Today, I look back at the 2023 season, highlighting some of the top ADP values, breakouts, and busts at the quarterback position while also taking an early look at potential candidates in these areas for the 2024 season.
- More Draft Values, Breakouts & Busts: RB | WR | TE
- 2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- 2024 Best Ball Fantasy Football Draft Kit
- Free Fantasy Football Mock Draft Simulator
Quarterback Draft Values
2024 General Preview
Last year, C.J. Stroud was a top-10 fantasy quarterback. Meanwhile, Anthony Richardson was on his way to that feat before suffering a season-ending shoulder injury. Yet, the 2024 NFL Draft class of quarterbacks projects to be better than last year’s group. Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, and J.J. McCarthy are likely top-10 NFL Draft picks. While fantasy players shouldn’t expect them to set the NFL on fire in their rookie season, the league has no shortage of young star quarterbacks.
2024 Potential ADP Values
Murray missed half of the 2023 season recovering from a torn ACL he suffered late the year before. Yet, the former Oklahoma star averaged 18.3 fantasy points per game, totaling 10 passing touchdowns in eight contests. By comparison, he averaged 18.2 fantasy points per game and had 14 passing touchdowns in 11 contests in 2022. Murray will be over a year removed from the torn ACL next season, be playing in his second year in the system, and likely have Marvin Harrison Jr. added to his receiving core.
Despite coming off a torn Achilles injury at his age, Minnesota wants Cousins to return next year. Fantasy players should hope for the same outcome, as the veteran has been an appealing fantasy quarterback since joining the Vikings. He was the QB7 on a points-per-game basis last season, averaging 18.7 fantasy points per contest, a higher average than C.J. Stroud, Brock Purdy, and Patrick Mahomes. Cousins will have an ADP outside the top 12 but will finish the year as a QB1 again in 2024.
2024 Potential Breakouts
Fantasy players would robbed of the chance to see Richardson have a massive rookie season. However, removing the matchup where he suffered the season-ending shoulder injury, the former Florida star was the QB2 in 2023 on a points-per-game basis, averaging 22.8 fantasy points per contest. Despite playing only four games, the rookie ranked seventh among quarterbacks in rushing touchdowns (four), finishing only two behind third place. Richardson could finish as the QB1 in his sophomore year unless there is some complication from his shoulder injury.
While the Titans are entering a rebuilding phase, Levis will be the full-time starter for the first time next season. The former Kentucky star shocked the fantasy community, dropping four passing touchdowns and 26.6 fantasy points in his career debut. Unfortunately, he had four passing touchdowns the rest of the year, averaging 9.4 fantasy points per game. More importantly, he struggled to stay healthy to end his rookie season. Levis could have high-end QB2 value next year if Tennessee improves their receiving core and offensive line in the offseason.
More Early 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Prep
- Erickson’s Early Fantasy Football Rankings, Tiers & Notes: QB | WR
- 5 Players Experts Avoid Drafting
- 3 Breakout & Bounceback Candidates
- Early Must-Have Running Backs: Feb
- Early Must-Have Wide Receivers: Feb
- Early Must-Have QBs & TEs: Feb
- Early Undervalued Players: RB | WR
- Early Overvalued Players: RB | WR
- QB2s With Top-5 Upside: Feb
- RB3s With RB1 Upside: Feb
- TE2s With Top-5 Upside: Feb
- Players to Avoid: QB | RB | TE
- 3 Early Breakout Candidates
- 6 Early Fantasy Football Draft Sleepers
- Draft Values, Breakouts & Busts: RB | WR | TE
- RB Dead Zone Running Backs: Draft or Fade?
- Most Polarizing Running Backs to Draft
- Most Polarizing Wide Receivers to Draft
- Tight End Draft Dart Throws
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | SoundCloud | iHeartRadio
Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at FantasyPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.