Fantasy baseball managers are always looking for an edge in their leagues, and one strategy that can pay off is buying low on struggling players and selling high on those who have exceeded expectations. Below, our featured experts look closely at some players they’re targeting for these trades. They have closely monitored the latest player trends and performance metrics to identify key players you should consider buying low and selling high to maximize your roster’s potential.

By leveraging our exclusive trade analyzer and relying on advanced metrics, comprehensive player rankings, and player projections, our experts have determined which players you should target in trades and which ones you should look to move. So, whether you need a roster shake-up or simply want to capitalize on a player’s hot streak, this article is here to guide you through the process.

Let’s examine these trade recommendations, analyzing the rationale behind each move and providing you with actionable advice to help you dominate your league. Don’t forget to check out our other fantasy baseball resources to help you stay ahead of the competition all season long. Happy trading!

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What one MLB player are you trying to buy low and why? Also, who are you willing to give up for him?

Austin Riley (3B – ATL)

“I’m looking to buy low on Austin Riley. He’s batting .225 with only two home runs and 14 RBI in 27 games. In each of the past three seasons, he has had 33+ home runs, 90+ runs and 90+ RBI. A couple of players on the Atlanta Braves have started slow, and it shouldn’t be long before they heat up. Riley still ranks in the 80th percentile in average exit velocity and in the 93rd in max exit velocity. He’s always going to strike out about a quarter of the time, but the power remains elite. I’d like to buy as low as I can, but I’d be willing to give up Spencer Steer or Isaac Parades who have been better at the position.”
– Chase Davis (FantasyPros)

Aaron Civale (SP – TB)

“Aaron Civale has a 5.00 ERA, but his xERA is 3.21. Tampa’s offense will eventually improve as Randy Arozarena gets hot, Junior Caminero gets called up and Brandon Lowe hopefully returns. Civale’s 9.56 K/9 is right where you want it to be, and he has a favorable home ballpark factor. Trade away an overperforming hitter like Jurickson Profar for him.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)

Julio Rodriguez (OF – SEA)

“Julio Rodriguez is stuck on one home run and has just 11 RBI so far. He produces in streaks and bunches, and you have to take the shot to get him before the next statistical binge begins. You may be able to part with a starting pitcher, especially when targeting a trade partner who may have lost a starter. Consider dealing Tyler Glasnow before he potentially misses time again, or package the likes of Luis Castillo, who has been inconsistent, with another player.”
– Scott Engel (RotoBaller)

Lars Nootbaar (OF – STL)

“This might be the most boring buy-low choice in the history of this series, but I think you can get Lars Nootbaar for practically nothing right now. He’s available in more than 60% of Yahoo leagues right now, in part because he started the season on the IL and in part because he’s been pretty bad since returning. But as of this writing, he’s still hitting in the middle of the St. Louis lineup, and his expected numbers indicate that better days are ahead. He’s also still walking at a 14% clip and striking out less than 20% of the time, and a .217 BABIP isn’t helping. His xBA, xSLG, and xwOBA are all significantly higher than his actual numbers, too. This feels a lot like a slow start for a guy who started the year hurt, and I fully expect him to bounce back and be valuable in fantasy, especially in 5 OF and 12-team or above leagues. Will have have an incredibly high ceiling? Probably not. But he’ll be useful in a lot of leagues and is practically free right now. ”
– Mike Maher (FantasyPros)

Brandon Nimmo (OF – NYM)

“Brandon Nimmo remains one of the most overlooked fantasy baseball assets out there. The hate is warranted so far in 2024, with a batting average of .208 and a slugging percentage of .349. His wOBA is a paltry .330, so I get it. However, his xwOBA is .424, and his xBA is .298. In traditional 5×5 leagues, I’m not sure who wants to pass up a potential batting average of that nature, so now is the time to pounce. I’d start trade talks by offering an overperforming Connor Wong or Wilyer Abreu.”
– Kelly Kirby (FantasyPros)

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What one MLB player are you trying to sell high right now, and why? Also, who would you try to get in return?

Alec Bohm (1B, 3B – PHI)

“Alec Bohm is a great sell-high candidate. He’s batting .367 with four home runs and 29 RBI in 30 games. His expected stats look good, but this is nothing new for Bohm. In the past three seasons, he has ranked in the 93rd percentile or better in xBA, sitting at .318 through the first month of 2024. His current batting average is unsustainable, and unfortunately, his hard-hit rate and exit velocities aren’t anything new, suggesting that not much has changed for Bohm. If I could turn Bohm into a top-five drafted guy at the position, I’d do that.”
– Chase Davis (FantasyPros)

Tyler Anderson (SP – LAA)

“Tyler Anderson has been a fun story in April, but his 2.23 ERA is not sustainable. Anderson’s 4.52xERA, 4.79 FIP, and 4.82 xFIP all scream regression. Now, throw in the fact Mike Trout will be out of this already thin lineup for months and Anderson could be headed for a disastrous May. See if you can get a Brandon Nimmo type bat for him.”
– Joe Pisapia (FantasyPros)

Ranger Suarez (SP – PHI)

“I would not get rid of him just for the sake of trying to escape a perceived major falloff, but if you need to fill a hitting hole, dealing Ranger Suarez is a good idea. You didn’t spend much draft capital on him, and if the rest of your pitching is adequate, cash in now. The .189 BABIP and 92.1 strand rate does point to regression, even if he still has a good season. You could get a hitter who has exceeded expectations, such as Tyler O’Neill or Spencer Steer, depending on who you are discussing deals with and how it is sold. ”
– Scott Engel (RotoBaller)

Jose Berrios (SP – TOR)

“Jose Berrios might be an evergreen sell high for me. This isn’t the first time I’ve written about him as a sell, and it probably won’t be the last. Part of the reason for that is because he is who he is: he often pitches to numbers that are better than the underlying data says should be worse. He gets away with it for long stretches at a time, and then he tends to have blowup starts or even stretches where he can’t get everything right again. Right now, he has a 1.44 ERA with an FIP, xFIP, SIERA, and xERA, which are all above 4.00. His 3.46 run differential between his ERA and xERA on Baseball Savant is the biggest gap in the league. And he’s doing this despite strikeout and swinging strike percentages that would both be his lowest since 2016 and a hard-hit number that would be a career-high. This also comes with a career-best groundball percentage, but this can’t last. Sell high on Berrios while you can cash in on his name value and sub-2.00 ERA. See if you buy low on a struggling hitter. Heck, you can probably get Corbin Carroll right now while that manager is panicking.”
– Mike Maher (FantasyPros)

Mason Miller (RP – OAK)

“Everyone is deeply in love with Mason Miller, and rightly so. His Statcast page is the reddest thing since Valentine’s Day at Target, and there are absolutely no warning flags that say this is unsustainable. I concede all of that as being 100% true. BUT (hang with me) when everyone is in love with someone, that is the time to trade him for the absolute best player you want to go after. Miller is still the closer on a terrible team, and if my team looks like a hospital ward, it’s time to capitalize on everyone’s infatuation. While those three almost-guaranteed strikeouts are nice to have every few days, if I can flip him for Julio Rodriguez, CJ Abrams, Yordan Alvarez, or the like, I’d do it in a heartbeat. But DO NOT give him up for anything less.”
– Kelly Kirby (FantasyPros)

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