With the NFL Draft quickly approaching later this month, dynasty managers are salivating about who to spend their rookie picks on. Player evaluations are everywhere, and hopes are high for every player to succeed.

Before we get there, you might need to make some moves to make space for those rookies or to trade for picks themselves. Here are some players that I think the market is higher on than they should be and who I’m trying to move off of before their values plummet this offseason.

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Six Pre-Draft Sell-High Dynasty Targets

Jordan Love (QB – GB)

The hype on Jordan Love reached a crescendo near the end of last season. He went on a tear when it mattered most, scoring over 20 fantasy points in five out of the seven weeks between Week 11 and Week 17. He only threw one interception in that stretch and scored three touchdowns in three of those seven games. This caused his dynasty stock to rise tremendously, but I have my doubts about its authenticity.

Before his great finish, he had a rocky start. Through Week 10, he had 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, compared to 18 touchdowns and one interception from Week 11 through 18. He was truly a tale of two halves, and I’m not entirely sure if the Love we saw at the end is what we’ll get going forward.

Ultimately, it just comes down to consistency for me, and Love hasn’t shown that he has that just yet. Will the real Jordan Love please stand up so we can all know what to do with you?

Travis Etienne (RB – JAX)

Believe it or not, Travis Etienne finished as the RB3 overall in PPR scoring but was RB7 in PPG. He got more carries in 2023 than in 2022 but got fewer yards. Thankfully, he went from five total touchdowns as a rookie to 12 in his second year. Touchdowns are stickier for quarterbacks than they are for running backs, so what worries me more is his carries and yardage stats.

Going from 5.1 yards per carry in 2022 to 3.8 in 2023 doesn’t make me feel warm and fuzzy. In addition, the Jaguars’ offense seems to be going through some changes. Trevor Lawrence finished as QB12, and newly-departed WR Calvin Ridley was their best receiver, finishing as WR18.

Can the team get better with Christian Kirk and Evan Engram as the top pass-catching options? Will that open up enough for Etienne to finish in the top-six RBs again? I’m just not so sure, so I’m out on him at his current price.

James Conner (RB – ARI)

As we head into the NFL draft, James Conner is somewhat of an enigma. All signs point to the Cardinals going into full rebuild mode, and I can’t see that involving the 29-year-old running back in the last year of his contract. This could mean that they don’t draft a running back and heavily lean on Conner or the exact opposite. That kind of variation scares me for dynasty purposes.

Sure, Conner finished as an RB2 last year while only playing 13 games. He broke 1,000 yards in a season for the first time in his seven-year career, and his five-yards per-carry average was a career-high. All signs point to him being at his peak, which is exactly why I’m out on him.

Now is the time to sell. I can’t see him getting any better than he did last year, and his leash could be the shortest of almost any running back in the NFL.

Deebo Samuel (WR – SF)

Talk about enigmas. Deebo Samuel also falls into that category for me this year. There’s a lot of talk about fellow San Francisco WR Brandon Aiyuk and whether the 49ers will trade him or not. If they do, Samuel should benefit most, assuming they don’t replace Aiyuk in the offense. If they don’t, Samuel might be on the outside looking in moving forward.

Aiyuk finished as WR14 in PPR, and Samuel was right behind him at WR15. Samuel finished as the WR13 in PPG while playing one fewer game than Aiyuk, who finished at WR15. They’re the same player in terms of fantasy output. Yet, while both are there, both have limited upside. If one left, the other should thrive.

I can’t bank on Samuel being the workhorse until Aiyuk leaves, which could be a year away. Therefore, I’m fine selling Samuel at his current price for something more reliable.

Rashee Rice (WR – KC)

By now, we’ve all heard about Rashee Rice’s off-the-field drama. I was somewhat out on him well before that. Rice didn’t have a terrific 2023 by most standards. He finished as WR27 overall in PPR scoring and WR29 in PPR PPG last year. As a rookie, that’s not that bad, especially on a Super Bowl-winning team. However, his usage worries me somewhat.

Much like Love, Rice’s 2023 was a tale of two halves. From Weeks 1 through 9, Rice only broke 11 PPR points three times. After their Week 10 bye, Rice broke 11 PPR points in six of seven weeks. That kind of split is nuts to me. Did he finally put it together? Did the team finally start using him correctly? Or was this more about the offense as a whole finally clicking?

All of this makes me concerned that it won’t repeat this year, especially if the Chiefs draft a rookie in the early rounds. For all of these reasons, I’m out on Rice, driving issues aside.

Tucker Kraft (TE – GB)

Logically speaking, if I’m down on Love, I should also be down on his associated weapons, right? Tucker Kraft is a special case, though. Not only was he a rookie tight in a world where rookie tight ends rarely pay off, but he only saw the field because starting GB TE Luke Musgrave got hurt. Musgrave suffered a kidney injury that landed him in the hospital and forced him to miss Weeks 12-17. During his absence, Kraft stepped up, but that makes his stats misleading.

Kraft finished just ahead of Musgrave on the season despite starting in one fewer game. Kraft finished with three more yards on six fewer targets. He also scored two touchdowns to Musgrave’s one. All of this leads me to believe that Kraft isn’t the TE you want in GB if you want one at all.

That said, I’m not falling for the hype on Kraft. Instead, I’d rather try to spin his better finish to sell him for as much as possible before people realize he’s not worth his current price. This might be his peak, and that’s the perfect time to get out.

Dynasty Trade Value Chart & Advice

Whether it’s a dynasty startup draft or your rookie draft, we have you covered. Our team of fantasy football analysts includes Derek Brown, Pat Fitzmaurice, and Andrew Erickson. And Fitz and Scott Bogman will have you covered every week through the offseason with our Dynasty Football Podcast. They’ve all collaborated to provide our dynasty trade value chart. This is a dynamic chart created using a consensus of the analysts’ dynasty rankings.

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