MLB PrizePicks Player Prediction for Framber Valdez (4/8)

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Framber Valdez Under 5.5 strikeouts

Valdez has struck out five batters in each of his first two starts this season. Tonight, he’ll face a lineup that he’s very familiar with. Yet, despite the familiarity, Valdez hasn’t struck the Rangers’ lineup out very much. He’s averaging one strikeout for every 4.4 batters he faces. If that rate continues tonight, he’ll need to pitch nearly a complete game to hit this number.

The Rangers are also tied for the fifth-fewest strikeouts in the league. They have just 69 in nine games. They’re not a great matchup for anyone right now, and since Valdez hasn’t struck them out at a high rate throughout his career, there’s no reason to expect him to have a great performance tonight.

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At BettingPros, we’ve compiled several projection sources to come up with consensus projections. We then compared these projections to the prop bet odds from the sportsbooks to give you the best prop bet picks.

What are Player Props?
Player props refer to wagers that bettors can make based on player performance in a specific game. The majority of player props are built around the most common statistical benchmarks for a specific sport, such as yards and touchdowns in football. Most player props are straight over/under plays that open at or near -110 and are adjusted based on where the money lands. Examples of baseball player prop bets include over/under bets on strikeouts, total bases, runs, RBIs, and many others.