need it.
- Since 2021, Alex Verdugo has had a .345 OBP, .169 ISO and 117 wRC+ against righties and can take advantage of Canning's inability to stymie lefties.
Value Plays/Punts
- Since 2021, J.P. Crawford has had a .356 OBP, .126 ISO and 115 wRC+ against righties. He also has a DFS-friendly lineup spot, sitting atop Seattle's batting order.
- Joey Ortiz is having a breakout campaign. In 150 plate appearances this season, he has a .376 OBP, .214 ISO and 147 wRC+.
- Kyle Manzardo had an underwhelming first taste of Triple-A in Tampa Bay's organization. However, he flipped the switch after joining Cleveland's organization. In 220 plate appearances in Triple-A with the Guardians, he hit 15 homers with a .364 OBP, .337 ISO and 137 wRC+. Equally important, Manzardo appears to have found his footing in the majors lately. He's punt-priced exposure to Coors Field.
Tuesday's Top 3 Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks Player Props
Check out our best picks on the MLB Underdog Cheat Sheet
Juan Soto: 9.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog Fantasy)
Juan Soto: 8.5 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)
In addition to Soto's excellent stats this season, he has a track record of pummeling righties. Since 2021, he's had a .445 OBP, .259 ISO and 173 wRC+. The matchup against Canning and the park factors at Angel Stadium are good, too. Angel Stadium has park factors of 1.031 for runs and 1.154 for homers.
Aaron Judge: 9.5 Fantasy Points - Higher (Underdog Fantasy)
Aaron Judge: 8.5 Fantasy Points - More (PrizePicks)
Judge can take advantage of Angel Stadium boosting bombs. Furthermore, he's locked in. In 104 plate appearances this month, Judge has had a .505 OBP, .556 ISO and 286 wRC+. Finally, Judge's over for fantasy points correlates with Soto's, increasing the appeal of using them together.
Josh Naylor: 1.5 Total Bases - Higher/More
Josh Naylor has a mouthwatering matchup in MLB's best hitting environment at Coors Field. Ryan Feltner has allowed a .295 batting average, .438 slugging, seven doubles and three homers to 120 lefties this season. Coors Field has left-handed-batter park factors of 1.167 for singles, 1.210 for doubles, 1.708 for triples and 1.092 for homers.
Of course, Naylor isn't a slouch at the dish, either. In 216 plate appearances this season, Naylor has hit eight doubles and 13 homers with a .229 batting average, .275 xBA, .479 slugging, .496 xSLG and .196 ISO. Finally, Naylor's over for 1.5 total bases is on the PrizePicks Cheat Sheet and the Underdog Cheat Sheet.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.