When preparing for your fantasy baseball drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy baseball rankings compared to average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average. Let’s dive into a few notable players below.
2024 Fantasy Baseball Draft Advice
Rank | Player | Team | Positions | Best | Worst | Avg | Std Dev | ADP | vs. ADP |
44 | CJ Abrams | WSH | SS | 15 | 108 | 48.2 | 13.6 | 59 | 15 |
52 | Royce Lewis | MIN | 3B | 40 | 92 | 56 | 11 | 64 | 12 |
53 | Nolan Jones | COL | LF,RF | 35 | 226 | 56.1 | 11.5 | 62 | 9 |
59 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | MIA | CF | 38 | 103 | 60.6 | 10.5 | 78 | 19 |
62 | Christian Yelich | MIL | LF,DH | 37 | 94 | 63.6 | 6.4 | 72 | 10 |
67 | Oneil Cruz | PIT | SS | 39 | 138 | 69.4 | 14.9 | 87 | 20 |
71 | Eury Perez | MIA | SP | 21 | 135 | 75.9 | 11.7 | 85 | 14 |
74 | Josh Lowe | TB | RF,DH | 36 | 155 | 76.9 | 20.3 | 89 | 15 |
85 | Triston Casas | BOS | 1B | 52 | 118 | 87 | 12.9 | 95 | 10 |
93 | Spencer Torkelson | DET | 1B | 76 | 134 | 99.5 | 11.7 | 109 | 16 |
99 | Seiya Suzuki | CHC | RF | 76 | 134 | 103.2 | 11.9 | 110 | 11 |
Josh Lowe (TB)
In 2023, Josh Lowe emerged as a fantasy gem, especially for those lucky enough to snag him off waivers. Lowe significantly bolstered fantasy lineups by contributing a solid .273/.323/.457 slash line, 20 homers, and 32 steals. His metrics indicate this performance wasn’t a fluke, with high percentile rankings in expected batting average, slugging, and sprint speed. Looking ahead, Lowe shows promise for another 20/20 season, making him a valuable second or third outfielder in fantasy leagues that you can get in the seventh round.
Triston Casas (BOS)
Triston Casas is the next star at the first base position. He took a leap in 2023 at the age of 23, hitting 24 home runs in 132 games with an impressive slash line of .263/.367/.490. He is in the 93rd percentile of BB% at 13.9 and the 92nd percentile in xwOBA at .370. His counting stats weren’t great, only tallying 65 RBIs and 66 runs, but this should improve with the return of some key Boston players. He might come at a wild discount, going in the early 100s, but this will be the last time you will be able to get him there. He is worth reaching for because chances are good he will outproduce his ADP.
Spencer Torkelson (DET)
Spencer Torkelson hit 31 home runs and drove in 94, and his ISO went from .117 to .213 in 2023. He ranked in the 94th percentile in hard-hit percentage at 50.9, and he should be in line for another 30/90 season in 2024. Torkelson can hopefully continue to improve his patience while reducing his strikeouts, and he may end up being a steal at his current 10th-round ADP.
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