This week’s article features two lower-rostered buy-low hitters and one buy-low pitcher who could be a nice addition as the season continues. On the sell-high candidates, I have an exciting young hitter and a veteran hitter who isn’t even 30 yet. Below is this week’s fantasy baseball trade advice for buy-low and sell-high candidates.
- Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire Advice
- Fantasy Baseball Trade Advice
- Fantasy Baseball Start/Sit Lineup Advice
- MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet
Fantasy Baseball Trade Advice (Week 10)
Buy Low
At the end of April, I was concerned the Tigers might send Colt Keith back to the minors. For all of April, Keith hit .163, his slugging percentage was at .175 and he had zero home runs. In May, though, Keith is hitting .362, has a .500 slugging percentage and one home run. He will sit some against lefties, but if he can continue his turnaround, the Tigers could play him more regularly. Owners were expecting bigger things from Keith this season and could be looking to move on from him, maybe even in dynasty leagues. I don’t believe he’s a lost cause. Since he won’t cost much, I would be willing to make an offer.
Jake Meyers’ Statcast page has a lot to like. His strikeout rate is below 20%, his hard-hit rate is over 40% and his expected batting average is .300. With the weak outfield position this year, Meyers could be obtained at a low cost. He’s even available on the waiver wire in some leagues. Chas McCormick is back from the injured list (IL) but because he has struggled, Meyers looks to be the everyday starting CF with his current hitting. I would guess Meyers will be much more coveted in about a month, so I would get in line now and obtain him at a reduced price.
Brandon Pfaadt is rostered in around 60% of leagues. Starting pitching is hard to come by and although Pfaadt isn’t in the top tier of starting pitchers, he could be a solid addition to your staff. In his last five starts, he has pitched at least six innings and hasn’t surrendered more than three earned runs. He has a 4.06 ERA and a WHIP of 1.07. His ground ball rate is just below 40%. One stat I like for Pfaadt is that he throws over 67% of his pitches for first-pitch strikes. Over 92% of first-pitch strikes lead to an out. The MLB average for pitchers throwing first-pitch strikes is 57%. Pfaadt pitches for a good team and there is no reason to believe he will lose a rotation spot. He will cost more than the previous two buy-low options, but a starting pitcher with an expected 3.00 ERA could help any fantasy team.
Sell High
Tyler Anderson has won three straight games. He has pitched seven or more innings in five of his 10 games this season. Only once has he pitched fewer than five innings. He has a 2.52 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. He is getting over a 30% chase rate as well. These are not bad stats, but I don’t expect the rest of the season to be so kind. His expected ERA is 4.61. Anderson has a strikeout rate under 20% and a 9% walk rate. He also pitches for the Angels, so I imagine run support will be hard to come by. Some owners might think Anderson will repeat his year with Dodgers in 2022 where he finished with a 15-5 record and a 2.57 ERA. If an owner in your league believes in those numbers repeating for Anderson this year, then I would gladly make an offer.
Carlos Correa is hitting .269 on the season. If you look at his Statcast page, it’s all red. Only his strikeout rate, which is just over 20%, is in the blue. Correa has dropped in drafts for the past few seasons and the expectations for his fantasy production have dropped. If you have Correa as your starter, you might not be in a position to move him, but if you’re depending on him, I would look at moving him. Injury concerns still linger and the days of a .300 batting average with double-digit steals are long gone. He currently has four home runs and while 20 home runs isn’t impossible, he won’t hit many more than that. He has decent value now. Look to capitalize on that.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is hitting .263, with eight home runs and 10 stolen bases. He has never hit over 20 home runs. If he stays healthy, he might be able to reach that milestone. The problem is whether or not he can stay healthy. Chisholm hasn’t played in over 100 games since 2021. He also doesn’t play in the best lineup possible. Perhaps he could be moved but we can’t assume he will or if a move would even be beneficial. His expected batting average is .242 and he has a high chase rate over 30% with a mid-20 % strikeout rate. Chisholm is only 26 and I wouldn’t blame you for not wanting to move him. He is on a six-game hitting streak and has played injury-free this season. I’m just concerned that could change and he could have yet another repeat ‘what could’ve been’ season.
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