The 2024 NFL Draft is in the rearview mirror and dynasty rookie drafts are underway. While fantasy football redraft season is still a few months away, it’s never too early to look at early average draft position (ADP) numbers. Some players left the 2024 NFL Draft with their fantasy football value heading in the right direction. Unfortunately, other players saw their fantasy football value take a significant hit. Let’s look at eight veterans whose fantasy football ADP is rising or falling following the NFL Draft.
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Fantasy Football ADP Risers & Fallers
As you prepare for your redraft fantasy football leagues or take part in best ball drafts, let’s dive into players trending up and others losing value following the 2024 NFL Draft.
Fantasy Football ADP Risers
Unfortunately, the fantasy football community got less than four games from Richardson before a shoulder injury ended his rookie season. However, he is drooling with fantasy upside because of his rushing abilities. The former Florida star averaged 9.4 fantasy points per game with his legs as a rookie. Reportedly, Richardson feels 100%, while the Colts are more cautious. More importantly, Indianapolis improved its supporting cast during the NFL Draft, adding multiple wide receivers and offensive linemen, including second-round pick Adonai Mitchell.
Last year, White was the RB8, averaging 14.1 half-point PPR points per game during the four weeks as the starter, seeing at least 20 touches in every contest. While some thought the Raiders would add a running back early during the NFL Draft, the team waited until the sixth round to select Dylan Laube. Meanwhile, Alexander Mattison presents no threat to White’s starting role. Head coach Antonio Pierce’s goal is to run the ball and play defense, making White one of my must-have running backs in 2024.
Many called Pickens an offseason winner after the Steelers traded away Diontae Johnson. Instead of using an early draft pick on a wide receiver, Pittsburgh spent their top two selections to improve their offensive line. While they spent a third-round pick on Roman Wilson, he is the only offensive weapon the team drafted this year. Pickens was a top-20 wide receiver without Johnson in 2023 despite catching passes from Kenny Pickett. He has top-10 upside with Russell Wilson or Justin Fields under center.
The Bills entered the NFL Draft with a massive need at wide receiver. Buffalo ultimately made 10 picks this year but only spent one on a pass-catcher, using a second-round pick on Keon Coleman. Therefore, Kincaid could find himself in a Travis Kelce-like situation as the go-to target at tight end with limited options at wide receiver. Kincaid ranked 13th among tight ends in first-read target share in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data). He could end up ranking top-three this year and finish the season as the overall TE1.
ADP Fallers
Buffalo lost their top two wide receivers from last season, including Stefon Diggs. Yet, they traded back twice during the NFL Draft, allowing two teams to move up for a wide receiver. While the Bills selected Keon Coleman at the start of Day 2, the former Florida State star lacks the upside to be a go-to No. 1 wide receiver. Unfortunately, he was the only pass-catcher Buffalo drafted this year. While Allen is still an elite fantasy quarterback, he shouldn’t be the overall QB1 in any fantasy rankings or ADP.
Williams was the RB6 in half-PPR scoring last season despite missing five games. However, he led the NFL in rushing attempts per game (19) but wasn’t an efficient runner. Williams had a lower explosive run rate than Craig Reynolds and a worse yards after contact per attempt average than Samaje Perine in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data). He won’t see the volume needed to be a top-five running back after the Rams drafted Blake Corum and lacks the efficiency to make up for the decrease in touches.
NFL Draft weekend was full of trade rumors surrounding the 49ers. Brandon Aiyuk was potentially on his way out the door, making Samuel the clear-cut No. 1 pass-catcher in San Francisco. Reportedly, the 49ers explored trading the veteran receiver after failing to move Aiyuk on Day 1 of the NFL Draft. Instead, the team kept Aiyuk and Samuel while spending their first-round pick on Ricky Pearsall. Samuel went from possibly being Josh Allen’s No. 1 target to playing in an even more crowded receiver room in San Francisco.
Unfortunately, Mayer is a double loser coming out of the NFL Draft. Las Vegas was the favorite to draft Michael Penix Jr. Instead, they got shut out on the quarterback run, forcing them to stick with Aidan O’Connell and Gardner Minshew this year. More importantly, the Raiders drafted Brock Bowers with their first-round pick. While Bowers and Mayer are different types of tight ends, the rookie creates more competition for targets alongside Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers and Michael Gallup. Any hope of Mayer having a sophomore-year breakout is over.
More Fantasy Football Draft Advice
- Erickson’s Must-Have Best Ball Draft Targets (Premium)
- Fitz’s Must-Have Best Ball Draft Targets (Premium)
- DBro’s Must-Have Best Ball Draft Targets (Premium)
- Hoppen’s Must-Have Best Ball Draft Targets (Premium)
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.
