Fantasy Baseball Draft Busts: Luis Arraez, Brandon Nimmo, Keibert Ruiz, Jose Berrios

Every fantasy baseball platform has unique draft rankings, especially ESPN. When comparing the consensus average draft position (ADP) of the major sites to ESPN, there are major variations – just look at Padres infielder Jake Cronenworth, whose ADP is 175 in ESPN vs. a 302 consensus. A dive into similar examples can reveal overvalued players to avoid.

Overvalued Players in ESPN Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Luis Arraez (1B, 2B – MIA) — 57 ESPN ADP vs. 126 Consensus ADP

The two-time batting title recipient and second player named Luis on this list has a wide disparity between his ESPN ranking and everywhere else. Luis Arraez has been the best contact hitter in the game recently, batting .335 from 2022 to 2023, making him an envied source of BA in category leagues. The two-time Silver Slugger’s consensus ADP may be too low but ESPN’s ranking is high for a player who mainly hits singles.

Brandon Nimmo (LF, CF – NYM) — 90 ESPN ADP vs. 157 Consensus ADP

Brandon Nimmo has had nearly identical 2022 and 2023 campaigns, serving as a consistent contributor. Even so, the outfielder has not necessarily been the best at his position. Nimmo’s ESPN ADP towers above his consensus but he has been so good that perhaps managers may still want to pull the trigger and draft him.

Keibert Ruiz (C – WAS) — 104 ESPN ADP vs. 180 Consensus ADP

Keibert Ruiz had a breakout campaign in 2023 and was an underrated gem at the catcher position. ESPN made sure to correct Ruiz’s lack of recognition with an ADP that puts him next to players such as Nick Castellanos and Sonny Gray. Similar to Rutschman, Ruiz is a good catcher but there are talented bats or pitchers available in this range that could help a team more

Jose Berrios (SP – TOR) — 116 ESPN ADP vs. 160 Consensus ADP

Jose Berrios’ difference in ADP is not horrible, considering the numbers mean less as the rounds get later. Regardless, this is too early to draft a pitcher who has a career 4.15 ERA and a below-nine K/9. The righty has never thrown fewer than 145 innings in a season (besides COVID or a shortened rookie year). There is certainly value in durability but ESPN values Berrios too highly for comfort.